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History · 2020 · UFC 249: Ferguson vs. Gaethje · Ryan Spann vs Sam Alvey
From the tape · 9 May 2020

Ryan Spann vs Sam Alvey

UFC 249: Ferguson vs. Gaethje · Jacksonville, Florida, USA
Result

Ryan Spann beat Sam Alvey

Method
Decision - Split
Round
3 of 3
Clock
5:00
Light HeavyweightMain cardReferee · Dan Miragliotta

We published no prediction for this bout. Everything on this page is the official record and the tape it was fought on — the result, the round-by-round counts, the judges’ cards where they exist and the sportsbook line where one was published. Our graded calls start in 2026 and live on the public record.

Red corner RyanSpann“Superman”Fortis MMA · Beaumont, Texas
VSOn the tape
SA
Blue corner SamAlvey“Smile'N”Team Quest · Waterford, Wisconsin
Light Heavyweight3 rounds9 May 2020
The story going in
  • Comes in on a 3-fight win streak.
  • Has dropped 3 straight in the UFC.
  • Has finished 2 of 3 UFC wins.
  • Has finished 6 of 10 UFC wins.
24-11
Record
33-18-1
−6 yr28
Age
34
+3″6' 5"
Height
6' 2"
+4″79″
Reach
75″
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
3
UFC bouts
+1518
+7%2/367% of wins
Finishes
6/1060% of wins
Fortis MMA
Gym
Team Quest
Beaumont, Texas
From
Waterford, Wisconsin
Vitals, record, nickname and camp come from the public UFC fighter register and are current, not a snapshot of fight night. UFC bouts, finish rate and every storyline line are counted off the official UFC fight record. A tick marks the side holding the raw edge in that row — longer reach, taller, younger, more bouts, a higher finish rate. It is a fact about the tape, not a prediction, and rows with no clean comparison (record, stance, gym, hometown) carry no tick at all. Any row we cannot fill on both sides is left out rather than half-drawn. Streaks, bout counts and finish rates are as they stood going into this fight — this bout and everything after it is excluded from the count.

Round by round

Every round the fight went, shaded by where the significant strikes actually landed — the takedowns, control time and knockdowns beside them, and how the three judges scored that round.

UFCStats · per round

3 rounds of tape

Round 15:00 of action1 sub attempt
Ryan Spann9 sig landed
HEAD78%7 of 25BODY22%2 of 2LEGS0%0 landed
Sam Alvey17 sig landed
HEAD59%10 of 18BODY12%2 of 2LEGS29%5 of 5
9 of 27
Sig.
strikes
17 of 25
2 of 4
Take-
downs
0 of 0
2:01
Control
0:00
1
Sub
attempts
0
Distance 8Clinch 1Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 13Clinch 4Ground 0
Judges · this round · Spann firstSal D'Amato10–9Chris Lee9–10Dave Tirelli10–9
Round 25:00 of action
Ryan Spann22 sig landed
HEAD82%18 of 32BODY18%4 of 7LEGS0%0 landed
Sam Alvey15 sig landed
HEAD60%9 of 32BODY0%0 landedLEGS40%6 of 7
22 of 39
Sig.
strikes
15 of 39
0 of 1
Take-
downs
0 of 0
0:28
Control
0:00
0
Sub
attempts
0
Distance 22Clinch 0Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 14Clinch 1Ground 0
Judges · this round · Spann firstSal D'Amato10–9Chris Lee10–9Dave Tirelli10–9
Round 35:00 of actionEnded 5:00
Ryan Spann20 sig landed
HEAD80%16 of 45BODY20%4 of 4LEGS0%0 landed
Sam Alvey25 sig landed
HEAD84%21 of 40BODY4%1 of 1LEGS12%3 of 3
20 of 49
Sig.
strikes
25 of 44
0 of 2
Take-
downs
0 of 0
0:32
Control
0:29
0
Sub
attempts
0
Distance 18Clinch 2Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 19Clinch 6Ground 0
Judges · this round · Spann firstSal D'Amato9–10Chris Lee9–10Dave Tirelli9–10

Significant strikes, takedowns, control time, knockdowns and submission attempts exactly as UFCStats recorded them for this bout, round by round. Zone percentages are that round’s landed head, body and leg counts over their own total — raw arithmetic, nothing modelled or smoothed. A round in which a fighter landed nothing shades empty and reads zero; it is never filled in from the round before.

The cards, totalled

The judges’ final totals, the media’s cards beside them, and how these judges usually score. Their round-by-round 10–9s are with the rounds above.

Official card

Split Decision

Referee · Dan Miragliotta
Ryan SpannSam Alvey
Official totals — Ryan Spann first
JudgeTotal
Sal D'Amato2.1 avg spread · 46% wide29–28
Chris Lee2.0 avg spread · 44% wide28–29
Dave Tirelli2.2 avg spread · 56% wide29–28

Each judge’s round-by-round scores sit with the round they belong to, in the round-by-round section above — switch a round there and the three cards for it change with the stats.

Media cards — 18 scored, Ryan Spann first · unofficial

Dominik Durniat Polsat Sport29–28
MM AJunkie.com29–28
Tristen Critchfield Sherdog.com29–28
Jay Pettry Sherdog.com29–28
Ryan Frederick WrestlingObserver.com29–28
Matthew Wells FanSided.com29–28
Michael DeSantis MMASucka.com29–28
Keith Shillan Sherdog.com29–28
Rob Tatum CombatPress.com29–28
Tim Burke BloodyElbow.com29–28
Steve Duncan mma.uno29–28
John Pollock POST Wrestling29–28
Greg Rosenstein The Athletic29–28
Danny Segura MMAJunkie.com29–28
MM ABrasil.com.br29–28
Dayne Fox BloodyElbow.com28–29
Mike Sloan Sherdog.com28–29
MM AMania.com28–29

Fan vote · unofficial

29-28 Spann · 75%29-28 Alvey · 20%30-27 Spann · 1%30-28 Alvey · 1%

101 fan cards submitted to MMA Decisions.

Official cards come from the UFCStats fight record and MMA Decisions. Media cards and the fan vote are MMA Decisions’ own collection and are not official. Judge tendency figures are that judge’s whole recorded history, not this bout — they are context for how a card was scored, never a claim that it was scored wrongly.

Takedowns

Takedowns

The level change — head to head

Career UFC takedown rates. Red corner left, blue corner right.

Ryan Spann

1.21takedowns / 15 min
1.21 / 15m
TAKEDOWNS
0.06 / 15m
3.56 / 15m
ATTEMPTS
0.43 / 15m
34%
ACCURACY
14%
1.70 / 15m
SUB ATT
0.10 / 15m

Sam Alvey

0.06takedowns / 15 min

Career UFC takedown rates exactly as UFCStats publishes them: takedowns landed per 15 minutes, completion rate, submission attempts per 15 minutes, and the share of takedowns tried on them that they stuffed. Attempts per 15 is the one derived figure — landed ÷ completion rate — and it is omitted wherever either input is missing. UFCStats writes 0% where no attempt was recorded at all, so a percentage of exactly zero reads “n/a” here rather than as a measured rate. “Field” is the average fighter in that weight class, or across every division where a class is too small to average. Rate bars run to the population’s 95th percentile (5.32 takedowns / 15m); a fighter above it pins the bar. Percentages are drawn on their own axis.

Ranked roster-wide

The market story

Where the price started and where it finished — the sportsbook consensus, with the vig removed. We captured no price series for this bout, so there is no chart to draw.

Ryan Spann→ no move
open 77.3%close 77.0%
Sam Alvey→ no move
open 22.7%close 23.0%
0%50%100%
OpenClosing consensus (BFO, vig removed)

The line barely moved. Ryan Spann opened at 77.3% and closed at 77.0% once the vig is taken out — a 0.2pp shift across the whole build-up. There is no line between those two points because nobody recorded one: we hold the open and the close for this bout, not the days in between.

Show the numbers
CornerOpen (US)Close (US)Open %Close %Move
Ryan Spann-400-40677.3%77.0%−0.2pp
Sam Alvey32531822.7%23.0%+0.2pp
Opening and closing moneylines from BestFightOdds (data/refs/bfo_fighter_moneylines.csv), one row per fighter per bout, de-vigged pairwise so the two corners sum to 100% · scraped 2026-06-10. No price series was captured for this bout, so no line is drawn between the two points.
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