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History · 2019 · UFC 245: Usman vs. Covington · Kamaru Usman vs Colby Covington
From the tape · 14 Dec 2019

Kamaru Usman vs Colby Covington

UFC 245: Usman vs. Covington · Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Result

Kamaru Usman beat Colby Covington

Method
KO/TKO
Round
5 of 5
Clock
4:10
Welterweight TitleTitle fightMainReferee · Marc Goddard

We published no prediction for this bout. Everything on this page is the official record and the tape it was fought on — the result, the round-by-round counts, the judges’ cards where they exist and the sportsbook line where one was published. Our graded calls start in 2026 and live on the public record.

Red corner KamaruUsman“The Nigerian Nightmare”Kill Cliff FC · Auchi, Edo
VSOn the tape
Blue corner ColbyCovington“Chaos”MMA Masters · Springfield, Oregon
Welterweight Title5 rounds14 Dec 2019
The story going in
  • Comes in on a 10-fight win streak.
  • Comes in on a 7-fight win streak.
  • Has finished 2 of 10 UFC wins.
  • Has finished 4 of 10 UFC wins.
21-5
Record
17-5
32
Age
−1 yr31
+1″6' 0"
Height
5' 11"
+4″76″
Reach
72″
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
10
UFC bouts
+111
2/1020% of wins
Finishes
+20%4/1040% of wins
Kill Cliff FC
Gym
MMA Masters
Auchi, Edo
From
Springfield, Oregon
Vitals, record, nickname and camp come from the public UFC fighter register and are current, not a snapshot of fight night. UFC bouts, finish rate and every storyline line are counted off the official UFC fight record. A tick marks the side holding the raw edge in that row — longer reach, taller, younger, more bouts, a higher finish rate. It is a fact about the tape, not a prediction, and rows with no clean comparison (record, stance, gym, hometown) carry no tick at all. Any row we cannot fill on both sides is left out rather than half-drawn. Streaks, bout counts and finish rates are as they stood going into this fight — this bout and everything after it is excluded from the count.

Round by round

Every round the fight went, shaded by where the significant strikes actually landed — and the takedowns, control time and knockdowns beside them.

UFCStats · per round

5 rounds of tape

Round 15:00 of action
Kamaru Usman34 sig landed
HEAD59%20 of 72BODY32%11 of 16LEGS9%3 of 3
Colby Covington39 sig landed
HEAD69%27 of 95BODY18%7 of 11LEGS13%5 of 5
34 of 91
Sig.
strikes
39 of 111
0 of 0
Take-
downs
0 of 0
0:00
Control
0:00
0
Knock-
downs
0
Distance 30Clinch 4Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 39Clinch 0Ground 0
Round 25:00 of action
Kamaru Usman40 sig landed
HEAD68%27 of 59BODY28%11 of 17LEGS5%2 of 3
Colby Covington41 sig landed
HEAD78%32 of 88BODY20%8 of 8LEGS2%1 of 1
40 of 79
Sig.
strikes
41 of 97
0 of 0
Take-
downs
0 of 0
0:00
Control
0:00
0
Knock-
downs
0
Distance 40Clinch 0Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 41Clinch 0Ground 0
Round 35:00 of action
Kamaru Usman29 sig landed
HEAD66%19 of 37BODY34%10 of 13LEGS0%0 landed
Colby Covington8 sig landed
HEAD62%5 of 46BODY38%3 of 5LEGS0%0 landed
29 of 50
Sig.
strikes
8 of 51
0 of 0
Take-
downs
0 of 0
0:00
Control
0:00
0
Knock-
downs
0
Distance 28Clinch 1Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 8Clinch 0Ground 0
Round 45:00 of action
Kamaru Usman35 sig landed
HEAD57%20 of 50BODY40%14 of 17LEGS3%1 of 1
Colby Covington36 sig landed
HEAD69%25 of 59BODY19%7 of 12LEGS11%4 of 5
35 of 68
Sig.
strikes
36 of 76
0 of 0
Take-
downs
0 of 0
0:00
Control
0:00
0
Knock-
downs
0
Distance 35Clinch 0Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 36Clinch 0Ground 0
Round 54:10 of action⚡ 2 KD UsmanEnded 4:10
Kamaru Usman37 sig landed
HEAD81%30 of 61BODY19%7 of 11LEGS0%0 landed
Colby Covington19 sig landed
HEAD74%14 of 53BODY16%3 of 3LEGS11%2 of 4
37 of 72
Sig.
strikes
19 of 60
0 of 0
Take-
downs
0 of 0
0:11
Control
0:00
2
Knock-
downs
0
Distance 23Clinch 0Ground 14
Where it
happened
Distance 19Clinch 0Ground 0

Significant strikes, takedowns, control time, knockdowns and submission attempts exactly as UFCStats recorded them for this bout, round by round. Zone percentages are that round’s landed head, body and leg counts over their own total — raw arithmetic, nothing modelled or smoothed. A round in which a fighter landed nothing shades empty and reads zero; it is never filled in from the round before.

How it ended

This bout never reached the judges. Here is the finish, as the official record has it.

Won inside the distance

Kamaru Usman

Round
5
Clock
4:10
Method
KO/TKO

This bout did not reach the judges, so there are no official cards for it. The round-by-round tape above is the whole record of what happened. Referee: Marc Goddard.

Takedowns

Takedowns

The level change — head to head

Career UFC takedown rates. Red corner left, blue corner right.

Kamaru Usman

2.79takedowns / 15 min
2.79 / 15m
TAKEDOWNS
3.64 / 15m
6.34 / 15m
ATTEMPTS
8.67 / 15m
44%
ACCURACY
42%
0.10 / 15m
SUB ATT
0.20 / 15m

Colby Covington

3.64takedowns / 15 min

Career UFC takedown rates exactly as UFCStats publishes them: takedowns landed per 15 minutes, completion rate, submission attempts per 15 minutes, and the share of takedowns tried on them that they stuffed. Attempts per 15 is the one derived figure — landed ÷ completion rate — and it is omitted wherever either input is missing. UFCStats writes 0% where no attempt was recorded at all, so a percentage of exactly zero reads “n/a” here rather than as a measured rate. “Field” is the average fighter in that weight class, or across every division where a class is too small to average. Rate bars run to the population’s 95th percentile (5.32 takedowns / 15m); a fighter above it pins the bar. Percentages are drawn on their own axis.

Ranked roster-wide

The market story

Where the price started and where it finished — the sportsbook consensus, with the vig removed. We captured no price series for this bout, so there is no chart to draw.

Kamaru Usmanclose only
no opening line on recordclose 64.2%
Colby Covingtonclose only
no opening line on recordclose 35.8%
0%50%100%
OpenClosing consensus (BFO, vig removed)

We hold the closing consensus for this bout but no opening line, so the strip marks the close alone: Kamaru Usman 64.2%, Colby Covington 35.8%, vig removed.

Show the numbers
CornerOpen (US)Close (US)Open %Close %Move
Kamaru Usman-19764.2%
Colby Covington17017035.8%
Opening and closing moneylines from BestFightOdds (data/refs/bfo_fighter_moneylines.csv), one row per fighter per bout, de-vigged pairwise so the two corners sum to 100% · scraped 2026-06-10 · BestFightOdds has no fighter page scraped for Kamaru Usman, so that corner’s CLOSE is read from the opponent’s row, which names it explicitly. No opening line exists for that corner and none is shown.. No price series was captured for this bout, so no line is drawn between the two points.
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