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History · 2019 · UFC 240: Holloway vs. Edgar · Geoff Neal vs Niko Price
From the tape · 27 Jul 2019

Geoff Neal vs Niko Price

UFC 240: Holloway vs. Edgar · Edmonton, Alberta, Canada
Result

Geoff Neal beat Niko Price

Method
KO/TKO
Round
2 of 3
Clock
2:39
WelterweightMain cardReferee · Dan Miragliotta

We published no prediction for this bout. Everything on this page is the official record and the tape it was fought on — the result, the round-by-round counts, the judges’ cards where they exist and the sportsbook line where one was published. Our graded calls start in 2026 and live on the public record.

Red corner GeoffNeal“Handz of Steel”Harker Heights, Texas
VSOn the tape
Blue corner NikoPrice“The Hybrid”Futures MMA · Cape Coral, Florida
Welterweight3 rounds27 Jul 2019
The story going in
  • Comes in on a 3-fight win streak.
  • Every one of Price’s 5 UFC wins came inside the distance.
  • Has finished 2 of 3 UFC wins.
  • 8 UFC bouts deep — 5 more than Neal.
16-8
Record
16-11
−1 yr28
Age
29
5' 11"
Height
+1″6' 0"
75″
Reach
+1″76″
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
3
UFC bouts
+58
2/367% of wins
Finishes
+33%5/5100% of wins
Harker Heights, Texas
From
Cape Coral, Florida
Vitals, record, nickname and camp come from the public UFC fighter register and are current, not a snapshot of fight night. UFC bouts, finish rate and every storyline line are counted off the official UFC fight record. A tick marks the side holding the raw edge in that row — longer reach, taller, younger, more bouts, a higher finish rate. It is a fact about the tape, not a prediction, and rows with no clean comparison (record, stance, gym, hometown) carry no tick at all. Any row we cannot fill on both sides is left out rather than half-drawn. Streaks, bout counts and finish rates are as they stood going into this fight — this bout and everything after it is excluded from the count.

Round by round

Every round the fight went, shaded by where the significant strikes actually landed — and the takedowns, control time and knockdowns beside them.

UFCStats · per round

2 rounds of tape

Round 15:00 of action⚡ 1 KD Price
Geoff Neal14 sig landed
HEAD100%14 of 22BODY0%0 of 1LEGS0%0 landed
Niko Price16 sig landed
HEAD50%8 of 22BODY44%7 of 13LEGS6%1 of 1
14 of 23
Sig.
strikes
16 of 36
2 of 3
Take-
downs
0 of 2
1:34
Control
0:51
0
Knock-
downs
1
Distance 5Clinch 5Ground 4
Where it
happened
Distance 8Clinch 6Ground 2
Round 22:39 of actionEnded 2:39
Geoff Neal27 sig landed
HEAD100%27 of 38BODY0%0 landedLEGS0%0 landed
Niko Price8 sig landed
HEAD88%7 of 19BODY0%0 of 1LEGS12%1 of 1
27 of 38
Sig.
strikes
8 of 21
0 of 1
Take-
downs
0 of 0
2:03
Control
0:02
0
Knock-
downs
0
Distance 3Clinch 1Ground 23
Where it
happened
Distance 6Clinch 0Ground 2

Significant strikes, takedowns, control time, knockdowns and submission attempts exactly as UFCStats recorded them for this bout, round by round. Zone percentages are that round’s landed head, body and leg counts over their own total — raw arithmetic, nothing modelled or smoothed. A round in which a fighter landed nothing shades empty and reads zero; it is never filled in from the round before.

How it ended

This bout never reached the judges. Here is the finish, as the official record has it.

Won inside the distance

Geoff Neal

Round
2
Clock
2:39
Method
KO/TKO

This bout did not reach the judges, so there are no official cards for it. The round-by-round tape above is the whole record of what happened. Referee: Dan Miragliotta.

Takedowns

Takedowns

The level change — head to head

Career UFC takedown rates. Red corner left, blue corner right.

Geoff Neal

0.54takedowns / 15 min
0.54 / 15m
TAKEDOWNS
1.06 / 15m
1.20 / 15m
ATTEMPTS
3.53 / 15m
45%
ACCURACY
30%
0.10 / 15m
SUB ATT
0.60 / 15m

Niko Price

1.06takedowns / 15 min

Career UFC takedown rates exactly as UFCStats publishes them: takedowns landed per 15 minutes, completion rate, submission attempts per 15 minutes, and the share of takedowns tried on them that they stuffed. Attempts per 15 is the one derived figure — landed ÷ completion rate — and it is omitted wherever either input is missing. UFCStats writes 0% where no attempt was recorded at all, so a percentage of exactly zero reads “n/a” here rather than as a measured rate. “Field” is the average fighter in that weight class, or across every division where a class is too small to average. Rate bars run to the population’s 95th percentile (4.97 takedowns / 15m); a fighter above it pins the bar. Percentages are drawn on their own axis.

Ranked in Welterweight

The market story

Where the price started and where it finished — the sportsbook consensus, with the vig removed. We captured no price series for this bout, so there is no chart to draw.

Geoff Neal↑ +13.3pp
open 61.4%close 74.7%
Niko Price↓ −13.3pp
open 38.6%close 25.3%
0%50%100%
OpenClosing consensus (BFO, vig removed)

Geoff Neal opened at 61.4% and closed at 74.7% (+13.3pp), with Niko Price moving the other way by the same amount — the two are one de-vigged pair, so they always sum to 100%. There is no line between those two points because nobody recorded one: we hold the open and the close for this bout, not the days in between.

Show the numbers
CornerOpen (US)Close (US)Open %Close %Move
Geoff Neal-185-34661.4%74.7%+13.3pp
Niko Price14528038.6%25.3%−13.3pp
Opening and closing moneylines from BestFightOdds (data/refs/bfo_fighter_moneylines.csv), one row per fighter per bout, de-vigged pairwise so the two corners sum to 100% · scraped 2026-06-10. No price series was captured for this bout, so no line is drawn between the two points.
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