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History · 2018 · UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Tuivasa · Mark Hunt vs Justin Willis
From the tape · 1 Dec 2018

Mark Hunt vs Justin Willis

UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Tuivasa · Adelaide, South Australia, Australia
Result

Justin Willis beat Mark Hunt

Method
Decision - Unanimous
Round
3 of 3
Clock
5:00
HeavyweightMain cardReferee · Herb Dean

We published no prediction for this bout. Everything on this page is the official record and the tape it was fought on — the result, the round-by-round counts, the judges’ cards where they exist and the sportsbook line where one was published. Our graded calls start in 2026 and live on the public record.

MH
Red corner MarkHunt“Super Samoan”South Auckland, Auckland
VSOn the tape
JW
Blue corner JustinWillis“Big Pretty”American Kickboxing Academy · San Jose, California
Heavyweight3 rounds1 Dec 2018
The story going in
  • Has dropped 2 straight in the UFC.
  • Comes in on a 3-fight win streak.
  • Has finished 7 of 8 UFC wins.
  • Is 16 points more accurate striking than Hunt.
13-14-1
Record
8-2
44
Age
−13 yr31
5' 10"
Height
+3″6' 1"
72″
Reach
+6″78″
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
+1417
UFC bouts
3
+54%7/888% of wins
Finishes
1/333% of wins
South Auckland, Auckland
From
San Jose, California
Vitals, record, nickname and camp come from the public UFC fighter register and are current, not a snapshot of fight night. UFC bouts, finish rate and every storyline line are counted off the official UFC fight record. A tick marks the side holding the raw edge in that row — longer reach, taller, younger, more bouts, a higher finish rate. It is a fact about the tape, not a prediction, and rows with no clean comparison (record, stance, gym, hometown) carry no tick at all. Any row we cannot fill on both sides is left out rather than half-drawn. Streaks, bout counts and finish rates are as they stood going into this fight — this bout and everything after it is excluded from the count.

Round by round

Every round the fight went, shaded by where the significant strikes actually landed — and the takedowns, control time and knockdowns beside them.

UFCStats · per round

3 rounds of tape

Round 15:00 of action
Mark Hunt9 sig landed
HEAD11%1 of 11BODY44%4 of 6LEGS44%4 of 4
Justin Willis6 sig landed
HEAD50%3 of 15BODY17%1 of 3LEGS33%2 of 3
9 of 21
Sig.
strikes
6 of 21
0 of 0
Take-
downs
0 of 0
0:00
Control
0:00
Distance 9Clinch 0Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 6Clinch 0Ground 0
JudgesNo per-round card for this bout in our decisions source — the judges’ totals are in the scorecards section below.
Round 25:00 of action
Mark Hunt6 sig landed
HEAD17%1 of 10BODY67%4 of 6LEGS17%1 of 1
Justin Willis22 sig landed
HEAD68%15 of 21BODY5%1 of 2LEGS27%6 of 7
6 of 17
Sig.
strikes
22 of 30
0 of 0
Take-
downs
0 of 0
0:00
Control
0:00
Distance 6Clinch 0Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 22Clinch 0Ground 0
JudgesNo per-round card for this bout in our decisions source — the judges’ totals are in the scorecards section below.
Round 35:00 of actionEnded 5:00
Mark Hunt4 sig landed
HEAD25%1 of 16BODY75%3 of 6LEGS0%0 landed
Justin Willis31 sig landed
HEAD87%27 of 48BODY3%1 of 1LEGS10%3 of 3
4 of 22
Sig.
strikes
31 of 52
0 of 0
Take-
downs
0 of 0
0:00
Control
0:00
Distance 4Clinch 0Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 31Clinch 0Ground 0
JudgesNo per-round card for this bout in our decisions source — the judges’ totals are in the scorecards section below.

Significant strikes, takedowns, control time, knockdowns and submission attempts exactly as UFCStats recorded them for this bout, round by round. Zone percentages are that round’s landed head, body and leg counts over their own total — raw arithmetic, nothing modelled or smoothed. A round in which a fighter landed nothing shades empty and reads zero; it is never filled in from the round before.

Judges’ scorecards

The judges’ totals, the media’s cards beside them, and how these judges usually score.

Official card

Unanimous Decision

Referee · Herb Dean
Official totals — Mark Hunt first
JudgeTotal
Howie Booth1.8 avg spread · 33% wide28–29
Anthony Dimitriou2.4 avg spread · 53% wide28–29
Evan Field2.2 avg spread · 48% wide28–29

There is no per-round card for this bout in our decisions source, so the judges’ totals are all we can show. This one is inside the window our source covers — it is a gap in the record, not a scrape we are waiting on, and nothing here is estimated to fill it.

Media cards — 16 scored, Mark Hunt first · unofficial

Wesley Riddle MMASucka.com27–30
Mike Straus MMAJA27–30
Steve Duncan mma.uno28–29
Steven Kelliher Tapology.com28–29
Keith Shillan TheMMATakeover.com28–29
Nolan King FloCombat28–29
Dayne Fox BloodyElbow.com28–29
Paul Fontaine WrestlingObserver.com28–29
Drake Riggs BJPenn.com28–29
Ryan Frederick WrestlingObserver.com28–29
Felipe Freitas mmabrasil.com.br28–29
Sean Ross Sapp Fightful.com28–29
Sherdog.com28–29
Tim Burke BloodyElbow.com28–29
MM AMania.com28–29
MM AJunkie.com28–29

Fan vote · unofficial

29-28 Willis · 78%30-27 Willis · 17%29-28 Hunt · 6%

18 fan cards submitted to MMA Decisions.

Official cards come from the UFCStats fight record and MMA Decisions. Media cards and the fan vote are MMA Decisions’ own collection and are not official. Judge tendency figures are that judge’s whole recorded history, not this bout — they are context for how a card was scored, never a claim that it was scored wrongly.

Takedowns

Takedowns

The level change — head to head

Career UFC takedown rates. Red corner left, blue corner right.

Mark Hunt

0.51takedowns / 15 min
0.51 / 15m
TAKEDOWNS
0.96 / 15m
0.93 / 15m
ATTEMPTS
1.45 / 15m
55%
ACCURACY
66%
0.20 / 15m
SUB ATT
0.00 / 15m

Justin Willis

0.96takedowns / 15 min

Career UFC takedown rates exactly as UFCStats publishes them: takedowns landed per 15 minutes, completion rate, submission attempts per 15 minutes, and the share of takedowns tried on them that they stuffed. Attempts per 15 is the one derived figure — landed ÷ completion rate — and it is omitted wherever either input is missing. UFCStats writes 0% where no attempt was recorded at all, so a percentage of exactly zero reads “n/a” here rather than as a measured rate. “Field” is the average fighter in that weight class, or across every division where a class is too small to average. Rate bars run to the population’s 95th percentile (5.77 takedowns / 15m); a fighter above it pins the bar. Percentages are drawn on their own axis.

Ranked in Heavyweight

The market story

Where the price started and where it finished — the sportsbook consensus, with the vig removed. We captured no price series for this bout, so there is no chart to draw.

Mark Hunt↓ −6.2pp
open 56.7%close 50.4%
Justin Willis↑ +6.2pp
open 43.3%close 49.6%
0%50%100%
OpenClosing consensus (BFO, vig removed)

Mark Hunt opened at 56.7% and closed at 50.4% (−6.2pp), with Justin Willis moving the other way by the same amount — the two are one de-vigged pair, so they always sum to 100%. There is no line between those two points because nobody recorded one: we hold the open and the close for this bout, not the days in between.

Show the numbers
CornerOpen (US)Close (US)Open %Close %Move
Mark Hunt-155-11256.7%50.4%−6.2pp
Justin Willis115-10843.3%49.6%+6.2pp
Opening and closing moneylines from BestFightOdds (data/refs/bfo_fighter_moneylines.csv), one row per fighter per bout, de-vigged pairwise so the two corners sum to 100% · scraped 2026-06-10. No price series was captured for this bout, so no line is drawn between the two points.
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