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History · 2018 · UFC Fight Night: Marreta vs. Anders · Sam Alvey vs Rogerio Nogueira
From the tape · 22 Sep 2018

Sam Alvey vs Rogerio Nogueira

UFC Fight Night: Marreta vs. Anders · Sao Paulo, Sao Paulo, Brazil
Result

Rogerio Nogueira beat Sam Alvey

Method
KO/TKO
Round
2 of 3
Clock
1:00
Light HeavyweightMain cardReferee · Marc Goddard

We published no prediction for this bout. Everything on this page is the official record and the tape it was fought on — the result, the round-by-round counts, the judges’ cards where they exist and the sportsbook line where one was published. Our graded calls start in 2026 and live on the public record.

SA
Red corner SamAlvey“Smile'N”Team Quest · Waterford, Wisconsin
VSOn the tape
RN
Blue corner RogerioNogueira“Minotouro”Benevides, Para
Light Heavyweight3 rounds22 Sep 2018
The story going in
  • Comes in on a 2-fight win streak.
  • Has finished 3 of 5 UFC wins.
  • Has finished 6 of 10 UFC wins.
33-18-1
Record
23-10
−10 yr32
Age
42
6' 2"
Height
6' 2"
75″
Reach
75″
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
+515
UFC bouts
10
6/1060% of wins
Finishes
3/560% of wins
Waterford, Wisconsin
From
Benevides, Para
Vitals, record, nickname and camp come from the public UFC fighter register and are current, not a snapshot of fight night. UFC bouts, finish rate and every storyline line are counted off the official UFC fight record. A tick marks the side holding the raw edge in that row — longer reach, taller, younger, more bouts, a higher finish rate. It is a fact about the tape, not a prediction, and rows with no clean comparison (record, stance, gym, hometown) carry no tick at all. Any row we cannot fill on both sides is left out rather than half-drawn. Streaks, bout counts and finish rates are as they stood going into this fight — this bout and everything after it is excluded from the count.

Round by round

Every round the fight went, shaded by where the significant strikes actually landed — and the takedowns, control time and knockdowns beside them.

UFCStats · per round

2 rounds of tape

Round 15:00 of action
Sam Alvey26 sig landed
HEAD58%15 of 52BODY4%1 of 1LEGS38%10 of 11
Rogerio Nogueira12 sig landed
HEAD58%7 of 18BODY33%4 of 6LEGS8%1 of 1
26 of 64
Sig.
strikes
12 of 25
0 of 0
Take-
downs
0 of 0
0:00
Control
0:00
0
Knock-
downs
0
Distance 25Clinch 1Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 11Clinch 1Ground 0
Round 21:00 of action⚡ 1 KD NogueiraEnded 1:00
Sam Alvey8 sig landed
HEAD62%5 of 15BODY12%1 of 1LEGS25%2 of 2
Rogerio Nogueira14 sig landed
HEAD93%13 of 26BODY7%1 of 1LEGS0%0 landed
8 of 18
Sig.
strikes
14 of 27
0 of 0
Take-
downs
0 of 0
0:00
Control
0:03
0
Knock-
downs
1
Distance 7Clinch 1Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 9Clinch 3Ground 2

Significant strikes, takedowns, control time, knockdowns and submission attempts exactly as UFCStats recorded them for this bout, round by round. Zone percentages are that round’s landed head, body and leg counts over their own total — raw arithmetic, nothing modelled or smoothed. A round in which a fighter landed nothing shades empty and reads zero; it is never filled in from the round before.

How it ended

This bout never reached the judges. Here is the finish, as the official record has it.

Won inside the distance

Rogerio Nogueira

Round
2
Clock
1:00
Method
KO/TKO

This bout did not reach the judges, so there are no official cards for it. The round-by-round tape above is the whole record of what happened. Referee: Marc Goddard.

Takedowns

Takedowns

The level change — head to head

Career UFC takedown rates. Red corner left, blue corner right.

Sam Alvey

0.06takedowns / 15 min
0.06 / 15m
TAKEDOWNS
0.64 / 15m
0.43 / 15m
ATTEMPTS
1.45 / 15m
14%
ACCURACY
44%
0.10 / 15m
SUB ATT
0.80 / 15m

Rogerio Nogueira

0.64takedowns / 15 min

Career UFC takedown rates exactly as UFCStats publishes them: takedowns landed per 15 minutes, completion rate, submission attempts per 15 minutes, and the share of takedowns tried on them that they stuffed. Attempts per 15 is the one derived figure — landed ÷ completion rate — and it is omitted wherever either input is missing. UFCStats writes 0% where no attempt was recorded at all, so a percentage of exactly zero reads “n/a” here rather than as a measured rate. “Field” is the average fighter in that weight class, or across every division where a class is too small to average. Rate bars run to the population’s 95th percentile (5.32 takedowns / 15m); a fighter above it pins the bar. Percentages are drawn on their own axis.

Ranked roster-wide

The market story

Where the price started and where it finished — the sportsbook consensus, with the vig removed. We captured no price series for this bout, so there is no chart to draw.

Sam Alveyclose only
no opening line on recordclose 75.0%
Rogerio Nogueiraclose only
no opening line on recordclose 25.0%
0%50%100%
OpenClosing consensus (BFO, vig removed)

We hold the closing consensus for this bout but no opening line, so the strip marks the close alone: Sam Alvey 75.0%, Rogerio Nogueira 25.0%, vig removed.

Show the numbers
CornerOpen (US)Close (US)Open %Close %Move
Sam Alvey-34775.0%
Rogerio Nogueira22028725.0%
Opening and closing moneylines from BestFightOdds (data/refs/bfo_fighter_moneylines.csv), one row per fighter per bout, de-vigged pairwise so the two corners sum to 100% · scraped 2026-06-10 · BestFightOdds has no fighter page scraped for Sam Alvey, so that corner’s CLOSE is read from the opponent’s row, which names it explicitly. No opening line exists for that corner and none is shown.. No price series was captured for this bout, so no line is drawn between the two points.
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