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History · 2018 · UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs. Smith · Justin Ledet vs Aleksandar Rakic
From the tape · 22 Jul 2018

Justin Ledet vs Aleksandar Rakic

UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs. Smith · Hamburg, Hamburg, Germany
Result

Aleksandar Rakic beat Justin Ledet

Method
Decision - Unanimous
Round
3 of 3
Clock
5:00
Light HeavyweightMain cardReferee · Leon Roberts

We published no prediction for this bout. Everything on this page is the official record and the tape it was fought on — the result, the round-by-round counts, the judges’ cards where they exist and the sportsbook line where one was published. Our graded calls start in 2026 and live on the public record.

JL
Red corner JustinLedet“El Blanco”Houston, Texas
VSOn the tape
Blue corner AleksandarRakic“Rocket”Vienna
Light Heavyweight3 rounds22 Jul 2018
The story going in
  • Comes in on a 3-fight win streak.
  • Carries 43 points more takedown defence than Ledet.
9-4
Record
15-6
29
Age
−3 yr26
6' 4"
Height
6' 4"
+2″80″
Reach
78″
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
+23
UFC bouts
1
1/333% of wins
Finishes
0/10% of wins
Houston, Texas
From
Vienna
Vitals, record, nickname and camp come from the public UFC fighter register and are current, not a snapshot of fight night. UFC bouts, finish rate and every storyline line are counted off the official UFC fight record. A tick marks the side holding the raw edge in that row — longer reach, taller, younger, more bouts, a higher finish rate. It is a fact about the tape, not a prediction, and rows with no clean comparison (record, stance, gym, hometown) carry no tick at all. Any row we cannot fill on both sides is left out rather than half-drawn. Streaks, bout counts and finish rates are as they stood going into this fight — this bout and everything after it is excluded from the count.

Round by round

Every round the fight went, shaded by where the significant strikes actually landed — the takedowns, control time and knockdowns beside them, and how the three judges scored that round.

UFCStats · per round

3 rounds of tape

Round 15:00 of action
Justin Ledet1 sig landed
HEAD100%1 of 1BODY0%0 landedLEGS0%0 of 2
Aleksandar Rakic30 sig landed
HEAD80%24 of 34BODY3%1 of 1LEGS17%5 of 7
1 of 3
Sig.
strikes
30 of 42
0 of 1
Take-
downs
1 of 1
0:00
Control
4:07
0
Knock-
downs
0
Distance 1Clinch 0Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 7Clinch 0Ground 23
Judges · this round · Ledet firstHoward Hughes8–10Takeo Kobayashi8–10David Lethaby8–10
Round 25:00 of action
Justin Ledet7 sig landed
HEAD100%7 of 17BODY0%0 landedLEGS0%0 landed
Aleksandar Rakic50 sig landed
HEAD88%44 of 61BODY2%1 of 1LEGS10%5 of 8
7 of 17
Sig.
strikes
50 of 70
0 of 0
Take-
downs
0 of 0
0:00
Control
3:35
0
Knock-
downs
0
Distance 7Clinch 0Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 14Clinch 0Ground 36
Judges · this round · Ledet firstHoward Hughes8–10Takeo Kobayashi8–10David Lethaby8–10
Round 35:00 of action⚡ 1 KD RakicEnded 5:00
Justin Ledet4 sig landed
HEAD100%4 of 6BODY0%0 landedLEGS0%0 landed
Aleksandar Rakic24 sig landed
HEAD83%20 of 27BODY12%3 of 3LEGS4%1 of 2
4 of 6
Sig.
strikes
24 of 32
0 of 0
Take-
downs
2 of 3
0:00
Control
4:41
0
Knock-
downs
1
Distance 4Clinch 0Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 3Clinch 2Ground 19
Judges · this round · Ledet firstHoward Hughes8–10Takeo Kobayashi8–10David Lethaby9–10

Significant strikes, takedowns, control time, knockdowns and submission attempts exactly as UFCStats recorded them for this bout, round by round. Zone percentages are that round’s landed head, body and leg counts over their own total — raw arithmetic, nothing modelled or smoothed. A round in which a fighter landed nothing shades empty and reads zero; it is never filled in from the round before.

The cards, totalled

The judges’ final totals, the media’s cards beside them, and how these judges usually score. Their round-by-round 10–9s are with the rounds above.

Official card

Unanimous Decision

Referee · Leon Roberts
Justin LedetAleksandar Rakic
Official totals — Justin Ledet first
JudgeTotal
Howard Hughes2.0 avg spread · 43% wide24–30
Takeo Kobayashi24–30
David Lethaby2.1 avg spread · 44% wide25–30

Each judge’s round-by-round scores sit with the round they belong to, in the round-by-round section above — switch a round there and the three cards for it change with the stats.

Media cards — 17 scored, Justin Ledet first · unofficial

Paul Fontaine WrestlingObserver.com23–30
Dayne Fox BloodyElbow.com24–30
Chris Nelson Sherdog.com24–30
Brian Knapp Sherdog.com24–30
Tristen Critchfield Sherdog.com24–30
Wesley Riddle MMASucka.com24–30
Matheus Costa MMABrasil.com.br24–30
Drake Riggs BJPenn.com24–30
Ryan Frederick WrestlingObserver.com25–30
Steve Duncan mma.uno25–30
MM AJunkie.com25–30
Mike Straus MMAJA25–30
Dominik Durniat Polsat Sport25–30
Matthew Wells FanSided.com25–30
Keith Shillan TheMMATakeover.com26–30
MM AMania.com26–30
Chris Connor The Fight City26–30

Fan vote · unofficial

30-24 Rakic · 48%30-23 Rakic · 19%30-25 Rakic · 17%30-26 Rakic · 4%30-21 Rakic · 4%

52 fan cards submitted to MMA Decisions.

Official cards come from the UFCStats fight record and MMA Decisions. Media cards and the fan vote are MMA Decisions’ own collection and are not official. Judge tendency figures are that judge’s whole recorded history, not this bout — they are context for how a card was scored, never a claim that it was scored wrongly.

Takedowns

Takedowns

The level change — head to head

Career UFC takedown rates. Red corner left, blue corner right.

Justin Ledet

0.23takedowns / 15 min
0.23 / 15m
TAKEDOWNS
0.64 / 15m
0.46 / 15m
ATTEMPTS
3.05 / 15m
50%
ACCURACY
21%
0.20 / 15m
SUB ATT
0.10 / 15m

Aleksandar Rakic

0.64takedowns / 15 min

Career UFC takedown rates exactly as UFCStats publishes them: takedowns landed per 15 minutes, completion rate, submission attempts per 15 minutes, and the share of takedowns tried on them that they stuffed. Attempts per 15 is the one derived figure — landed ÷ completion rate — and it is omitted wherever either input is missing. UFCStats writes 0% where no attempt was recorded at all, so a percentage of exactly zero reads “n/a” here rather than as a measured rate. “Field” is the average fighter in that weight class, or across every division where a class is too small to average. Rate bars run to the population’s 95th percentile (5.96 takedowns / 15m); a fighter above it pins the bar. Percentages are drawn on their own axis.

Ranked in Light Heavyweight

The market story

Where the price started and where it finished — the sportsbook consensus, with the vig removed. We captured no price series for this bout, so there is no chart to draw.

Justin Ledet↓ −10.9pp
open 61.4%close 50.5%
Aleksandar Rakic↑ +10.9pp
open 38.6%close 49.5%
0%50%100%
OpenClosing consensus (BFO, vig removed)

Justin Ledet opened at 61.4% and closed at 50.5% (−10.9pp), with Aleksandar Rakic moving the other way by the same amount — the two are one de-vigged pair, so they always sum to 100%. There is no line between those two points because nobody recorded one: we hold the open and the close for this bout, not the days in between.

Show the numbers
CornerOpen (US)Close (US)Open %Close %Move
Justin Ledet-185-11261.4%50.5%−10.9pp
Aleksandar Rakic145-10738.6%49.5%+10.9pp
Opening and closing moneylines from BestFightOdds (data/refs/bfo_fighter_moneylines.csv), one row per fighter per bout, de-vigged pairwise so the two corners sum to 100% · scraped 2026-06-10. No price series was captured for this bout, so no line is drawn between the two points.
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