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History · 2016 · UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs Thompson · Jason Saggo vs Leandro Silva
From the tape · 18 Jun 2016

Jason Saggo vs Leandro Silva

UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs Thompson · Ottawa, Ontario, Canada
Result

Jason Saggo beat Leandro Silva

Method
Decision - Split
Round
3 of 3
Clock
5:00
LightweightMain cardReferee · John McCarthy

We published no prediction for this bout. Everything on this page is the official record and the tape it was fought on — the result, the round-by-round counts, the judges’ cards where they exist and the sportsbook line where one was published. Our graded calls start in 2026 and live on the public record.

JS
Red corner JasonSaggoWulfrun MMA · Bolton, Ontario
VSOn the tape
LS
Blue corner LeandroSilva“Buscape”American Top Team · Sao Paulo, Sao Paulo
Lightweight3 rounds18 Jun 2016
The story going in
  • Comes in on a 2-fight win streak.
  • Carries 42 points more takedown defence than Saggo.
12-4
Record
20-6-1
30
Age
30
+2″5' 11"
Height
5' 9"
71″
Reach
+1″72″
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
3
UFC bouts
+36
2/2100% of wins
Finishes
1/333% of wins
Wulfrun MMA
Gym
American Top Team
Bolton, Ontario
From
Sao Paulo, Sao Paulo
Vitals, record, nickname and camp come from the public UFC fighter register and are current, not a snapshot of fight night. UFC bouts, finish rate and every storyline line are counted off the official UFC fight record. A tick marks the side holding the raw edge in that row — longer reach, taller, younger, more bouts, a higher finish rate. It is a fact about the tape, not a prediction, and rows with no clean comparison (record, stance, gym, hometown) carry no tick at all. Any row we cannot fill on both sides is left out rather than half-drawn. Streaks, bout counts and finish rates are as they stood going into this fight — this bout and everything after it is excluded from the count.

Round by round

Every round the fight went, shaded by where the significant strikes actually landed — and the takedowns, control time and knockdowns beside them.

UFCStats · per round

3 rounds of tape

Round 15:00 of action
Jason Saggo11 sig landed
HEAD64%7 of 16BODY0%0 of 2LEGS36%4 of 7
Leandro Silva4 sig landed
HEAD75%3 of 8BODY25%1 of 3LEGS0%0 of 1
11 of 25
Sig.
strikes
4 of 12
1 of 1
Take-
downs
0 of 0
2:40
Control
0:00
Distance 4Clinch 0Ground 7
Where it
happened
Distance 4Clinch 0Ground 0
JudgesNo per-round card for this bout in our decisions source — the judges’ totals are in the scorecards section below.
Round 25:00 of action
Jason Saggo13 sig landed
HEAD62%8 of 26BODY15%2 of 5LEGS23%3 of 6
Leandro Silva18 sig landed
HEAD56%10 of 28BODY11%2 of 3LEGS33%6 of 6
13 of 37
Sig.
strikes
18 of 37
0 of 0
Take-
downs
1 of 2
0:19
Control
0:42
Distance 9Clinch 0Ground 4
Where it
happened
Distance 17Clinch 1Ground 0
JudgesNo per-round card for this bout in our decisions source — the judges’ totals are in the scorecards section below.
Round 35:00 of actionEnded 5:00
Jason Saggo24 sig landed
HEAD58%14 of 52BODY17%4 of 10LEGS25%6 of 8
Leandro Silva25 sig landed
HEAD72%18 of 41BODY12%3 of 4LEGS16%4 of 5
24 of 70
Sig.
strikes
25 of 50
0 of 1
Take-
downs
1 of 1
0:21
Control
0:30
Distance 24Clinch 0Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 19Clinch 1Ground 5
JudgesNo per-round card for this bout in our decisions source — the judges’ totals are in the scorecards section below.

Significant strikes, takedowns, control time, knockdowns and submission attempts exactly as UFCStats recorded them for this bout, round by round. Zone percentages are that round’s landed head, body and leg counts over their own total — raw arithmetic, nothing modelled or smoothed. A round in which a fighter landed nothing shades empty and reads zero; it is never filled in from the round before.

Judges’ scorecards

The judges’ totals, the media’s cards beside them, and how these judges usually score.

Official card

Split Decision

Referee · John McCarthy
Official totals — Jason Saggo first
JudgeTotal
Pasquale Procopio29–28
David Therien2.1 avg spread · 46% wide28–29
Doug Crosby2.3 avg spread · 51% wide29–28

There is no per-round card for this bout in our decisions source, so the judges’ totals are all we can show. This one is inside the window our source covers — it is a gap in the record, not a scrape we are waiting on, and nothing here is estimated to fill it.

Media cards — 17 scored, Jason Saggo first · unofficial

Severe MMA.com29–28
MM AMania.com29–28
Dallas Winston BloodyElbow.com29–28
Chris Nelson Sherdog.com29–28
Tristen Critchfield Sherdog.com29–28
Jordan Breen Sherdog.com29–28
MM AJunkie.com29–28
Craig Amos BleacherReport.com29–28
Fernando Justino bjjforum.com.br29–28
Tim Burke BloodyElbow.com29–28
Paul Fontaine WrestlingObserver.com29–28
Alexandre Matos MMABrasil.com.br29–28
John Pollock Fight Network29–28
Matthew Wells mmalatestnews.com29–28
Nick Baldwin BloodyElbow.com29–28
Steven Kelliher Tapology.com29–28
Ryan Frederick WrestlingObserver.com28–29

Fan vote · unofficial

29-28 Saggo · 50%29-28 Silva · 46%

26 fan cards submitted to MMA Decisions.

Official cards come from the UFCStats fight record and MMA Decisions. Media cards and the fan vote are MMA Decisions’ own collection and are not official. Judge tendency figures are that judge’s whole recorded history, not this bout — they are context for how a card was scored, never a claim that it was scored wrongly.

Takedowns

Takedowns

The level change — head to head

Career UFC takedown rates. Red corner left, blue corner right.

Jason Saggo

2.33takedowns / 15 min
2.33 / 15m
TAKEDOWNS
1.76 / 15m
5.83 / 15m
ATTEMPTS
4.76 / 15m
40%
ACCURACY
37%
0.00 / 15m
SUB ATT
0.40 / 15m

Leandro Silva

1.76takedowns / 15 min

Career UFC takedown rates exactly as UFCStats publishes them: takedowns landed per 15 minutes, completion rate, submission attempts per 15 minutes, and the share of takedowns tried on them that they stuffed. Attempts per 15 is the one derived figure — landed ÷ completion rate — and it is omitted wherever either input is missing. UFCStats writes 0% where no attempt was recorded at all, so a percentage of exactly zero reads “n/a” here rather than as a measured rate. “Field” is the average fighter in that weight class, or across every division where a class is too small to average. Rate bars run to the population’s 95th percentile (5.22 takedowns / 15m); a fighter above it pins the bar. Percentages are drawn on their own axis.

Ranked in Lightweight

The market story

Where the price started and where it finished — the sportsbook consensus, with the vig removed. We captured no price series for this bout, so there is no chart to draw.

Jason Saggo↓ −1.7pp
open 53.8%close 52.2%
Leandro Silva↑ +1.7pp
open 46.2%close 47.8%
0%50%100%
OpenClosing consensus (BFO, vig removed)

Jason Saggo opened at 53.8% and closed at 52.2% (−1.7pp), with Leandro Silva moving the other way by the same amount — the two are one de-vigged pair, so they always sum to 100%. There is no line between those two points because nobody recorded one: we hold the open and the close for this bout, not the days in between.

Show the numbers
CornerOpen (US)Close (US)Open %Close %Move
Jason Saggo-140-12053.8%52.2%−1.7pp
Leandro Silva100-10046.2%47.8%+1.7pp
Opening and closing moneylines from BestFightOdds (data/refs/bfo_fighter_moneylines.csv), one row per fighter per bout, de-vigged pairwise so the two corners sum to 100% · scraped 2026-06-10. No price series was captured for this bout, so no line is drawn between the two points.
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