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History · 2016 · UFC 196: McGregor vs Diaz · Amanda Nunes vs Valentina Shevchenko
From the tape · 5 Mar 2016

Amanda Nunes vs Valentina Shevchenko

UFC 196: McGregor vs Diaz · Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Result

Amanda Nunes beat Valentina Shevchenko

Method
Decision - Unanimous
Round
3 of 3
Clock
5:00
Women's BantamweightMain cardReferee · Herb Dean

We published no prediction for this bout. Everything on this page is the official record and the tape it was fought on — the result, the round-by-round counts, the judges’ cards where they exist and the sportsbook line where one was published. Our graded calls start in 2026 and live on the public record.

Red corner AmandaNunes“The Lioness”Lioness Studio · Salvador, Bahia
VSOn the tape
Blue corner ValentinaShevchenko“Bullet”Tiger Muay Thai · Bishkek
Women's Bantamweight3 rounds5 Mar 2016
The story going in
  • Comes in on a 2-fight win streak.
  • Every one of Nunes’s 4 UFC wins came inside the distance.
23-5
Record
26-4-1
27
Age
27
+3″5' 8"
Height
5' 5"
+3″69″
Reach
66″
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
+45
UFC bouts
1
4/4100% of wins
Finishes
0/10% of wins
Lioness Studio
Gym
Tiger Muay Thai
Salvador, Bahia
From
Bishkek
Vitals, record, nickname and camp come from the public UFC fighter register and are current, not a snapshot of fight night. UFC bouts, finish rate and every storyline line are counted off the official UFC fight record. A tick marks the side holding the raw edge in that row — longer reach, taller, younger, more bouts, a higher finish rate. It is a fact about the tape, not a prediction, and rows with no clean comparison (record, stance, gym, hometown) carry no tick at all. Any row we cannot fill on both sides is left out rather than half-drawn. Streaks, bout counts and finish rates are as they stood going into this fight — this bout and everything after it is excluded from the count.

Round by round

Every round the fight went, shaded by where the significant strikes actually landed — the takedowns, control time and knockdowns beside them, and how the three judges scored that round.

UFCStats · per round

3 rounds of tape

Round 15:00 of action
Amanda Nunes14 sig landed
HEAD21%3 of 20BODY29%4 of 7LEGS50%7 of 10
Valentina Shevchenko8 sig landed
HEAD75%6 of 16BODY12%1 of 2LEGS12%1 of 1
14 of 37
Sig.
strikes
8 of 19
1 of 1
Take-
downs
0 of 0
0:43
Control
0:00
0
Sub
attempts
0
Distance 13Clinch 0Ground 1
Where it
happened
Distance 7Clinch 0Ground 1
Judges · this round · Nunes firstLester Griffin10–9Junichiro Kamijo10–9Glenn Trowbridge10–9
Round 25:00 of action2 sub attempts
Amanda Nunes22 sig landed
HEAD82%18 of 28BODY9%2 of 3LEGS9%2 of 2
Valentina Shevchenko3 sig landed
HEAD67%2 of 5BODY33%1 of 2LEGS0%0 landed
22 of 33
Sig.
strikes
3 of 7
1 of 1
Take-
downs
0 of 0
3:55
Control
0:11
2
Sub
attempts
0
Distance 4Clinch 0Ground 18
Where it
happened
Distance 2Clinch 0Ground 1
Judges · this round · Nunes firstLester Griffin10–8Junichiro Kamijo10–9Glenn Trowbridge10–8
Round 35:00 of actionEnded 5:00
Amanda Nunes3 sig landed
HEAD0%0 of 5BODY0%0 of 1LEGS100%3 of 5
Valentina Shevchenko17 sig landed
HEAD82%14 of 37BODY6%1 of 2LEGS12%2 of 2
3 of 11
Sig.
strikes
17 of 41
0 of 4
Take-
downs
1 of 1
0:00
Control
1:08
0
Sub
attempts
0
Distance 3Clinch 0Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 7Clinch 5Ground 5
Judges · this round · Nunes firstLester Griffin9–10Junichiro Kamijo9–10Glenn Trowbridge9–10

Significant strikes, takedowns, control time, knockdowns and submission attempts exactly as UFCStats recorded them for this bout, round by round. Zone percentages are that round’s landed head, body and leg counts over their own total — raw arithmetic, nothing modelled or smoothed. A round in which a fighter landed nothing shades empty and reads zero; it is never filled in from the round before.

The cards, totalled

The judges’ final totals, the media’s cards beside them, and how these judges usually score. Their round-by-round 10–9s are with the rounds above.

Official card

Unanimous Decision

Referee · Herb Dean
Amanda NunesValentina Shevchenko
Official totals — Amanda Nunes first
JudgeTotal
Lester Griffin2.0 avg spread · 47% wide29–27
Junichiro Kamijo2.0 avg spread · 43% wide29–28
Glenn Trowbridge2.1 avg spread · 47% wide29–27

Each judge’s round-by-round scores sit with the round they belong to, in the round-by-round section above — switch a round there and the three cards for it change with the stats.

Media cards — 23 scored, Amanda Nunes first · unofficial

John Pollock Fight Network29–27
Steven Kelliher Tapology.com29–27
Dallas Winston BloodyElbow.com29–27
Chris Nelson Sherdog.com29–27
Pundit Arena.com29–27
MM ABrasil.com.br29–27
Tristen Critchfield Sherdog.com29–27
Jordan Breen Sherdog.com29–27
Paul Fontaine WrestlingObserver.com29–27
Craig Amos BleacherReport.com29–27
Jim Edwards MMALatestNews.com29–28
Dave Meltzer Wrestling Observer29–28
MM AMania.com29–28
Luke Thomas MMAFighting.com29–28
MM AJunkie.com29–28
Jason Floyd TheMMAReport.com29–28
Rob Tatum CombatPress.com29–28
Dana Becker FightLine.com29–28
Patrick Wyman BleacherReport.com29–28
Youngs TheMMACorner.com29–28
Tim Burke BloodyElbow.com29–28
Adrian MacNair MMAMania.com29–28
Ryan Frederick WrestlingObserver.com29–28

Fan vote · unofficial

29-27 Nunes · 38%29-28 Nunes · 35%28-27 Nunes · 12%29-28 Shevchenko · 6%

222 fan cards submitted to MMA Decisions.

Official cards come from the UFCStats fight record and MMA Decisions. Media cards and the fan vote are MMA Decisions’ own collection and are not official. Judge tendency figures are that judge’s whole recorded history, not this bout — they are context for how a card was scored, never a claim that it was scored wrongly.

Takedowns

Takedowns

The level change — head to head

Career UFC takedown rates. Red corner left, blue corner right.

Amanda Nunes

2.73takedowns / 15 min
2.73 / 15m
TAKEDOWNS
2.65 / 15m
5.06 / 15m
ATTEMPTS
4.34 / 15m
54%
ACCURACY
61%
0.70 / 15m
SUB ATT
0.30 / 15m

Valentina Shevchenko

2.65takedowns / 15 min

Career UFC takedown rates exactly as UFCStats publishes them: takedowns landed per 15 minutes, completion rate, submission attempts per 15 minutes, and the share of takedowns tried on them that they stuffed. Attempts per 15 is the one derived figure — landed ÷ completion rate — and it is omitted wherever either input is missing. UFCStats writes 0% where no attempt was recorded at all, so a percentage of exactly zero reads “n/a” here rather than as a measured rate. “Field” is the average fighter in that weight class, or across every division where a class is too small to average. Rate bars run to the population’s 95th percentile (5.32 takedowns / 15m); a fighter above it pins the bar. Percentages are drawn on their own axis.

Ranked roster-wide

The market story

Where the price started and where it finished — the sportsbook consensus, with the vig removed. We captured no price series for this bout, so there is no chart to draw.

Amanda Nunes↑ +3.3pp
open 46.2%close 49.5%
Valentina Shevchenko↓ −3.3pp
open 53.8%close 50.5%
0%50%100%
OpenClosing consensus (BFO, vig removed)

Amanda Nunes opened at 46.2% and closed at 49.5% (+3.3pp), with Valentina Shevchenko moving the other way by the same amount — the two are one de-vigged pair, so they always sum to 100%. There is no line between those two points because nobody recorded one: we hold the open and the close for this bout, not the days in between.

Show the numbers
CornerOpen (US)Close (US)Open %Close %Move
Amanda Nunes100-10746.2%49.5%+3.3pp
Valentina Shevchenko-140-11253.8%50.5%−3.3pp
Opening and closing moneylines from BestFightOdds (data/refs/bfo_fighter_moneylines.csv), one row per fighter per bout, de-vigged pairwise so the two corners sum to 100% · scraped 2026-06-10. No price series was captured for this bout, so no line is drawn between the two points.
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