Round 1
7 of 21
Sig.
strikes
strikes
23 of 30
0 of 1
Take-
downs
downs
0 of 6
0:14
Control
3:09
0
Sub
attempts
attempts
0
Distance 2Clinch 5Ground 0
Where it
happened
happened
Distance 7Clinch 16Ground 0
From the tape · 18 Apr 2015
Takeya Mizugaki vs Aljamain Sterling
UFC on FOX: Machida vs Rockhold · Newark, New Jersey, USA
Result
Aljamain Sterling beat Takeya Mizugaki
BantamweightMain cardReferee · Gasper Oliver
We published no prediction for this bout. Everything on this page is the official record and the tape it was fought on — the result, the round-by-round counts, the judges’ cards where they exist and the sportsbook line where one was published. Our graded calls start in 2026 and live on the public record.
TM
VSOn the tape
The story going in
- 10 UFC bouts deep — 8 more than Sterling.
- Comes in on a 2-fight win streak.
- Carries 26 points more takedown defence than Sterling.
- Is 15 points more accurate striking than Mizugaki.
21-11-2
Record
26-5
31
Age
−6 yr25
5' 7"
Height
5' 7"
69″
Reach
+2″71″
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
+810
UFC bouts
2
1/714% of wins
Finishes
1/250% of wins
Hakkei Gym
Gym
Serra-Longo Fight Team
Miura, Kanagawa
From
Cortland, New York
Vitals, record, nickname and camp come from the public UFC fighter register and are current, not a snapshot of fight night. UFC bouts, finish rate and every storyline line are counted off the official UFC fight record. A tick marks the side holding the raw edge in that row — longer reach, taller, younger, more bouts, a higher finish rate. It is a fact about the tape, not a prediction, and rows with no clean comparison (record, stance, gym, hometown) carry no tick at all. Any row we cannot fill on both sides is left out rather than half-drawn. Streaks, bout counts and finish rates are as they stood going into this fight — this bout and everything after it is excluded from the count.
Round by round
Every round the fight went, shaded by where the significant strikes actually landed — and the takedowns, control time and knockdowns beside them.
UFCStats · per round
3 rounds of tape
Round 2
3 of 14
Sig.
strikes
strikes
7 of 17
0 of 0
Take-
downs
downs
2 of 7
0:00
Control
3:14
0
Sub
attempts
attempts
0
Distance 2Clinch 1Ground 0
Where it
happened
happened
Distance 4Clinch 3Ground 0
Round 31 sub attemptEnded 2:11
3 of 7
Sig.
strikes
strikes
2 of 7
0 of 0
Take-
downs
downs
1 of 2
0:17
Control
1:12
0
Sub
attempts
attempts
1
Distance 3Clinch 0Ground 0
Where it
happened
happened
Distance 2Clinch 0Ground 0
Significant strikes, takedowns, control time, knockdowns and submission attempts exactly as UFCStats recorded them for this bout, round by round. Zone percentages are that round’s landed head, body and leg counts over their own total — raw arithmetic, nothing modelled or smoothed. A round in which a fighter landed nothing shades empty and reads zero; it is never filled in from the round before.
How it ended
This bout never reached the judges. Here is the finish, as the official record has it.
Won inside the distance
Aljamain Sterling
Round
3
Clock
2:11
Method
Submission
This bout did not reach the judges, so there are no official cards for it. The round-by-round tape above is the whole record of what happened. Referee: Gasper Oliver.
Takedowns
Takedowns
The level change — head to head
Career UFC takedown rates. Red corner left, blue corner right.
Takeya Mizugaki
1.46 / 15m
TAKEDOWNS
2.54 / 15m
2.56 / 15m
ATTEMPTS
7.94 / 15m
57%
ACCURACY
32%
0.10 / 15m
SUB ATT
0.60 / 15m
70%
TD DEFENCE
44%
Aljamain Sterling
Career UFC takedown rates exactly as UFCStats publishes them: takedowns landed per 15 minutes, completion rate, submission attempts per 15 minutes, and the share of takedowns tried on them that they stuffed. Attempts per 15 is the one derived figure — landed ÷ completion rate — and it is omitted wherever either input is missing. UFCStats writes 0% where no attempt was recorded at all, so a percentage of exactly zero reads “n/a” here rather than as a measured rate. “Field” is the average fighter in that weight class, or across every division where a class is too small to average. Rate bars run to the population’s 95th percentile (5.32 takedowns / 15m); a fighter above it pins the bar. Percentages are drawn on their own axis.
Ranked roster-wide
The market story
Where the price started and where it finished — the sportsbook consensus, with the vig removed. We captured no price series for this bout, so there is no chart to draw.
Takeya Mizugaki↓ −11.3pp
open 36.2%close 24.9%
Aljamain Sterling↑ +11.3pp
open 63.8%close 75.1%
0%50%100%
OpenClosing consensus (BFO, vig removed)
Takeya Mizugaki opened at 36.2% and closed at 24.9% (−11.3pp), with Aljamain Sterling moving the other way by the same amount — the two are one de-vigged pair, so they always sum to 100%. There is no line between those two points because nobody recorded one: we hold the open and the close for this bout, not the days in between.
Show the numbers
| Corner | Open (US) | Close (US) | Open % | Close % | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Takeya Mizugaki | 160 | 287 | 36.2% | 24.9% | −11.3pp |
| Aljamain Sterling | -210 | -350 | 63.8% | 75.1% | +11.3pp |
Opening and closing moneylines from BestFightOdds (data/refs/bfo_fighter_moneylines.csv), one row per fighter per bout, de-vigged pairwise so the two corners sum to 100% · scraped 2026-06-10. No price series was captured for this bout, so no line is drawn between the two points.