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History · 2012 · The Ultimate Fighter: Team Carwin vs. Team Nelson Finale · Mike Rio vs John Cofer
From the tape · 15 Dec 2012

Mike Rio vs John Cofer

The Ultimate Fighter: Team Carwin vs. Team Nelson Finale · Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Result

Mike Rio beat John Cofer

Method
Submission
Round
3 of 3
Clock
4:11
LightweightMain cardReferee · Kim Winslow

We published no prediction for this bout. Everything on this page is the official record and the tape it was fought on — the result, the round-by-round counts, the judges’ cards where they exist and the sportsbook line where one was published. Our graded calls start in 2026 and live on the public record.

MR
Red corner MikeRio“The Wolverine”Zen Jiu-Jitsu · Miami, Florida
VSOn the tape
JC
Blue corner JohnCofer“The Potter”Hardcore Gym · Athens, Georgia
Lightweight3 rounds15 Dec 2012
The story going in
  • Averages 1.4 more takedowns per 15 minutes than Cofer.
  • Carries 64 points more takedown defence than Rio.
10-5
Record
8-4
31
Age
−3 yr28
+1″5' 10"
Height
5' 9"
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Zen Jiu-Jitsu
Gym
Hardcore Gym
Miami, Florida
From
Athens, Georgia
Vitals, record, nickname and camp come from the public UFC fighter register and are current, not a snapshot of fight night. UFC bouts, finish rate and every storyline line are counted off the official UFC fight record. A tick marks the side holding the raw edge in that row — longer reach, taller, younger, more bouts, a higher finish rate. It is a fact about the tape, not a prediction, and rows with no clean comparison (record, stance, gym, hometown) carry no tick at all. Any row we cannot fill on both sides is left out rather than half-drawn. Streaks, bout counts and finish rates are as they stood going into this fight — this bout and everything after it is excluded from the count.

Round by round

Every round the fight went, shaded by where the significant strikes actually landed — and the takedowns, control time and knockdowns beside them.

UFCStats · per round

3 rounds of tape

Round 15:00 of action
Mike Rio11 sig landed
HEAD18%2 of 16BODY9%1 of 1LEGS73%8 of 8
John Cofer7 sig landed
HEAD71%5 of 16BODY29%2 of 2LEGS0%0 landed
11 of 25
Sig.
strikes
7 of 18
1 of 5
Take-
downs
0 of 0
2:05
Control
0:55
0
Sub
attempts
0
Distance 4Clinch 6Ground 1
Where it
happened
Distance 5Clinch 1Ground 1
Round 25:00 of action
Mike Rio16 sig landed
HEAD62%10 of 27BODY25%4 of 4LEGS12%2 of 4
John Cofer17 sig landed
HEAD53%9 of 22BODY35%6 of 6LEGS12%2 of 3
16 of 35
Sig.
strikes
17 of 31
2 of 4
Take-
downs
0 of 0
1:34
Control
0:50
0
Sub
attempts
0
Distance 12Clinch 4Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 10Clinch 6Ground 1
Round 34:11 of action1 sub attemptEnded 4:11
Mike Rio3 sig landed
HEAD100%3 of 7BODY0%0 landedLEGS0%0 landed
John Cofer7 sig landed
HEAD71%5 of 8BODY14%1 of 1LEGS14%1 of 1
3 of 7
Sig.
strikes
7 of 10
1 of 2
Take-
downs
0 of 0
2:14
Control
1:17
1
Sub
attempts
0
Distance 3Clinch 0Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 5Clinch 0Ground 2

Significant strikes, takedowns, control time, knockdowns and submission attempts exactly as UFCStats recorded them for this bout, round by round. Zone percentages are that round’s landed head, body and leg counts over their own total — raw arithmetic, nothing modelled or smoothed. A round in which a fighter landed nothing shades empty and reads zero; it is never filled in from the round before.

How it ended

This bout never reached the judges. Here is the finish, as the official record has it.

Won inside the distance

Mike Rio

Round
3
Clock
4:11
Method
Submission

This bout did not reach the judges, so there are no official cards for it. The round-by-round tape above is the whole record of what happened. Referee: Kim Winslow.

Takedowns

Takedowns

The level change — head to head

Career UFC takedown rates. Red corner left, blue corner right.

Mike Rio

2.58takedowns / 15 min
2.58 / 15m
TAKEDOWNS
1.22 / 15m
9.56 / 15m
ATTEMPTS
2.44 / 15m
27%
ACCURACY
50%
1.00 / 15m
SUB ATT
0.00 / 15m

John Cofer

1.22takedowns / 15 min

Career UFC takedown rates exactly as UFCStats publishes them: takedowns landed per 15 minutes, completion rate, submission attempts per 15 minutes, and the share of takedowns tried on them that they stuffed. Attempts per 15 is the one derived figure — landed ÷ completion rate — and it is omitted wherever either input is missing. UFCStats writes 0% where no attempt was recorded at all, so a percentage of exactly zero reads “n/a” here rather than as a measured rate. “Field” is the average fighter in that weight class, or across every division where a class is too small to average. Rate bars run to the population’s 95th percentile (5.22 takedowns / 15m); a fighter above it pins the bar. Percentages are drawn on their own axis.

Ranked in Lightweight

The market story

Where the price started and where it finished — the sportsbook consensus, with the vig removed. We captured no price series for this bout, so there is no chart to draw.

Mike Rio↓ −10.7pp
open 60.2%close 49.4%
John Cofer↑ +10.7pp
open 39.8%close 50.6%
0%50%100%
OpenClosing consensus (BFO, vig removed)

Mike Rio opened at 60.2% and closed at 49.4% (−10.7pp), with John Cofer moving the other way by the same amount — the two are one de-vigged pair, so they always sum to 100%. There is no line between those two points because nobody recorded one: we hold the open and the close for this bout, not the days in between.

Show the numbers
CornerOpen (US)Close (US)Open %Close %Move
Mike Rio-170-10560.2%49.4%−10.7pp
John Cofer140-11039.8%50.6%+10.7pp
Opening and closing moneylines from BestFightOdds (data/refs/bfo_fighter_moneylines.csv), one row per fighter per bout, de-vigged pairwise so the two corners sum to 100% · scraped 2026-06-10. No price series was captured for this bout, so no line is drawn between the two points.
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