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History · 2012 · UFC on FX: Browne vs Bigfoot · Josh Neer vs Justin Edwards
From the tape · 5 Oct 2012

Josh Neer vs Justin Edwards

UFC on FX: Browne vs Bigfoot · Minneapolis, Minnesota, USA
Result

Justin Edwards beat Josh Neer

Method
Submission
Round
1 of 3
Clock
0:45
WelterweightMain cardReferee · Nick Gamst

We published no prediction for this bout. Everything on this page is the official record and the tape it was fought on — the result, the round-by-round counts, the judges’ cards where they exist and the sportsbook line where one was published. Our graded calls start in 2026 and live on the public record.

JN
Red corner JoshNeer“The Dentist”Cesar Gracie Fight Team · Des Moines, Iowa
VSOn the tape
JE
Blue corner JustinEdwards“Fast Eddy”Team Jorge Gurgel · Cincinnati, Ohio
Welterweight3 rounds5 Oct 2012
The story going in
  • Has finished 4 of 6 UFC wins.
  • Averages 1.1 more takedowns per 15 minutes than Neer.
  • 13 UFC bouts deep — 10 more than Edwards.
36-16-1
Record
9-5
29
Age
29
+1″5' 11"
Height
5' 10"
+2″72″
Reach
70″
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
+1013
UFC bouts
3
4/667% of wins
Finishes
0/10% of wins
Cesar Gracie Fight Team
Gym
Team Jorge Gurgel
Des Moines, Iowa
From
Cincinnati, Ohio
Vitals, record, nickname and camp come from the public UFC fighter register and are current, not a snapshot of fight night. UFC bouts, finish rate and every storyline line are counted off the official UFC fight record. A tick marks the side holding the raw edge in that row — longer reach, taller, younger, more bouts, a higher finish rate. It is a fact about the tape, not a prediction, and rows with no clean comparison (record, stance, gym, hometown) carry no tick at all. Any row we cannot fill on both sides is left out rather than half-drawn. Streaks, bout counts and finish rates are as they stood going into this fight — this bout and everything after it is excluded from the count.

Round by round

Every round the fight went, shaded by where the significant strikes actually landed — and the takedowns, control time and knockdowns beside them.

UFCStats · per round

1 round of tape

Round 10:45 of action1 sub attemptEnded 0:45
Josh Neer0 sig landed
HEAD0%0 landedBODY0%0 landedLEGS0%0 landed

No significant strikes landed

Justin Edwards6 sig landed
HEAD67%4 of 5BODY17%1 of 1LEGS17%1 of 1
0 of 0
Sig.
strikes
6 of 7
0 of 1
Take-
downs
0 of 1
0:20
Control
0:08
0
Sub
attempts
1
Distance 0Clinch 0Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 6Clinch 0Ground 0

Significant strikes, takedowns, control time, knockdowns and submission attempts exactly as UFCStats recorded them for this bout, round by round. Zone percentages are that round’s landed head, body and leg counts over their own total — raw arithmetic, nothing modelled or smoothed. A round in which a fighter landed nothing shades empty and reads zero; it is never filled in from the round before.

How it ended

This bout never reached the judges. Here is the finish, as the official record has it.

Won inside the distance

Justin Edwards

Round
1
Clock
0:45
Method
Submission

This bout did not reach the judges, so there are no official cards for it. The round-by-round tape above is the whole record of what happened. Referee: Nick Gamst.

Takedowns

Takedowns

The level change — head to head

Career UFC takedown rates. Red corner left, blue corner right.

Josh Neer

1.09takedowns / 15 min
1.09 / 15m
TAKEDOWNS
2.14 / 15m
3.21 / 15m
ATTEMPTS
8.23 / 15m
34%
ACCURACY
26%
1.30 / 15m
SUB ATT
1.00 / 15m

Justin Edwards

2.14takedowns / 15 min

Career UFC takedown rates exactly as UFCStats publishes them: takedowns landed per 15 minutes, completion rate, submission attempts per 15 minutes, and the share of takedowns tried on them that they stuffed. Attempts per 15 is the one derived figure — landed ÷ completion rate — and it is omitted wherever either input is missing. UFCStats writes 0% where no attempt was recorded at all, so a percentage of exactly zero reads “n/a” here rather than as a measured rate. “Field” is the average fighter in that weight class, or across every division where a class is too small to average. Rate bars run to the population’s 95th percentile (5.32 takedowns / 15m); a fighter above it pins the bar. Percentages are drawn on their own axis.

Ranked roster-wide

The market story

Where the price started and where it finished — the sportsbook consensus, with the vig removed. We captured no price series for this bout, so there is no chart to draw.

Josh Neer→ no move
open 73.1%close 73.3%
Justin Edwards→ no move
open 26.9%close 26.7%
0%50%100%
OpenClosing consensus (BFO, vig removed)

The line barely moved. Josh Neer opened at 73.1% and closed at 73.3% once the vig is taken out — a 0.2pp shift across the whole build-up. There is no line between those two points because nobody recorded one: we hold the open and the close for this bout, not the days in between.

Show the numbers
CornerOpen (US)Close (US)Open %Close %Move
Josh Neer-350-30373.1%73.3%+0.2pp
Justin Edwards25026526.9%26.7%−0.2pp
Opening and closing moneylines from BestFightOdds (data/refs/bfo_fighter_moneylines.csv), one row per fighter per bout, de-vigged pairwise so the two corners sum to 100% · scraped 2026-06-10. No price series was captured for this bout, so no line is drawn between the two points.
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