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History · 2011 · UFC Fight Night: Shields vs Ellenberger · Alan Belcher vs Jason MacDonald
From the tape · 17 Sep 2011

Alan Belcher vs Jason MacDonald

UFC Fight Night: Shields vs Ellenberger · New Orleans, Louisiana, USA
Result

Alan Belcher beat Jason MacDonald

Method
KO/TKO
Round
1 of 3
Clock
3:48
MiddleweightMain cardReferee · Dan Miragliotta

We published no prediction for this bout. Everything on this page is the official record and the tape it was fought on — the result, the round-by-round counts, the judges’ cards where they exist and the sportsbook line where one was published. Our graded calls start in 2026 and live on the public record.

AB
Red corner AlanBelcher“The Talent”Biloxi, Mississippi
VSOn the tape
JM
Blue corner JasonMacDonald“The Athlete”Edmonton, Alberta
Middleweight3 rounds17 Sep 2011
The story going in
  • Comes in on a 2-fight win streak.
  • Every one of MacDonald’s 6 UFC wins came inside the distance.
  • Has finished 6 of 7 UFC wins.
  • Is 11 points more accurate striking than Belcher.
18-8
Record
25-16
−9 yr27
Age
36
6' 2"
Height
+1″6' 3"
75″
Reach
+5″80″
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
11
UFC bouts
+112
6/786% of wins
Finishes
+14%6/6100% of wins
Biloxi, Mississippi
From
Edmonton, Alberta
Vitals, record, nickname and camp come from the public UFC fighter register and are current, not a snapshot of fight night. UFC bouts, finish rate and every storyline line are counted off the official UFC fight record. A tick marks the side holding the raw edge in that row — longer reach, taller, younger, more bouts, a higher finish rate. It is a fact about the tape, not a prediction, and rows with no clean comparison (record, stance, gym, hometown) carry no tick at all. Any row we cannot fill on both sides is left out rather than half-drawn. Streaks, bout counts and finish rates are as they stood going into this fight — this bout and everything after it is excluded from the count.

Round by round

Every round the fight went, shaded by where the significant strikes actually landed — and the takedowns, control time and knockdowns beside them.

UFCStats · per round

1 round of tape

Round 13:48 of actionEnded 3:48
Alan Belcher25 sig landed
HEAD96%24 of 38BODY4%1 of 1LEGS0%0 landed
Jason MacDonald2 sig landed
HEAD0%0 of 5BODY100%2 of 2LEGS0%0 landed
25 of 39
Sig.
strikes
2 of 7
0 of 0
Take-
downs
0 of 3
2:58
Control
0:25
Distance 0Clinch 1Ground 24
Where it
happened
Distance 0Clinch 2Ground 0

Significant strikes, takedowns, control time, knockdowns and submission attempts exactly as UFCStats recorded them for this bout, round by round. Zone percentages are that round’s landed head, body and leg counts over their own total — raw arithmetic, nothing modelled or smoothed. A round in which a fighter landed nothing shades empty and reads zero; it is never filled in from the round before.

How it ended

This bout never reached the judges. Here is the finish, as the official record has it.

Won inside the distance

Alan Belcher

Round
1
Clock
3:48
Method
KO/TKO

This bout did not reach the judges, so there are no official cards for it. The round-by-round tape above is the whole record of what happened. Referee: Dan Miragliotta.

Takedowns

Takedowns

The level change — head to head

Career UFC takedown rates. Red corner left, blue corner right.

Alan Belcher

0.44takedowns / 15 min
0.44 / 15m
TAKEDOWNS
1.43 / 15m
1.69 / 15m
ATTEMPTS
8.94 / 15m
26%
ACCURACY
16%
0.90 / 15m
SUB ATT
2.00 / 15m

Jason MacDonald

1.43takedowns / 15 min

Career UFC takedown rates exactly as UFCStats publishes them: takedowns landed per 15 minutes, completion rate, submission attempts per 15 minutes, and the share of takedowns tried on them that they stuffed. Attempts per 15 is the one derived figure — landed ÷ completion rate — and it is omitted wherever either input is missing. UFCStats writes 0% where no attempt was recorded at all, so a percentage of exactly zero reads “n/a” here rather than as a measured rate. “Field” is the average fighter in that weight class, or across every division where a class is too small to average. Rate bars run to the population’s 95th percentile (6.86 takedowns / 15m); a fighter above it pins the bar. Percentages are drawn on their own axis.

Ranked in Middleweight

The market story

Where the price started and where it finished — the sportsbook consensus, with the vig removed. We captured no price series for this bout, so there is no chart to draw.

Alan Belcher↑ +43.4pp
open 29.4%close 72.8%
Jason MacDonald↓ −43.4pp
open 70.6%close 27.2%
0%50%100%
OpenClosing consensus (BFO, vig removed)

Alan Belcher opened at 29.4% and closed at 72.8% (+43.4pp), with Jason MacDonald moving the other way by the same amount — the two are one de-vigged pair, so they always sum to 100%. There is no line between those two points because nobody recorded one: we hold the open and the close for this bout, not the days in between.

Show the numbers
CornerOpen (US)Close (US)Open %Close %Move
Alan Belcher220-29029.4%72.8%+43.4pp
Jason MacDonald-30026070.6%27.2%−43.4pp
Opening and closing moneylines from BestFightOdds (data/refs/bfo_fighter_moneylines.csv), one row per fighter per bout, de-vigged pairwise so the two corners sum to 100% · scraped 2026-06-10. No price series was captured for this bout, so no line is drawn between the two points.
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