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Picks · Compare · Jack Jenkins vs Sean Woodson
Featherweight · 3 rounds · Nurmagomedov vs Song
14-4
Red corner
VS
13-2-1
Blue corner

The model's read of this fight

One honest, calibrated confidence split — a real, booked bout, so we show the number.

LOW We predict Sean Woodson60% confident
Jack Jenkins 40% Sean Woodson 60%

On the feet Sean Woodson lands more volume — 5.57 strikes a minute to 4.48. The grappling gap is real: Jack Jenkins averages 1.98 takedowns per 15 min to 0.58. Net of it, the method model leans a decision (60%), the model flags Sean Woodson at LOW.

Built only from the striking / grappling rates and the method read shown on this page — career averages from public UFC statistics. If a number isn't in the data, it isn't in this summary.

Tale of the tape

Jack Jenkins vs Sean Woodson — the facts, side by side. ▲ marks the reach edge.

14-4Record13-2-1
PharNicknameThe Sniper
5' 7"Height6' 2"
68.0"Reach78.0"
SwitchStanceOrthodox
32Age34
145 lbs.Weight145 lbs.
AustraliaNationalityUnited States
Melbourne, VictoriaHometownSt. Louis, Missouri
Absolute Mixed Martial ArtsFighting out ofWolves' Den Training Center
Vitals and record from public UFC statistics; nickname, nationality, hometown and camp from the public fighter register.

FightIQ Metrics

Our read — not official stats. Six 0–100 scores, each a percentile rank against every fighter on record. The better score on each row is highlighted in that fighter's corner colour.

Jack JenkinsSean Woodson
88
Striking
76
70
Defence
54
51
Grappling / TD
38
29
Cardio
79
65
Chin
56
61
Fight IQ
61
Our read — derived, not official stats.

Strike zones

Strike zones

Where they go — head to head

Career UFC significant strikes by target zone. Red corner left, blue corner right.

Jack Jenkins6 UFC fights · 354 landed

51.4%
HEAD
71.0%
24.3%
BODY
15.1%
24.3%
LEGS
13.9%

Sean Woodson10 UFC fights · 721 landed

Significant strikes only, as recorded by UFCStats, across the fighter's whole UFC career. Shares are raw counts — nothing here is modelled or smoothed. Accuracy is landed ÷ attempted and comes from the per-round tape, which covers slightly fewer fights than the totals do.

Stat-by-stat

Jack Jenkins (left) vs Sean Woodson (right) — career striking & grappling rates. The fighter ahead on each row is highlighted in their corner colour.

Strikes landed / min
4.48
vs
5.57
Striking accuracy
61%
vs
46%
Strikes absorbed / min
2.95
vs
4.18
Striking defence
59%
vs
58%
Takedowns / 15 min
1.98
vs
0.58
Takedown accuracy
60%
vs
55%
Takedown defence
71%
vs
84%
Sub attempts / 15 min
0.2
vs
0.3
Career averages from public UFC statistics. On “strikes absorbed / min”, fewer is better.

Live market

The market line next to the live prediction-market price — information only, not a bet call.

paymentsSportsbook line
Jack Jenkins+128
Sean Woodson-155
Live · Polymarket
Jack Jenkins42% · +135
Sean Woodson57% · -135
as of 2026-08-25T04:57:06Z · $3,517 liquidity. The implied chance is the market's number, not ours.

Go deeper

Want to compare two other fighters? The build-your-own head-to-head lets you stack any two fighters we hold data on side by side — tale of the tape, stat-by-stat and the FightIQ Metrics. What it can't show is a model read: we only publish a prediction on a booked bout, where the call is timestamped before the cage door closes.
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