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Picks · Compare · Denise Gomes vs Yan Xiaonan
Women's Strawweight · 3 rounds · Nurmagomedov vs Song
12-3
Red corner
VS
19-5
Blue corner

The model's read of this fight

One honest, calibrated confidence split — a real, booked bout, so we show the number.

LOW We predict Denise Gomes56% confident
Denise Gomes 56% Yan Xiaonan 44%

Net of it, the method model leans a decision (74%), the model flags Denise Gomes at LOW.

Built only from the striking / grappling rates and the method read shown on this page — career averages from public UFC statistics. If a number isn't in the data, it isn't in this summary.

Tale of the tape

Denise Gomes vs Yan Xiaonan — the facts, side by side. ▲ marks the reach edge.

12-3Record19-5
DeeNickname
5' 2"Height5' 5"
63.0"Reach63.0"
OrthodoxStanceOrthodox
26Age37
115 lbs.Weight115 lbs.
BrazilNationality
Sant'Ana do Livramento, Rio Grande do SulHometown
GAEA ProjectFighting out of
Vitals and record from public UFC statistics; nickname, nationality, hometown and camp from the public fighter register.

FightIQ Metrics

Our read — not official stats. Six 0–100 scores, each a percentile rank against every fighter on record. The better score on each row is highlighted in that fighter's corner colour.

Denise GomesYan Xiaonan
76
Striking
71
51
Defence
68
44
Grappling / TD
56
39
Cardio
50
90
Chin
80
60
Fight IQ
65
Our read — derived, not official stats.

Strike zones

Strike zones

Where they go — head to head

Career UFC significant strikes by target zone. Red corner left, blue corner right.

Denise Gomes8 UFC fights · 356 landed

48.6%
HEAD
65.4%
30.9%
BODY
13.2%
20.5%
LEGS
21.4%

Yan Xiaonan13 UFC fights · 916 landed

Significant strikes only, as recorded by UFCStats, across the fighter's whole UFC career. Shares are raw counts — nothing here is modelled or smoothed. Accuracy is landed ÷ attempted and comes from the per-round tape, which covers slightly fewer fights than the totals do.

Stat-by-stat

Denise Gomes (left) vs Yan Xiaonan (right) — career striking & grappling rates. The fighter ahead on each row is highlighted in their corner colour.

Strikes landed / min
4.43
vs
4.69
Striking accuracy
49%
vs
45%
Strikes absorbed / min
3.16
vs
3.23
Striking defence
51%
vs
60%
Takedowns / 15 min
1.45
vs
0.84
Takedown accuracy
34%
vs
73%
Takedown defence
66%
vs
64%
Sub attempts / 15 min
0.7
vs
0
Career averages from public UFC statistics. On “strikes absorbed / min”, fewer is better.

Live market

The market line next to the live prediction-market price — information only, not a bet call.

paymentsSportsbook line
Denise Gomes+140
Yan Xiaonan-168
Live · Polymarket
Denise Gomes40% · +153
Yan Xiaonan60% · -153
as of 2026-08-25T04:57:06Z · $5,491 liquidity. The implied chance is the market's number, not ours.

Go deeper

Want to compare two other fighters? The build-your-own head-to-head lets you stack any two fighters we hold data on side by side — tale of the tape, stat-by-stat and the FightIQ Metrics. What it can't show is a model read: we only publish a prediction on a booked bout, where the call is timestamped before the cage door closes.
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