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Picks · Compare · Carli Judice vs Jeisla Chaves
Women's Flyweight · 3 rounds · Hernandez vs Rodrigues
6-2
Red corner
VS
7-0
Blue corner

The model's read of this fight

One honest, calibrated confidence split — a real, booked bout, so we show the number.

HIGH We predict Carli Judice66% confident
Carli Judice 66% Jeisla Chaves 34%

On the feet Carli Judice lands more volume — 9.32 strikes a minute to 5.67. Net of it, the method model leans a decision (51%), the model flags Carli Judice at HIGH.

Built only from the striking / grappling rates and the method read shown on this page — career averages from public UFC statistics. If a number isn't in the data, it isn't in this summary.

Tale of the tape

Carli Judice vs Jeisla Chaves — the facts, side by side. ▲ marks the reach edge.

6-2Record7-0
CrispyNickname
5' 7"Height5' 6"
68.0"Reach68.0"
SouthpawStanceOrthodox
27Age29
125 lbs.Weight125 lbs.
United StatesNationalityBrazil
Lafayette, LouisianaHometownPocoes, Bahia
Headkicks MMAFighting out ofGomes Fight Team
Vitals and record from public UFC statistics; nickname, nationality, hometown and camp from the public fighter register.

FightIQ Metrics

Our read — not official stats. Six 0–100 scores, each a percentile rank against every fighter on record. The better score on each row is highlighted in that fighter's corner colour.

Carli JudiceJeisla Chaves
87
Striking
86
40
Defence
56
16
Grappling / TD
n/a
79
Cardio
42 limited sample
75
Chin
59 limited sample
59
Fight IQ
61
Our read — derived, not official stats.

Strike zones

Strike zones

Where they go — head to head

Career UFC significant strikes by target zone. Red corner left, blue corner right.

Carli Judice4 UFC fights · 374 landed

69.6%
HEAD
54.7%
24.3%
BODY
31.2%
6.1%
LEGS
14.1%

Jeisla Chaves1 UFC fights · 64 landed

Limited sample

Significant strikes only, as recorded by UFCStats, across the fighter's whole UFC career. Shares are raw counts — nothing here is modelled or smoothed. Accuracy is landed ÷ attempted and comes from the per-round tape, which covers slightly fewer fights than the totals do.

Stat-by-stat

Carli Judice (left) vs Jeisla Chaves (right) — career striking & grappling rates. The fighter ahead on each row is highlighted in their corner colour.

Strikes landed / min
9.32
vs
5.67
Striking accuracy
50%
vs
51%
Strikes absorbed / min
6.62
vs
4.27
Striking defence
57%
vs
60%
Takedowns / 15 min
0.52
vs
0
Takedown accuracy
25%
vs
0%
Takedown defence
80%
vs
75%
Sub attempts / 15 min
0
vs
0
Career averages from public UFC statistics. On “strikes absorbed / min”, fewer is better.

Live market

The market line next to the live prediction-market price — information only, not a bet call.

paymentsSportsbook line
Carli Judice-549
Jeisla Chaves+460
Live · Polymarket
Carli Judice84% · -506
Jeisla Chaves16% · +506
as of 2026-08-22T19:51:08Z · $18,803 liquidity. The implied chance is the market's number, not ours.

Go deeper

Want to compare two other fighters? The build-your-own head-to-head lets you stack any two fighters we hold data on side by side — tale of the tape, stat-by-stat and the FightIQ Metrics. What it can't show is a model read: we only publish a prediction on a booked bout, where the call is timestamped before the cage door closes.
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