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Events · Ankalaev vs Guskov · Sam Patterson vs Santiago Ponzinibbio
Red corner SamPattersonTeam Crossface · Watford
VSSettled
Blue corner SantiagoPonzinibbio“Argentine Dagger”
Welterweight3 rounds25 Jul 2026
The story going in
  • Every one of Patterson’s 4 UFC wins came inside the distance.
  • Has finished 7 of 12 UFC wins.
  • 20 UFC bouts deep — 14 more than Patterson.
15-3-1
Record
31-10
−9 yr30
Age
39
+3″6' 3"
Height
6' 0"
+5″78″
Reach
73″
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6
UFC bouts
+1420
+42%4/4100% of wins
Finishes
7/1258% of wins
Vitals, record, nickname and camp come from the public UFC fighter register and are current, not a snapshot of fight night. UFC bouts, finish rate and every storyline line are counted off the official UFC fight record. A tick marks the side holding the raw edge in that row — longer reach, taller, younger, more bouts, a higher finish rate. It is a fact about the tape, not a prediction, and rows with no clean comparison (record, stance, gym, hometown) carry no tick at all. Any row we cannot fill on both sides is left out rather than half-drawn. Streaks, bout counts and finish rates are as they stood going into this fight — this bout and everything after it is excluded from the count.

The call vs the fight

What we published before the card, next to what happened in the cage.

Our call
Sam Patterson
74.7% confidentHIGH
Method calledKO/TKO 50%
Vs the market−5.5pp
Market had our pick at80%
The fight
Sam Patterson
WIN
How it endedKO/TKO
Round2 of 3
Clock3:06
Called it We called Sam Patterson at 74.7% and Sam Patterson won. The method call landed too.
Graded against the official UFC result, from the same record every other page on this site is graded from. The tick beside the verdict is the method call — a correct winner with a wrong method is a partial hit and reads as one. See the full public record →

Round by round

Every round the fight went, shaded by where the significant strikes actually landed — and the takedowns, control time and knockdowns beside them.

UFCStats · per round

2 rounds of tape

Round 15:00 of action
Sam Patterson29 sig landed
HEAD86%25 of 64BODY14%4 of 11LEGS0%0 landed
Santiago Ponzinibbio10 sig landed
HEAD70%7 of 48BODY0%0 landedLEGS30%3 of 4
29 of 75
Sig.
strikes
10 of 52
0 of 0
Take-
downs
0 of 1
0:00
Control
0:00
0
Knock-
downs
0
Distance 29Clinch 0Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 10Clinch 0Ground 0
Round 23:06 of action⚡ 2 KD PattersonEnded 3:06
Sam Patterson35 sig landed
HEAD94%33 of 54BODY6%2 of 3LEGS0%0 landed
Santiago Ponzinibbio4 sig landed
HEAD75%3 of 31BODY25%1 of 3LEGS0%0 landed
35 of 57
Sig.
strikes
4 of 34
0 of 0
Take-
downs
0 of 0
0:08
Control
0:00
2
Knock-
downs
0
Distance 30Clinch 0Ground 5
Where it
happened
Distance 4Clinch 0Ground 0

Significant strikes, takedowns, control time, knockdowns and submission attempts exactly as UFCStats recorded them for this bout, round by round. Zone percentages are that round’s landed head, body and leg counts over their own total — raw arithmetic, nothing modelled or smoothed. A round in which a fighter landed nothing shades empty and reads zero; it is never filled in from the round before.

How it ended

This bout never reached the judges. Here is the finish, as the official record has it.

Won inside the distance

Sam Patterson

Round
2
Clock
3:06
Method
KO/TKO

This bout did not reach the judges, so there are no official cards for it. The round-by-round tape above is the whole record of what happened. Referee: Mike Beltran.

Still to come on this page

Named rather than hidden. It is built from data already on disk and lands in the next pass of this build-out.

The market story coming in this build-out

What the price did in the week before the cage door shut, with the moment our pick was frozen marked on it. Where we captured no price history for a bout, this panel will say so rather than draw a line that was never there.

← Back to the public record