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Events · Ankalaev vs Guskov
25 Jul 2026
Ankalaev vs Guskov
Etihad Arena Abu Dhabi United Arab Emirates · 12 fights
FightIQ 10-2on this card · 83.33% · 12 fights graded
Every pick on this card is one honest, calibrated confidence rating — the % is the signal. Graded against the official UFC result. See the full record →

The full card, graded

The autopsy · FightIQ NewsroomOur UFC Abu Dhabi card: 10 of 12 winners, 5 of 12 methodsBoth flagged picks landed and both misses came from the bottom of our confidence range. The method column was the weak spot.
MAIN CARD
★ Main Event · Light Heavyweight +430 / -456
28% 72%
MED We predict Magomed Ankalaev72% confident WIN
Flyweight -108 / +104
49% 51%
TOSS-UP We predict Steve Erceg51% confident LOSS (Ramazan Temirov · KO/TKO)
Lightweight +245 / -257
38% 62%
MED We predict Magomed Zaynukov62% confident WIN
Heavyweight -300 / +285
61% 39%
MED We predict Rizvan Kuniev61% confident WIN
Welterweight -240 / +210
54% 46%
TOSS-UP We predict Abubakar Vagaev54% confident WIN
PRELIMS
Heavyweight +163 / -170
41% 59%
LOW We predict Valter Walker59% confident WIN
Light Heavyweight -174 / +158
58% 42%
LOW We predict Dustin Jacoby58% confident LOSS (Muhammad Said · KO/TKO)
Welterweight -426 / +400
75% 25%
HIGH We predict Sam Patterson75% confident WIN
Lightweight -186 / +178
63% 37%
MED We predict Axel Sola63% confident WIN
Light Heavyweight +733 / -800
26% 74%
MED We predict Magomed Tuchalov74% confident WIN
Lightweight +203 / -213
32% 68%
HIGH We predict Nurullo Aliev68% confident WIN
Bantamweight -600 / +489
70% 30%
MED We predict Abdul Hussein70% confident WIN
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