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Events · Ankalaev vs Guskov · Axel Sola vs Ismael Bonfim
Red corner AxelSolaBoxing Squad · France
VSSettled
Blue corner IsmaelBonfim“Marreta”Bonfim Brothers · Brasilia, Federal District
Lightweight3 rounds25 Jul 2026
The story going in
  • Averages 1.2 more takedowns per 15 minutes than Bonfim.
  • Has dropped 2 straight in the UFC.
  • Carries 76 points more takedown defence than Sola.
12-1-1
Record
20-7
−2 yr28
Age
30
+4″6' 0"
Height
5' 8"
+3″74″
Reach
71″
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
2
UFC bouts
+35
1/1100% of wins
Finishes
1/250% of wins
Boxing Squad
Gym
Bonfim Brothers
France
From
Brasilia, Federal District
Vitals, record, nickname and camp come from the public UFC fighter register and are current, not a snapshot of fight night. UFC bouts, finish rate and every storyline line are counted off the official UFC fight record. A tick marks the side holding the raw edge in that row — longer reach, taller, younger, more bouts, a higher finish rate. It is a fact about the tape, not a prediction, and rows with no clean comparison (record, stance, gym, hometown) carry no tick at all. Any row we cannot fill on both sides is left out rather than half-drawn. Streaks, bout counts and finish rates are as they stood going into this fight — this bout and everything after it is excluded from the count.

The call vs the fight

What we published before the card, next to what happened in the cage.

Our call
Axel Sola
63.3% confidentMED
Method calledDEC 47%
Vs the market−1.1pp
Market had our pick at64%
The fight
Axel Sola
WIN
How it endedSUB
Round1 of 3
Clock4:44
Called it We called Axel Sola at 63.3% and Axel Sola won. The method call missed.
Graded against the official UFC result, from the same record every other page on this site is graded from. The tick beside the verdict is the method call — a correct winner with a wrong method is a partial hit and reads as one. See the full public record →

Round by round

Every round the fight went, shaded by where the significant strikes actually landed — and the takedowns, control time and knockdowns beside them.

UFCStats · per round

1 round of tape

Round 14:44 of action⚡ 1 KD Sola1 sub attemptEnded 4:44
Axel Sola33 sig landed
HEAD94%31 of 42BODY6%2 of 2LEGS0%0 landed
Ismael Bonfim1 sig landed
HEAD0%0 of 1BODY0%0 landedLEGS100%1 of 2
33 of 44
Sig.
strikes
1 of 3
0 of 0
Take-
downs
1 of 3
2:03
Control
2:03
1
Knock-
downs
0
1
Sub
attempts
0
Distance 2Clinch 25Ground 6
Where it
happened
Distance 1Clinch 0Ground 0

Significant strikes, takedowns, control time, knockdowns and submission attempts exactly as UFCStats recorded them for this bout, round by round. Zone percentages are that round’s landed head, body and leg counts over their own total — raw arithmetic, nothing modelled or smoothed. A round in which a fighter landed nothing shades empty and reads zero; it is never filled in from the round before.

How it ended

This bout never reached the judges. Here is the finish, as the official record has it.

Won inside the distance

Axel Sola

Round
1
Clock
4:44
Method
SUB

This bout did not reach the judges, so there are no official cards for it. The round-by-round tape above is the whole record of what happened. Referee: Marc Goddard.

Still to come on this page

Named rather than hidden. It is built from data already on disk and lands in the next pass of this build-out.

The market story coming in this build-out

What the price did in the week before the cage door shut, with the moment our pick was frozen marked on it. Where we captured no price history for a bout, this panel will say so rather than draw a line that was never there.

← Back to the public record