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Events · Ankalaev vs Guskov · Abubakar Vagaev vs Saygid Izagakhmaev
Red corner AbubakarVagaevFight Club Akhmat · Grozny, Chechnya
VSSettled
Blue corner SaygidIzagakhmaevAbdulmanap Nurmagomedov School · Makhachkala, Dagestan
Welterweight3 rounds25 Jul 2026
25-4
Record
22-4
33
Age
−2 yr31
Fight Club Akhmat
Gym
Abdulmanap Nurmagomedov School
Grozny, Chechnya
From
Makhachkala, Dagestan
Vitals, record, nickname and camp come from the public UFC fighter register and are current, not a snapshot of fight night. UFC bouts, finish rate and every storyline line are counted off the official UFC fight record. A tick marks the side holding the raw edge in that row — longer reach, taller, younger, more bouts, a higher finish rate. It is a fact about the tape, not a prediction, and rows with no clean comparison (record, stance, gym, hometown) carry no tick at all. Any row we cannot fill on both sides is left out rather than half-drawn. Streaks, bout counts and finish rates are as they stood going into this fight — this bout and everything after it is excluded from the count.

The call vs the fight

What we published before the card, next to what happened in the cage.

Our call
Abubakar Vagaev
54.2% confidentTOSS-UP
Method calledDEC 53%
Vs the market−14.4pp
Market had our pick at69%
The fight
Abubakar Vagaev
WIN
How it endedU-DEC
Round3 of 3
Clock5:00
Called it We called Abubakar Vagaev at 54.2% and Abubakar Vagaev won. The method call landed too.
Graded against the official UFC result, from the same record every other page on this site is graded from. The tick beside the verdict is the method call — a correct winner with a wrong method is a partial hit and reads as one. See the full public record →

Round by round

Every round the fight went, shaded by where the significant strikes actually landed — and the takedowns, control time and knockdowns beside them.

UFCStats · per round

3 rounds of tape

Round 15:00 of action
Abubakar Vagaev3 sig landed
HEAD67%2 of 4BODY33%1 of 2LEGS0%0 landed
Saygid Izagakhmaev7 sig landed
HEAD14%1 of 6BODY43%3 of 3LEGS43%3 of 3
3 of 6
Sig.
strikes
7 of 12
2 of 4
Take-
downs
0 of 1
4:07
Control
0:16
0
Sub
attempts
0
Distance 0Clinch 1Ground 2
Where it
happened
Distance 4Clinch 3Ground 0
Round 25:00 of action
Abubakar Vagaev20 sig landed
HEAD50%10 of 30BODY30%6 of 10LEGS20%4 of 5
Saygid Izagakhmaev13 sig landed
HEAD31%4 of 25BODY23%3 of 5LEGS46%6 of 7
20 of 45
Sig.
strikes
13 of 37
0 of 2
Take-
downs
1 of 3
2:07
Control
0:32
0
Sub
attempts
0
Distance 14Clinch 6Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 9Clinch 4Ground 0
Round 35:00 of action3 sub attemptsEnded 5:00
Abubakar Vagaev4 sig landed
HEAD100%4 of 18BODY0%0 of 1LEGS0%0 landed
Saygid Izagakhmaev13 sig landed
HEAD85%11 of 32BODY8%1 of 1LEGS8%1 of 1
4 of 19
Sig.
strikes
13 of 34
2 of 4
Take-
downs
1 of 3
1:32
Control
1:58
0
Sub
attempts
3
Distance 4Clinch 0Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 10Clinch 1Ground 2

Significant strikes, takedowns, control time, knockdowns and submission attempts exactly as UFCStats recorded them for this bout, round by round. Zone percentages are that round’s landed head, body and leg counts over their own total — raw arithmetic, nothing modelled or smoothed. A round in which a fighter landed nothing shades empty and reads zero; it is never filled in from the round before.

Judges’ scorecards

Every judge’s round, the media’s cards beside them, and how these judges usually score.

Official card

Decision - Unanimous

Referee · Mike Beltran
Official totals — Abubakar Vagaev first
JudgeTotal
Vito Paolillo2.1 avg spread · 47% wide29–28
Clemens Werner2.2 avg spread · 52% wide29–28
Cezary Wojciechowski29–28

Full round-by-round cards are pending a source refresh. The decisions corpus we read currently ends at 2026-05-16, so this bout has the judges’ totals but not their individual rounds yet. Nothing here is estimated to fill the gap — when the scrape is re-run, the grid appears.

Official cards come from the UFCStats fight record and MMA Decisions. Media cards and the fan vote are MMA Decisions’ own collection and are not official. Judge tendency figures are that judge’s whole recorded history, not this bout — they are context for how a card was scored, never a claim that it was scored wrongly.

Still to come on this page

Named rather than hidden. It is built from data already on disk and lands in the next pass of this build-out.

The market story coming in this build-out

What the price did in the week before the cage door shut, with the moment our pick was frozen marked on it. Where we captured no price history for a bout, this panel will say so rather than draw a line that was never there.

← Back to the public record