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Events · UFC Fight Night: Turcios vs Montes · Cody Garbrandt vs Xiao Long
Red corner CodyGarbrandt“No Love”Team Alpha Male · Uhrichsville, Ohio
VSSettled
Blue corner XiaoLong
Bantamweight Bout3 rounds7 Mar 2026
The story going in
  • Has dropped 2 straight in the UFC.
  • Lands 2.3 more significant strikes a minute than Garbrandt.
  • Has finished 6 of 9 UFC wins.
15-8
Record
27-11
34
Age
−7 yr27
5' 8"
Height
5' 8"
65″
Reach
+5″70″
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
+1316
UFC bouts
3
6/967% of wins
Finishes
1/1100% of wins
Vitals, record, nickname and camp come from the public UFC fighter register and are current, not a snapshot of fight night. UFC bouts, finish rate and every storyline line are counted off the official UFC fight record. A tick marks the side holding the raw edge in that row — longer reach, taller, younger, more bouts, a higher finish rate. It is a fact about the tape, not a prediction, and rows with no clean comparison (record, stance, gym, hometown) carry no tick at all. Any row we cannot fill on both sides is left out rather than half-drawn. Streaks, bout counts and finish rates are as they stood going into this fight — this bout and everything after it is excluded from the count.

The call vs the fight

What we published before the card, next to what happened in the cage.

Our call
Xiao Long
54.4% confidentTOSS-UP
Method calledDEC 56%
Vs the market+4.4pp
Market had our pick at50%
The fight
Cody Garbrandt
LOSS
How it endedDEC
Round3 of 3
Clock5:00
Missed We called Xiao Long at 54.4%Cody Garbrandt won. We had the method right and the man wrong.
Graded against the official UFC result, from the same record every other page on this site is graded from. The tick beside the verdict is the method call — a correct winner with a wrong method is a partial hit and reads as one. See the full public record →

Round by round

Every round the fight went, shaded by where the significant strikes actually landed — and the takedowns, control time and knockdowns beside them.

UFCStats · per round

3 rounds of tape

Round 15:00 of action
Cody Garbrandt10 sig landed
HEAD60%6 of 16BODY20%2 of 2LEGS20%2 of 2
Xiao Long20 sig landed
HEAD15%3 of 10BODY10%2 of 4LEGS75%15 of 17
10 of 20
Sig.
strikes
20 of 31
0 of 2
Take-
downs
0 of 0
0:27
Control
0:00
Distance 7Clinch 3Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 20Clinch 0Ground 0
Round 25:00 of action
Cody Garbrandt7 sig landed
HEAD57%4 of 12BODY29%2 of 2LEGS14%1 of 1
Xiao Long21 sig landed
HEAD14%3 of 16BODY29%6 of 7LEGS57%12 of 18
7 of 15
Sig.
strikes
21 of 41
0 of 1
Take-
downs
0 of 1
0:11
Control
0:00
Distance 5Clinch 2Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 21Clinch 0Ground 0
Round 35:00 of actionEnded 5:00
Cody Garbrandt11 sig landed
HEAD27%3 of 11BODY64%7 of 7LEGS9%1 of 1
Xiao Long18 sig landed
HEAD28%5 of 15BODY61%11 of 17LEGS11%2 of 4
11 of 19
Sig.
strikes
18 of 36
0 of 5
Take-
downs
1 of 1
0:15
Control
0:47
Distance 5Clinch 6Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 10Clinch 3Ground 5

Significant strikes, takedowns, control time, knockdowns and submission attempts exactly as UFCStats recorded them for this bout, round by round. Zone percentages are that round’s landed head, body and leg counts over their own total — raw arithmetic, nothing modelled or smoothed. A round in which a fighter landed nothing shades empty and reads zero; it is never filled in from the round before.

Judges’ scorecards

Every judge’s round, the media’s cards beside them, and how these judges usually score.

Official card

Unanimous Decision

Referee · Herb Dean
Cody GarbrandtXiao Long
Official card — Cody Garbrandt first
JudgeR1R2R3Total
Michael Bell10–99–109–828–27
Ben Cartlidge2.1 avg spread · 45% wide9–109–1010–728–27
Ron McCarthy2.0 avg spread · 41% wide10–99–109–828–27

Media cards — 11 scored, Cody Garbrandt first · unofficial

Drake Riggs Uncrowned28–27
Combat Press.com28–27
Ben Duffy Sherdog.com28–27
Steve Duncan mma.uno28–28
Dan Levi Best Fight Picks27–28
Keith Shillan Sherdog.com27–28
Ryan Frederick WrestlingObserver.com27–28
Matthew Wells MMAJunkie.com27–28
Zane Simon The MMA Vivisection27–28
Jay Pettry Sherdog.com27–28
Dayne Fox Sherdog.com27–28

Fan vote · unofficial

28-27 Long · 68%28-27 Garbrandt · 23%29-26 Garbrandt · 2%30-25 Garbrandt · 2%

257 fan cards submitted to MMA Decisions.

Official cards come from the UFCStats fight record and MMA Decisions. Media cards and the fan vote are MMA Decisions’ own collection and are not official. Judge tendency figures are that judge’s whole recorded history, not this bout — they are context for how a card was scored, never a claim that it was scored wrongly.

Still to come on this page

Named rather than hidden. It is built from data already on disk and lands in the next pass of this build-out.

The market story coming in this build-out

What the price did in the week before the cage door shut, with the moment our pick was frozen marked on it. Where we captured no price history for a bout, this panel will say so rather than draw a line that was never there.

← Back to the public record