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Preview · 15 Jun 2026

The Star Is the Favorite; the Model Says Coin Flip

Sean O'Malley is a heavy betting favorite over Aiemann Zahabi — but the numbers see a much tighter fight.

Sean O'Malley is the name and the line's clear favorite, back in the win column after edging Song Yadong following back-to-back losses to Merab Dvalishvili. But Aiemann Zahabi is the quietly dangerous problem here: the Canadian has won four straight by decision, including notable nods over Pedro Munhoz, Jose Aldo, and Marlon Vera. FightIQ's model rates this close to a toss-up — far tighter than O'Malley's price implies — making it one of the card's notable model/market splits. O'Malley's flash and output against Zahabi's steady, technical volume; the star power says one thing, the data says it's anyone's.

Published by the FightIQ desk on 15 Jun 2026. Claims about fights and records are checked against our own graded card data before publication — the same data behind the public track record.

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