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Picks · Compare · Song Yadong vs Umar Nurmagomedov
Bantamweight · 5 rounds · Nurmagomedov vs Song
22-9-1
Red corner
VS
20-1
Blue corner

The model's read of this fight

One honest, calibrated confidence split — a real, booked bout, so we show the number.

LOCK We predict Umar Nurmagomedov74% confident
Song Yadong 26% Umar Nurmagomedov 74%

The grappling gap is real: Umar Nurmagomedov averages 4.03 takedowns per 15 min to 0.78. Net of it, the method model leans a decision (60%), the model flags Umar Nurmagomedov at LOCK.

Built only from the striking / grappling rates and the method read shown on this page — career averages from public UFC statistics. If a number isn't in the data, it isn't in this summary.

Tale of the tape

Song Yadong vs Umar Nurmagomedov — the facts, side by side. ▲ marks the reach edge.

22-9-1Record20-1
Kung Fu KidNickname
5' 8"Height5' 8"
67.0"Reach69.0"
OrthodoxStanceOrthodox
28Age30
135 lbs.Weight135 lbs.
NationalityRussia
HometownKizilyurt, Dagestan
Fighting out ofEagles MMA
Vitals and record from public UFC statistics; nickname, nationality, hometown and camp from the public fighter register.

FightIQ Metrics

Our read — not official stats. Six 0–100 scores, each a percentile rank against every fighter on record. The better score on each row is highlighted in that fighter's corner colour.

Song YadongUmar Nurmagomedov
66
Striking
81
50
Defence
86
25
Grappling / TD
55
84
Cardio
71
99
Chin
74
65
Fight IQ
73
Our read — derived, not official stats.

Strike zones

Strike zones

Where they go — head to head

Career UFC significant strikes by target zone. Red corner left, blue corner right.

Song Yadong17 UFC fights · 958 landed

61.3%
HEAD
68.3%
19.0%
BODY
20.2%
19.7%
LEGS
11.5%

Umar Nurmagomedov9 UFC fights · 489 landed

Significant strikes only, as recorded by UFCStats, across the fighter's whole UFC career. Shares are raw counts — nothing here is modelled or smoothed. Accuracy is landed ÷ attempted and comes from the per-round tape, which covers slightly fewer fights than the totals do.

Stat-by-stat

Song Yadong (left) vs Umar Nurmagomedov (right) — career striking & grappling rates. The fighter ahead on each row is highlighted in their corner colour.

Strikes landed / min
4.42
vs
3.86
Striking accuracy
43%
vs
56%
Strikes absorbed / min
3.94
vs
1.86
Striking defence
55%
vs
61%
Takedowns / 15 min
0.78
vs
4.03
Takedown accuracy
39%
vs
46%
Takedown defence
73%
vs
79%
Sub attempts / 15 min
0.1
vs
0.2
Career averages from public UFC statistics. On “strikes absorbed / min”, fewer is better.

Live market

The market line next to the live prediction-market price — information only, not a bet call.

paymentsSportsbook line
Song Yadong+400
Umar Nurmagomedov-500
Live · Polymarket
Song Yadong20% · +388
Umar Nurmagomedov80% · -388
as of 2026-08-25T04:57:06Z · $34,217 liquidity. The implied chance is the market's number, not ours.

Go deeper

Want to compare two other fighters? The build-your-own head-to-head lets you stack any two fighters we hold data on side by side — tale of the tape, stat-by-stat and the FightIQ Metrics. What it can't show is a model read: we only publish a prediction on a booked bout, where the call is timestamped before the cage door closes.
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