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Picks · Compare · Modestas Bukauskas vs Oumar Sy
Light Heavyweight · 3 rounds · Hooker vs Parnasse
20-7
Red corner
VS
12-2
Blue corner

The model's read of this fight

One honest, calibrated confidence split — a real, booked bout, so we show the number.

MED We predict Oumar Sy72% confident
Modestas Bukauskas 28% Oumar Sy 72%

The grappling gap is real: Oumar Sy averages 2.45 takedowns per 15 min to 0.23. Net of it, the method model leans KO/TKO (44%), the model flags Oumar Sy at MED.

Built only from the striking / grappling rates and the method read shown on this page — career averages from public UFC statistics. If a number isn't in the data, it isn't in this summary.

Tale of the tape

Modestas Bukauskas vs Oumar Sy — the facts, side by side. ▲ marks the reach edge.

20-7Record12-2
The Baltic GladiatorNickname
6' 3"Height6' 4"
76.0"Reach83.0"
SwitchStanceOrthodox
32Age30
205 lbs.Weight205 lbs.
LithuaniaNationalityFrance
KlaipedaHometownParis
Fighting out ofBulgarian Top Team
Vitals and record from public UFC statistics; nickname, nationality, hometown and camp from the public fighter register.

FightIQ Metrics

Our read — not official stats. Six 0–100 scores, each a percentile rank against the fighter’s own weight class (the full roster where a division is too thin to rank in). The better score on each row is highlighted in that fighter's corner colour.

Modestas BukauskasOumar Sy
52
Striking
64
47
Defence
88
32
Grappling / TD
42
55
Cardio
51
24
Chin
91
42
Fight IQ
67
Our read — derived, not official stats. Ranked within weight class.

Strike zones

Strike zones

Where they go — head to head

Career UFC significant strikes by target zone. Red corner left, blue corner right.

Modestas Bukauskas13 UFC fights · 411 landed

72.3%
HEAD
51.3%
17.0%
BODY
19.2%
10.7%
LEGS
29.5%

Oumar Sy5 UFC fights · 146 landed

Significant strikes only, as recorded by UFCStats, across the fighter's whole UFC career. Shares are raw counts — nothing here is modelled or smoothed. Accuracy is landed ÷ attempted and comes from the per-round tape, which covers slightly fewer fights than the totals do. “Field” is the average fighter in that weight class, or across every division where a class is too small to average.

Stat-by-stat

Modestas Bukauskas (left) vs Oumar Sy (right) — career striking & grappling rates. The fighter ahead on each row is highlighted in their corner colour.

Strikes landed / min
3.14
vs
3.41
Striking accuracy
43%
vs
48%
Strikes absorbed / min
3.86
vs
1.87
Striking defence
50%
vs
66%
Takedowns / 15 min
0.23
vs
2.45
Takedown accuracy
66%
vs
35%
Takedown defence
82%
vs
66%
Sub attempts / 15 min
0.1
vs
0.3
Career averages from public UFC statistics. On “strikes absorbed / min”, fewer is better.

Live market

The market line next to the live prediction-market price — information only, not a bet call.

paymentsSportsbook line
Modestas Bukauskas+144
Oumar Sy-178
Live · Polymarket
Modestas Bukauskas38% · +167
Oumar Sy62% · -167
as of 2026-08-30T09:51:07Z · $236 liquidity. The implied chance is the market's number, not ours.

Go deeper

Want to compare two other fighters? The build-your-own head-to-head lets you stack any two fighters we hold data on side by side — tale of the tape, stat-by-stat and the FightIQ Metrics. What it can't show is a model read: we only publish a prediction on a booked bout, where the call is timestamped before the cage door closes.
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