One honest, calibrated confidence split — a real, booked bout, so we show the number.
On the feet Matthieu Duclos lands more volume — 3.93 strikes a minute to 1.77. The grappling gap is real: Luis Felipe Dias averages 6.24 takedowns per 15 min to 0. Net of it, the method model leans KO/TKO (43%), the edges are too close to separate — so we call it a toss-up and don't lean.
Built only from the striking / grappling rates and the method read shown on this page — career averages from public UFC statistics. If a number isn't in the data, it isn't in this summary.Luis Felipe Dias vs Matthieu Duclos — the facts, side by side. ▲ marks the reach edge.
| 18-5 | Record | 6-3 |
| 5' 10" | Height | 6' 3" |
| 74.0" | Reach | ▲77.0" |
| — | Stance | Orthodox |
| 31 | Age | 31 |
| 185 lbs. | Weight | 185 lbs. |
| Brazil | Nationality | — |
| Sao Jose dos Campos, Sao Paulo | Hometown | — |
| Parana Vale Tudo | Fighting out of | — |
Our read — not official stats. Six 0–100 scores, each a percentile rank against the fighter’s own weight class (the full roster where a division is too thin to rank in). The better score on each row is highlighted in that fighter's corner colour.
Where the strikes go — and where they land on him. Career UFC totals, straight off the tape.
Significant strikes only, as recorded by UFCStats, across the fighter's whole UFC career. Shares are raw counts — nothing here is modelled or smoothed. Accuracy is landed ÷ attempted and comes from the per-round tape, which covers slightly fewer fights than the totals do. “Field” is the average fighter in that weight class, or across every division where a class is too small to average.
Luis Felipe Dias (left) vs Matthieu Duclos (right) — career striking & grappling rates. The fighter ahead on each row is highlighted in their corner colour.
The market line next to the live prediction-market price — information only, not a bet call.