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Picks · Compare · Kevin Borjas vs Rei Tsuruya
Flyweight · 3 rounds · Nurmagomedov vs Song
10-5
Red corner
VS
10-1
Blue corner

The model's read of this fight

One honest, calibrated confidence split — a real, booked bout, so we show the number.

LOCK We predict Rei Tsuruya82% confident
Kevin Borjas 18% Rei Tsuruya 82%

On the feet Kevin Borjas lands more volume — 3.96 strikes a minute to 2.24. The grappling gap is real: Rei Tsuruya averages 5.06 takedowns per 15 min to 0. Net of it, the method model leans a decision (63%), the model flags Rei Tsuruya at LOCK.

Built only from the striking / grappling rates and the method read shown on this page — career averages from public UFC statistics. If a number isn't in the data, it isn't in this summary.

Tale of the tape

Kevin Borjas vs Rei Tsuruya — the facts, side by side. ▲ marks the reach edge.

10-5Record10-1
El Gallo NegroNickname
5' 5"Height5' 6"
68.0"Reach68.0"
OrthodoxStanceOrthodox
28Age24
125 lbs.Weight125 lbs.
PeruNationalityJapan
LimaHometownKashiwa, Chiba
Pitbull Martial Arts CenterFighting out ofThe Blackbelt Japan
Vitals and record from public UFC statistics; nickname, nationality, hometown and camp from the public fighter register.

FightIQ Metrics

Our read — not official stats. Six 0–100 scores, each a percentile rank against every fighter on record. The better score on each row is highlighted in that fighter's corner colour.

Kevin BorjasRei Tsuruya
64
Striking
58
26
Defence
52
n/a
Grappling / TD
74
61
Cardio
27
24
Chin
68 limited sample
44
Fight IQ
56
Our read — derived, not official stats.

Strike zones

Strike zones

Where they go — head to head

Career UFC significant strikes by target zone. Red corner left, blue corner right.

Kevin Borjas6 UFC fights · 265 landed

73.2%
HEAD
90.9%
16.6%
BODY
6.1%
10.2%
LEGS
3.0%

Rei Tsuruya3 UFC fights · 66 landed

Significant strikes only, as recorded by UFCStats, across the fighter's whole UFC career. Shares are raw counts — nothing here is modelled or smoothed. Accuracy is landed ÷ attempted and comes from the per-round tape, which covers slightly fewer fights than the totals do.

Stat-by-stat

Kevin Borjas (left) vs Rei Tsuruya (right) — career striking & grappling rates. The fighter ahead on each row is highlighted in their corner colour.

Strikes landed / min
3.96
vs
2.24
Striking accuracy
44%
vs
52%
Strikes absorbed / min
5.64
vs
2.01
Striking defence
49%
vs
42%
Takedowns / 15 min
0
vs
5.06
Takedown accuracy
0%
vs
37%
Takedown defence
70%
vs
50%
Sub attempts / 15 min
0
vs
1.9
Career averages from public UFC statistics. On “strikes absorbed / min”, fewer is better.

Live market

The market line next to the live prediction-market price — information only, not a bet call.

paymentsSportsbook line
Kevin Borjas+489
Rei Tsuruya-611
Live · Polymarket
Kevin Borjas16% · +545
Rei Tsuruya84% · -545
as of 2026-08-25T04:57:06Z · $4,520 liquidity. The implied chance is the market's number, not ours.

Go deeper

Want to compare two other fighters? The build-your-own head-to-head lets you stack any two fighters we hold data on side by side — tale of the tape, stat-by-stat and the FightIQ Metrics. What it can't show is a model read: we only publish a prediction on a booked bout, where the call is timestamped before the cage door closes.
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