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Picks · Compare · Julia Polastri vs Xiong Jingnan
Women's Strawweight · 3 rounds · Nurmagomedov vs Song
14-6
Red corner
VS
XJ
19-2
Blue corner

The model's read of this fight

One honest, calibrated confidence split — a real, booked bout, so we show the number.

TOSS-UP We predict Julia Polastri55% confident
Julia Polastri 55% Xiong Jingnan 45%

On the feet Julia Polastri lands more volume — 6.22 strikes a minute to 0. Julia Polastri is the harder man to take down — 57% takedown defence to 0%. Net of it, the method model leans a decision (65%), the edges are too close to separate — so we call it a toss-up and don't lean.

Built only from the striking / grappling rates and the method read shown on this page — career averages from public UFC statistics. If a number isn't in the data, it isn't in this summary.

Tale of the tape

Julia Polastri vs Xiong Jingnan — the facts, side by side. ▲ marks the reach edge.

14-6Record19-2
PsychoNickname
5' 2"Height--
63.0"Reach--
OrthodoxStance
28Age38
115 lbs.Weight115 lbs.
BrazilNationality
Duque de Caxias, Rio de JaneiroHometown
CWB FighterFighting out of
Vitals and record from public UFC statistics; nickname, nationality, hometown and camp from the public fighter register.

FightIQ Metrics

Our read — not official stats. Six 0–100 scores, each a percentile rank against every fighter on record. The better score on each row is highlighted in that fighter's corner colour.

Julia PolastriXiong Jingnan
92
Striking
n/a
48
Defence
n/a
42
Grappling / TD
n/a
73
Cardio
56 limited sample
83
Chin
59 limited sample
68
Fight IQ
58
Our read — derived, not official stats.

Strike zones

Strike zones

Where they go — head to head

Career UFC significant strikes by target zone. Red corner left, blue corner right.

Julia Polastri5 UFC fights · 454 landed

59.2%
HEAD
48.5%
26.9%
BODY
30.9%
13.9%
LEGS
20.6%

Xiong Jingnan1 UFC fights · 68 landed

Limited sample

Significant strikes only, as recorded by UFCStats, across the fighter's whole UFC career. Shares are raw counts — nothing here is modelled or smoothed. Accuracy is landed ÷ attempted and comes from the per-round tape, which covers slightly fewer fights than the totals do.

Stat-by-stat

Julia Polastri (left) vs Xiong Jingnan (right) — career striking & grappling rates. The fighter ahead on each row is highlighted in their corner colour.

Strikes landed / min
6.22
vs
0
Striking accuracy
56%
vs
0%
Strikes absorbed / min
5.18
vs
0
Striking defence
59%
vs
0%
Takedowns / 15 min
0.62
vs
0
Takedown accuracy
80%
vs
0%
Takedown defence
57%
vs
0%
Sub attempts / 15 min
0.3
vs
0
Career averages from public UFC statistics. On “strikes absorbed / min”, fewer is better.

Live market

The market line next to the live prediction-market price — information only, not a bet call.

paymentsSportsbook line
Julia Polastri-229
Xiong Jingnan+200
Live · Polymarket
Julia Polastri68% · -213
Xiong Jingnan32% · +212
as of 2026-08-25T04:57:06Z · $375 liquidity. The implied chance is the market's number, not ours.

Go deeper

Want to compare two other fighters? The build-your-own head-to-head lets you stack any two fighters we hold data on side by side — tale of the tape, stat-by-stat and the FightIQ Metrics. What it can't show is a model read: we only publish a prediction on a booked bout, where the call is timestamped before the cage door closes.
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