One honest, calibrated confidence split — a real, booked bout, so we show the number.
Net of it, the method model leans a decision (50%), the edges are too close to separate — so we call it a toss-up and don't lean.
Built only from the striking / grappling rates and the method read shown on this page — career averages from public UFC statistics. If a number isn't in the data, it isn't in this summary.Francesco Nuzzi vs Xiao Long — the facts, side by side. ▲ marks the reach edge.
| — | Record | 27-11 |
| — | Height | 5' 8" |
| — | Reach | 70.0" |
| — | Stance | Orthodox |
| — | Age | 28 |
| — | Weight | 135 lbs. |
Our read — not official stats. Six 0–100 scores, each a percentile rank against every fighter on record. The better score on each row is highlighted in that fighter's corner colour.
Where the strikes go — and where they land on him. Career UFC totals, straight off the tape.
Significant strikes only, as recorded by UFCStats, across the fighter's whole UFC career. Shares are raw counts — nothing here is modelled or smoothed. Accuracy is landed ÷ attempted and comes from the per-round tape, which covers slightly fewer fights than the totals do.
Francesco Nuzzi (left) vs Xiao Long (right) — career striking & grappling rates. The fighter ahead on each row is highlighted in their corner colour.
The market line next to the live prediction-market price — information only, not a bet call.