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Picks · Compare · Francesco Nuzzi vs Xiao Long
Bantamweight · 3 rounds · Nurmagomedov vs Song
Red corner
VS
27-11
Blue corner

The model's read of this fight

One honest, calibrated confidence split — a real, booked bout, so we show the number.

TOSS-UP We predict Francesco Nuzzi50% confident
Francesco Nuzzi 50% Xiao Long 50%

Net of it, the method model leans a decision (50%), the edges are too close to separate — so we call it a toss-up and don't lean.

Built only from the striking / grappling rates and the method read shown on this page — career averages from public UFC statistics. If a number isn't in the data, it isn't in this summary.

Tale of the tape

Francesco Nuzzi vs Xiao Long — the facts, side by side. ▲ marks the reach edge.

Record27-11
Height5' 8"
Reach70.0"
StanceOrthodox
Age28
Weight135 lbs.
partial Vitals for Francesco Nuzzi are pending — shown as “—”.
Vitals and record from public UFC statistics; nickname, nationality, hometown and camp from the public fighter register.

FightIQ Metrics

Our read — not official stats. Six 0–100 scores, each a percentile rank against every fighter on record. The better score on each row is highlighted in that fighter's corner colour.

Francesco NuzziXiao Long
n/a
Striking
76
n/a
Defence
41
n/a
Grappling / TD
21
n/a
Cardio
74
n/a
Chin
77
n/a
Fight IQ
58
Our read — derived, not official stats.

Strike zones

Strike zones

Xiao Long

Where the strikes go — and where they land on him. Career UFC totals, straight off the tape.

HEAD55.6%ACC 38%BODY23.8%ACC 60%LEGS20.6%ACC 65%
FightIQ read Balanced attack 56% head / 24% body / 21% legs — no single target dominates.
Share by zonevs field average
HEAD
55.6% acc 38%−7.3 vs field
BODY
23.8% acc 60%+3.0 vs field
LEGS
20.6% acc 65%+4.3 vs field
Where the offence happens
DISTANCE 69%CLINCH 28%GROUND 2%

Significant strikes only, as recorded by UFCStats, across the fighter's whole UFC career. Shares are raw counts — nothing here is modelled or smoothed. Accuracy is landed ÷ attempted and comes from the per-round tape, which covers slightly fewer fights than the totals do.

4 UFC fights · 282 landed

Stat-by-stat

Francesco Nuzzi (left) vs Xiao Long (right) — career striking & grappling rates. The fighter ahead on each row is highlighted in their corner colour.

Strikes landed / min
vs
5.06
Striking accuracy
vs
47%
Strikes absorbed / min
vs
3.85
Striking defence
vs
50%
Takedowns / 15 min
vs
0.74
Takedown accuracy
vs
27%
Takedown defence
vs
82%
Sub attempts / 15 min
vs
0
partial Career stats for Francesco Nuzzi are pending — shown as “—”.
Career averages from public UFC statistics. On “strikes absorbed / min”, fewer is better.

Live market

The market line next to the live prediction-market price — information only, not a bet call.

paymentsSportsbook line
Francesco Nuzzi+152
Xiao Long-175
Live · Polymarket
No live market matched to this bout — we show nothing rather than a guessed price.

Go deeper

Want to compare two other fighters? The build-your-own head-to-head lets you stack any two fighters we hold data on side by side — tale of the tape, stat-by-stat and the FightIQ Metrics. What it can't show is a model read: we only publish a prediction on a booked bout, where the call is timestamped before the cage door closes.
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