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Picks · Compare · Felipe Lima vs Morgan Charriere
Featherweight · 3 rounds · Hooker vs Parnasse
14-2
Red corner
VS
21-12-1
Blue corner

The model's read of this fight

One honest, calibrated confidence split — a real, booked bout, so we show the number.

HIGH We predict Felipe Lima64% confident
Felipe Lima 64% Morgan Charriere 36%

On the feet Morgan Charriere lands more volume — 4.02 strikes a minute to 2.86. Net of it, the method model leans a decision (55%), the model flags Felipe Lima at HIGH.

Built only from the striking / grappling rates and the method read shown on this page — career averages from public UFC statistics. If a number isn't in the data, it isn't in this summary.

Tale of the tape

Felipe Lima vs Morgan Charriere — the facts, side by side. ▲ marks the reach edge.

14-2Record21-12-1
Jungle BoyNicknameThe Last Pirate
5' 6"Height5' 8"
68.0"Reach69.0"
OrthodoxStanceOrthodox
28Age30
135 lbs.Weight145 lbs.
BrazilNationalityFrance
Manaus, AmazonasHometownPoissy
Allstars Training CenterFighting out ofTeam Chapa Quente
Vitals and record from public UFC statistics; nickname, nationality, hometown and camp from the public fighter register.

FightIQ Metrics

Our read — not official stats. Six 0–100 scores, each a percentile rank against the fighter’s own weight class (the full roster where a division is too thin to rank in). The better score on each row is highlighted in that fighter's corner colour.

Felipe LimaMorgan Charriere
54
Striking
76
74
Defence
38
44
Grappling / TD
47
61
Cardio
37
72 limited sample
Chin
34
61
Fight IQ
46
Our read — derived, not official stats. Ranked within weight class.

Strike zones

Strike zones

Where they go — head to head

Career UFC significant strikes by target zone. Red corner left, blue corner right.

Felipe Lima3 UFC fights · 118 landed

59.3%
HEAD
60.0%
22.9%
BODY
23.9%
17.8%
LEGS
16.1%

Morgan Charriere6 UFC fights · 205 landed

Significant strikes only, as recorded by UFCStats, across the fighter's whole UFC career. Shares are raw counts — nothing here is modelled or smoothed. Accuracy is landed ÷ attempted and comes from the per-round tape, which covers slightly fewer fights than the totals do. “Field” is the average fighter in that weight class, or across every division where a class is too small to average.

Stat-by-stat

Felipe Lima (left) vs Morgan Charriere (right) — career striking & grappling rates. The fighter ahead on each row is highlighted in their corner colour.

Strikes landed / min
2.86
vs
4.02
Striking accuracy
45%
vs
50%
Strikes absorbed / min
2.91
vs
4.51
Striking defence
64%
vs
53%
Takedowns / 15 min
2.18
vs
2.06
Takedown accuracy
27%
vs
46%
Takedown defence
85%
vs
83%
Sub attempts / 15 min
0.7
vs
0.3
Career averages from public UFC statistics. On “strikes absorbed / min”, fewer is better.

Live market

The market line next to the live prediction-market price — information only, not a bet call.

paymentsSportsbook line
Felipe Lima-200
Morgan Charriere+160
Live · Polymarket
Felipe Lima66% · -190
Morgan Charriere34% · +190
as of 2026-08-30T09:51:07Z · $3,829 liquidity. The implied chance is the market's number, not ours.

Go deeper

Want to compare two other fighters? The build-your-own head-to-head lets you stack any two fighters we hold data on side by side — tale of the tape, stat-by-stat and the FightIQ Metrics. What it can't show is a model read: we only publish a prediction on a booked bout, where the call is timestamped before the cage door closes.
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