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Picks · Compare · Cam Nelson vs Ding Meng
Welterweight · 3 rounds · Nurmagomedov vs Song
CN
Red corner
VS
34-9
Blue corner

The model's read of this fight

One honest, calibrated confidence split — a real, booked bout, so we show the number.

TOSS-UP We predict Ding Meng54% confident
Cam Nelson 46% Ding Meng 54%

Net of it, the method model leans KO/TKO (38%), the edges are too close to separate — so we call it a toss-up and don't lean.

Built only from the striking / grappling rates and the method read shown on this page — career averages from public UFC statistics. If a number isn't in the data, it isn't in this summary.

Tale of the tape

Cam Nelson vs Ding Meng — the facts, side by side. ▲ marks the reach edge.

Record34-9
Height6' 2"
Reach73.0"
StanceOrthodox
Age31
Weight170 lbs.
partial Vitals for Cam Nelson are pending — shown as “—”.
Vitals and record from public UFC statistics; nickname, nationality, hometown and camp from the public fighter register.

FightIQ Metrics

Our read — not official stats. Six 0–100 scores, each a percentile rank against every fighter on record. The better score on each row is highlighted in that fighter's corner colour.

Cam NelsonDing Meng
n/a
Striking
70
n/a
Defence
38
n/a
Grappling / TD
52
n/a
Cardio
61 limited sample
n/a
Chin
59 limited sample
n/a
Fight IQ
56
Our read — derived, not official stats.

Strike zones

Strike zones

Ding Meng

Where the strikes go — and where they land on him. Career UFC totals, straight off the tape.

HEAD20.6%ACC 18%BODY12.7%ACC 38%LEGS66.7%ACC 82%
FightIQ read Leg-kick specialist 66.7% of his landed strikes are to the legs — +50.4 on the field average.
Share by zonevs field average
HEAD
20.6% acc 18%−42.3 vs field
BODY
12.7% acc 38%−8.1 vs field
LEGS
66.7% acc 82%+50.4 vs field
Where the offence happens
DISTANCE 98%CLINCH 2%GROUND 0%

Significant strikes only, as recorded by UFCStats, across the fighter's whole UFC career. Shares are raw counts — nothing here is modelled or smoothed. Accuracy is landed ÷ attempted and comes from the per-round tape, which covers slightly fewer fights than the totals do.

Limited sample1 UFC fights · 63 landed

Stat-by-stat

Cam Nelson (left) vs Ding Meng (right) — career striking & grappling rates. The fighter ahead on each row is highlighted in their corner colour.

Strikes landed / min
vs
3.4
Striking accuracy
vs
50%
Strikes absorbed / min
vs
3.87
Striking defence
vs
48%
Takedowns / 15 min
vs
1
Takedown accuracy
vs
50%
Takedown defence
vs
0%
Sub attempts / 15 min
vs
0
partial Career stats for Cam Nelson are pending — shown as “—”.
Career averages from public UFC statistics. On “strikes absorbed / min”, fewer is better.

Live market

The market line next to the live prediction-market price — information only, not a bet call.

paymentsSportsbook line
Cam Nelson+140
Ding Meng-161
Live · Polymarket
Cam Nelson42% · +141
Ding Meng58% · -141
as of 2026-08-25T04:57:06Z · $761 liquidity. The implied chance is the market's number, not ours.

Go deeper

Want to compare two other fighters? The build-your-own head-to-head lets you stack any two fighters we hold data on side by side — tale of the tape, stat-by-stat and the FightIQ Metrics. What it can't show is a model read: we only publish a prediction on a booked bout, where the call is timestamped before the cage door closes.
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