One honest, calibrated confidence split — a real, booked bout, so we show the number.
HIGHWe predict Bilal Hasan — 67% confident
Bilal Hasan 67%Nilson Rojas 33%
Net of it, the method model leans a decision (37%), the model flags Bilal Hasan at HIGH.
Built only from the striking / grappling rates and the method read shown on this page — career averages from public UFC statistics. If a number isn't in the data, it isn't in this summary.
Tale of the tape
data pending Side-by-side vitals for
Bilal Hasan and Nilson Rojas are being verified before they publish — we don't show half-filled tables.
FightIQ Metrics
Our read — not official stats. Six 0–100 scores, each a percentile rank against every fighter on record. The better score on each row is highlighted in that fighter's corner colour.
Bilal HasanNilson Rojas
n/a
Striking
n/a
n/a
Defence
n/a
n/a
Grappling / TD
n/a
n/a
CardioNo UFC fight on record yet
n/a
n/a
ChinNo UFC fight on record yet
n/a
n/a
Fight IQ
n/a
Our read — derived, not official stats.
Stat-by-stat
pending Striking and grappling head-to-head for
Bilal Hasan vs Nilson Rojas is pending — no fabricated numbers.
Live market
The market line next to the live prediction-market price — information only, not a bet call.
paymentsSportsbook line
Bilal Hasan-611
Nilson Rojas+489
Live · Polymarket
Bilal Hasan82% · -471
Nilson Rojas18% · +471
as of 2026-08-25T04:57:06Z · $1,533 liquidity. The implied chance is the market's number, not ours.
Want to compare two other fighters? The build-your-own head-to-head lets you stack any two fighters we hold data on side by side — tale of the tape, stat-by-stat and the FightIQ Metrics. What it can't show is a model read: we only publish a prediction on a booked bout, where the call is timestamped before the cage door closes.