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Picks · Compare · Axel Sola vs Fares Ziam
Lightweight · 3 rounds · Hooker vs Parnasse
12-1-1
Red corner
VS
18-5
Blue corner

The model's read of this fight

One honest, calibrated confidence split — a real, booked bout, so we show the number.

MED We predict Fares Ziam68% confident
Axel Sola 32% Fares Ziam 68%

On the feet Axel Sola lands more volume — 4.07 strikes a minute to 2.87. Fares Ziam is the harder man to take down — 71% takedown defence to 0%. Net of it, the method model leans a decision (56%), the model flags Fares Ziam at MED.

Built only from the striking / grappling rates and the method read shown on this page — career averages from public UFC statistics. If a number isn't in the data, it isn't in this summary.

Tale of the tape

Axel Sola vs Fares Ziam — the facts, side by side. ▲ marks the reach edge.

12-1-1Record18-5
NicknameSmile Killer
6' 0"Height6' 1"
74.0"Reach75.0"
SouthpawStanceOrthodox
28Age29
155 lbs.Weight155 lbs.
FranceNationalityFrance
HometownVenissieux
Boxing SquadFighting out ofKill Cliff FC
Vitals and record from public UFC statistics; nickname, nationality, hometown and camp from the public fighter register.

FightIQ Metrics

Our read — not official stats. Six 0–100 scores, each a percentile rank against the fighter’s own weight class (the full roster where a division is too thin to rank in). The better score on each row is highlighted in that fighter's corner colour.

Axel SolaFares Ziam
70
Striking
69
49
Defence
92
55
Grappling / TD
47
60
Cardio
20
68 limited sample
Chin
96
60
Fight IQ
65
Our read — derived, not official stats. Ranked within weight class.

Strike zones

Strike zones

Where they go — head to head

Career UFC significant strikes by target zone. Red corner left, blue corner right.

Axel Sola3 UFC fights · 143 landed

83.9%
HEAD
65.6%
16.1%
BODY
18.5%
0.0%
LEGS
15.9%

Fares Ziam11 UFC fights · 389 landed

Significant strikes only, as recorded by UFCStats, across the fighter's whole UFC career. Shares are raw counts — nothing here is modelled or smoothed. Accuracy is landed ÷ attempted and comes from the per-round tape, which covers slightly fewer fights than the totals do. “Field” is the average fighter in that weight class, or across every division where a class is too small to average.

Stat-by-stat

Axel Sola (left) vs Fares Ziam (right) — career striking & grappling rates. The fighter ahead on each row is highlighted in their corner colour.

Strikes landed / min
4.07
vs
2.87
Striking accuracy
45%
vs
52%
Strikes absorbed / min
5.29
vs
1.53
Striking defence
61%
vs
65%
Takedowns / 15 min
2.22
vs
1.73
Takedown accuracy
36%
vs
40%
Takedown defence
0%
vs
71%
Sub attempts / 15 min
0
vs
0.5
Career averages from public UFC statistics. On “strikes absorbed / min”, fewer is better.

Live market

The market line next to the live prediction-market price — information only, not a bet call.

paymentsSportsbook line
Axel Sola+118
Fares Ziam-144
Live · Polymarket
Axel Sola40% · +153
Fares Ziam60% · -153
as of 2026-08-30T09:51:07Z · $4,249 liquidity. The implied chance is the market's number, not ours.

Go deeper

Want to compare two other fighters? The build-your-own head-to-head lets you stack any two fighters we hold data on side by side — tale of the tape, stat-by-stat and the FightIQ Metrics. What it can't show is a model read: we only publish a prediction on a booked bout, where the call is timestamped before the cage door closes.
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