Flyweight · 3 rounds · Nurmagomedov vs Song
One honest, calibrated confidence split — a real, booked bout, so we show the number.
The grappling gap is real: Alex Perez averages 2.21 takedowns per 15 min to 0.67. Net of it, the method model leans a decision (52%), the model flags Sumudaerji at LOW.
Built only from the striking / grappling rates and the method read shown on this page — career averages from public UFC statistics. If a number isn't in the data, it isn't in this summary.Alex Perez vs Sumudaerji — the facts, side by side. ▲ marks the reach edge.
| 26-10 | Record | 19-7 |
| 5' 6" | Height | 5' 8" |
| 65.0" | Reach | ▲72.0" |
| Orthodox | Stance | Southpaw |
| 34 | Age | 30 |
| 125 lbs. | Weight | 125 lbs. |
| United States | Nationality | — |
| Lemoore, California | Hometown | — |
| Team Oyama | Fighting out of | — |
Our read — not official stats. Six 0–100 scores, each a percentile rank against every fighter on record. The better score on each row is highlighted in that fighter's corner colour.
Career UFC significant strikes by target zone. Red corner left, blue corner right.
Alex Perez15 UFC fights · 445 landed
Sumudaerji11 UFC fights · 519 landed
Significant strikes only, as recorded by UFCStats, across the fighter's whole UFC career. Shares are raw counts — nothing here is modelled or smoothed. Accuracy is landed ÷ attempted and comes from the per-round tape, which covers slightly fewer fights than the totals do.
Alex Perez (left) vs Sumudaerji (right) — career striking & grappling rates. The fighter ahead on each row is highlighted in their corner colour.
The market line next to the live prediction-market price — information only, not a bet call.
