This Saturday Nurmagomedov vs Song · Oriental Sports Center Pudong District China See this week's picks →
Events · Hernandez vs Rodrigues · Anthony Hernandez vs Gregory Rodrigues
Red corner AnthonyHernandez“Fluffy”MMA Gold Fight Team · Dunnigan, California
VSSettled
Blue corner GregoryRodrigues“Robocop”Kill Cliff FC · Porto Velho, Rondonia
Middleweight3 rounds22 Aug 2026
The story going in
  • Has finished 7 of 9 UFC wins.
  • Comes in on a 3-fight win streak.
  • Averages 4.0 more takedowns per 15 minutes than Rodrigues.
  • Has finished 7 of 10 UFC wins.
15-4
Record
20-6
−2 yr32
Age
34
6' 0"
Height
+3″6' 3"
75″
Reach
75″
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
12
UFC bouts
+113
+8%7/978% of wins
Finishes
7/1070% of wins
MMA Gold Fight Team
Gym
Kill Cliff FC
Dunnigan, California
From
Porto Velho, Rondonia
Vitals, record, nickname and camp come from the public UFC fighter register and are current, not a snapshot of fight night. UFC bouts, finish rate and every storyline line are counted off the official UFC fight record. A tick marks the side holding the raw edge in that row — longer reach, taller, younger, more bouts, a higher finish rate. It is a fact about the tape, not a prediction, and rows with no clean comparison (record, stance, gym, hometown) carry no tick at all. Any row we cannot fill on both sides is left out rather than half-drawn. Streaks, bout counts and finish rates are as they stood going into this fight — this bout and everything after it is excluded from the count.

The call vs the fight

What we published before the card, next to what happened in the cage.

Our call
Anthony Hernandez
72.8% confidentHIGH
Method calledDEC 42%
Vs the market+9.2pp
Market had our pick at64%
The fight
Gregory Rodrigues
LOSS✓
How it endedU-DEC
Round5 of 3
Clock5:00
Missed We called Anthony Hernandez at 72.8% — Gregory Rodrigues won. We had the method right and the man wrong.
Graded against the official UFC result, from the same record every other page on this site is graded from. The tick beside the verdict is the method call — a correct winner with a wrong method is a partial hit and reads as one. See the full public record →

Round by round

Every round the fight went, shaded by where the significant strikes actually landed — and the takedowns, control time and knockdowns beside them.

UFCStats · per round

5 rounds of tape

Round 15:00 of action
Anthony Hernandez10 sig landed
HEAD100%10 of 19BODY0%0 landedLEGS0%0 landed
Gregory Rodrigues25 sig landed
HEAD60%15 of 21BODY40%10 of 12LEGS0%0 landed
10 of 19
Sig.
strikes
25 of 33
0 of 7
Take-
downs
0 of 0
2:48
Control
0:04
0
Knock-
downs
0
Distance 5Clinch 5Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 14Clinch 9Ground 2
Round 25:00 of action⚡ 2 KD Rodrigues
Anthony Hernandez19 sig landed
HEAD100%19 of 39BODY0%0 landedLEGS0%0 landed
Gregory Rodrigues52 sig landed
HEAD50%26 of 53BODY27%14 of 16LEGS23%12 of 14
19 of 39
Sig.
strikes
52 of 83
1 of 2
Take-
downs
0 of 0
1:02
Control
1:12
0
Knock-
downs
2
Distance 18Clinch 1Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 41Clinch 5Ground 6
Round 35:00 of action
Anthony Hernandez12 sig landed
HEAD100%12 of 20BODY0%0 landedLEGS0%0 landed
Gregory Rodrigues12 sig landed
HEAD83%10 of 19BODY8%1 of 3LEGS8%1 of 1
12 of 20
Sig.
strikes
12 of 23
1 of 9
Take-
downs
0 of 0
3:49
Control
0:00
0
Knock-
downs
0
Distance 4Clinch 5Ground 3
Where it
happened
Distance 5Clinch 7Ground 0
Round 45:00 of action
Anthony Hernandez25 sig landed
HEAD96%24 of 49BODY4%1 of 1LEGS0%0 landed
Gregory Rodrigues58 sig landed
HEAD72%42 of 76BODY14%8 of 11LEGS14%8 of 8
25 of 50
Sig.
strikes
58 of 95
1 of 6
Take-
downs
0 of 0
1:20
Control
0:00
0
Knock-
downs
0
Distance 21Clinch 4Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 54Clinch 4Ground 0
Round 55:00 of action⚡ 1 KD RodriguesEnded 5:00
Anthony Hernandez24 sig landed
HEAD100%24 of 31BODY0%0 landedLEGS0%0 landed
Gregory Rodrigues27 sig landed
HEAD67%18 of 40BODY22%6 of 6LEGS11%3 of 3
24 of 31
Sig.
strikes
27 of 49
0 of 5
Take-
downs
0 of 0
1:41
Control
1:24
0
Knock-
downs
1
Distance 16Clinch 5Ground 3
Where it
happened
Distance 21Clinch 6Ground 0

Significant strikes, takedowns, control time, knockdowns and submission attempts exactly as UFCStats recorded them for this bout, round by round. Zone percentages are that round’s landed head, body and leg counts over their own total — raw arithmetic, nothing modelled or smoothed. A round in which a fighter landed nothing shades empty and reads zero; it is never filled in from the round before.

Judges’ scorecards

Every judge’s round, the media’s cards beside them, and how these judges usually score.

Official card

Decision - Unanimous

Referee · Herb Dean
Official totals — Anthony Hernandez first
JudgeTotal
Derek Cleary2.1 avg spread · 43% wide47–48
Chris Leben46–49
Ron McCarthy2.0 avg spread · 41% wide47–48
⚠

Full round-by-round cards are pending a source refresh. The decisions corpus we read currently ends at 2026-05-16, so this bout has the judges’ totals but not their individual rounds yet. Nothing here is estimated to fill the gap — when the scrape is re-run, the grid appears.

Official cards come from the UFCStats fight record and MMA Decisions. Media cards and the fan vote are MMA Decisions’ own collection and are not official. Judge tendency figures are that judge’s whole recorded history, not this bout — they are context for how a card was scored, never a claim that it was scored wrongly.

Still to come on this page

Named rather than hidden. It is built from data already on disk and lands in the next pass of this build-out.

The market story coming in this build-out

What the price did in the week before the cage door shut, with the moment our pick was frozen marked on it. Where we captured no price history for a bout, this panel will say so rather than draw a line that was never there.

← Back to the public record