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Events · Makhachev vs Machado Garry · Ian Machado Garry vs Islam Makhachev
Red corner Ian MachadoGarry
VSSettled
Blue corner IslamMakhachevMakhachkala, Dagestan
Welterweight5 rounds15 Aug 2026
The story going in
  • Comes in on a 2-fight win streak.
  • Comes in on a 16-fight win streak.
  • Has finished 3 of 10 UFC wins.
  • Has finished 11 of 17 UFC wins.
17-2
Record
29-1
−6 yr28
Age
34
+5″6' 3"
Height
5' 10"
+4″74″
Reach
70″
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
11
UFC bouts
+718
3/1030% of wins
Finishes
+35%11/1765% of wins
Vitals, record, nickname and camp come from the public UFC fighter register and are current, not a snapshot of fight night. UFC bouts, finish rate and every storyline line are counted off the official UFC fight record. A tick marks the side holding the raw edge in that row — longer reach, taller, younger, more bouts, a higher finish rate. It is a fact about the tape, not a prediction, and rows with no clean comparison (record, stance, gym, hometown) carry no tick at all. Any row we cannot fill on both sides is left out rather than half-drawn. Streaks, bout counts and finish rates are as they stood going into this fight — this bout and everything after it is excluded from the count.

The call vs the fight

What we published before the card, next to what happened in the cage.

Our call
Islam Makhachev
68.2% confidentHIGH
Method calledDEC 53%
Vs the market−6.0pp
Market had our pick at74%
The fight
Islam Makhachev
WIN✓
How it endedU-DEC
Round5 of 5
Clock5:00
Called it We called Islam Makhachev at 68.2% and Islam Makhachev won. The method call landed too.
Graded against the official UFC result, from the same record every other page on this site is graded from. The tick beside the verdict is the method call — a correct winner with a wrong method is a partial hit and reads as one. See the full public record →

Round by round

Every round the fight went, shaded by where the significant strikes actually landed — and the takedowns, control time and knockdowns beside them.

UFCStats · per round

5 rounds of tape

Round 15:00 of action
Ian Machado Garry0 sig landed
HEAD0%0 of 2BODY0%0 landedLEGS0%0 landed

No significant strikes landed — 2 thrown

Islam Makhachev3 sig landed
HEAD33%1 of 3BODY0%0 landedLEGS67%2 of 2
0 of 2
Sig.
strikes
3 of 5
0 of 0
Take-
downs
1 of 5
0:00
Control
3:38
0
Knock-
downs
0
Distance 0Clinch 0Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 2Clinch 0Ground 1
Round 25:00 of action⚡ 1 KD Makhachev
Ian Machado Garry6 sig landed
HEAD17%1 of 11BODY67%4 of 4LEGS17%1 of 3
Islam Makhachev11 sig landed
HEAD55%6 of 15BODY18%2 of 2LEGS27%3 of 3
6 of 18
Sig.
strikes
11 of 20
0 of 0
Take-
downs
1 of 1
0:17
Control
2:19
0
Knock-
downs
1
Distance 3Clinch 3Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 6Clinch 5Ground 0
Round 35:00 of action
Ian Machado Garry9 sig landed
HEAD33%3 of 18BODY33%3 of 4LEGS33%3 of 3
Islam Makhachev5 sig landed
HEAD20%1 of 6BODY20%1 of 1LEGS60%3 of 3
9 of 25
Sig.
strikes
5 of 10
0 of 0
Take-
downs
1 of 2
0:05
Control
0:16
0
Knock-
downs
0
Distance 9Clinch 0Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 5Clinch 0Ground 0
Round 45:00 of action
Ian Machado Garry7 sig landed
HEAD14%1 of 5BODY71%5 of 5LEGS14%1 of 1
Islam Makhachev3 sig landed
HEAD33%1 of 4BODY0%0 landedLEGS67%2 of 2
7 of 11
Sig.
strikes
3 of 6
0 of 0
Take-
downs
2 of 5
0:12
Control
3:05
0
Knock-
downs
0
Distance 3Clinch 4Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 2Clinch 1Ground 0
Round 55:00 of actionEnded 5:00
Ian Machado Garry7 sig landed
HEAD29%2 of 4BODY57%4 of 4LEGS14%1 of 1
Islam Makhachev0 sig landed
HEAD0%0 of 3BODY0%0 landedLEGS0%0 landed

No significant strikes landed — 3 thrown

7 of 9
Sig.
strikes
0 of 3
0 of 0
Take-
downs
2 of 2
0:00
Control
3:12
0
Knock-
downs
0
Distance 7Clinch 0Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 0Clinch 0Ground 0

Significant strikes, takedowns, control time, knockdowns and submission attempts exactly as UFCStats recorded them for this bout, round by round. Zone percentages are that round’s landed head, body and leg counts over their own total — raw arithmetic, nothing modelled or smoothed. A round in which a fighter landed nothing shades empty and reads zero; it is never filled in from the round before.

Judges’ scorecards

Every judge’s round, the media’s cards beside them, and how these judges usually score.

Official card

Decision - Unanimous

Referee · Herb Dean
Official totals — Ian Machado Garry first
JudgeTotal
Sal D'amato2.1 avg spread · 46% wide46–49
Mike Bell1.9 avg spread · 37% wide46–49
Eric Colon2.0 avg spread · 42% wide47–48
⚠

Full round-by-round cards are pending a source refresh. The decisions corpus we read currently ends at 2026-05-16, so this bout has the judges’ totals but not their individual rounds yet. Nothing here is estimated to fill the gap — when the scrape is re-run, the grid appears.

Official cards come from the UFCStats fight record and MMA Decisions. Media cards and the fan vote are MMA Decisions’ own collection and are not official. Judge tendency figures are that judge’s whole recorded history, not this bout — they are context for how a card was scored, never a claim that it was scored wrongly.

Still to come on this page

Named rather than hidden. It is built from data already on disk and lands in the next pass of this build-out.

The market story coming in this build-out

What the price did in the week before the cage door shut, with the moment our pick was frozen marked on it. Where we captured no price history for a bout, this panel will say so rather than draw a line that was never there.

← Back to the public record