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Events · Makhachev vs Machado Garry · Gillian Robertson vs Mackenzie Dern
Red corner GillianRobertson“The Savage”The Goat Shed Academy · Niagara Falls, Ontario
VSSettled
Blue corner MackenzieDernRVCA · Phoenix, Arizona
Women's Strawweight5 rounds15 Aug 2026
The story going in
  • Comes in on a 5-fight win streak.
  • Comes in on a 3-fight win streak.
  • Has finished 10 of 14 UFC wins.
  • Has finished 5 of 11 UFC wins.
17-9
Record
17-5
−2 yr31
Age
33
+1″5' 5"
Height
5' 4"
63″
Reach
63″
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
+420
UFC bouts
16
+26%10/1471% of wins
Finishes
5/1145% of wins
The Goat Shed Academy
Gym
RVCA
Niagara Falls, Ontario
From
Phoenix, Arizona
Vitals, record, nickname and camp come from the public UFC fighter register and are current, not a snapshot of fight night. UFC bouts, finish rate and every storyline line are counted off the official UFC fight record. A tick marks the side holding the raw edge in that row — longer reach, taller, younger, more bouts, a higher finish rate. It is a fact about the tape, not a prediction, and rows with no clean comparison (record, stance, gym, hometown) carry no tick at all. Any row we cannot fill on both sides is left out rather than half-drawn. Streaks, bout counts and finish rates are as they stood going into this fight — this bout and everything after it is excluded from the count.

The call vs the fight

What we published before the card, next to what happened in the cage.

Our call
Mackenzie Dern
53.5% confidentTOSS-UP
Method calledDEC 65%
Vs the market−11.1pp
Market had our pick at65%
The fight
Mackenzie Dern
WIN
How it endedU-DEC
Round5 of 5
Clock5:00
Called it We called Mackenzie Dern at 53.5% and Mackenzie Dern won. The method call landed too.
Graded against the official UFC result, from the same record every other page on this site is graded from. The tick beside the verdict is the method call — a correct winner with a wrong method is a partial hit and reads as one. See the full public record →

Round by round

Every round the fight went, shaded by where the significant strikes actually landed — and the takedowns, control time and knockdowns beside them.

UFCStats · per round

5 rounds of tape

Round 15:00 of action1 sub attempt
Gillian Robertson3 sig landed
HEAD33%1 of 21BODY67%2 of 4LEGS0%0 of 2
Mackenzie Dern19 sig landed
HEAD58%11 of 51BODY16%3 of 4LEGS26%5 of 5
3 of 27
Sig.
strikes
19 of 60
0 of 2
Take-
downs
1 of 1
0:06
Control
2:28
0
Sub
attempts
1
Distance 2Clinch 1Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 16Clinch 0Ground 3
Round 25:00 of action
Gillian Robertson0 sig landed
HEAD0%0 of 5BODY0%0 of 1LEGS0%0 landed

No significant strikes landed — 6 thrown

Mackenzie Dern3 sig landed
HEAD67%2 of 8BODY33%1 of 1LEGS0%0 landed
0 of 6
Sig.
strikes
3 of 9
0 of 0
Take-
downs
1 of 1
0:55
Control
3:19
0
Sub
attempts
0
Distance 0Clinch 0Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 2Clinch 0Ground 1
Round 35:00 of action
Gillian Robertson26 sig landed
HEAD69%18 of 50BODY19%5 of 10LEGS12%3 of 3
Mackenzie Dern30 sig landed
HEAD60%18 of 58BODY23%7 of 7LEGS17%5 of 5
26 of 63
Sig.
strikes
30 of 70
0 of 0
Take-
downs
1 of 2
0:00
Control
1:39
0
Sub
attempts
0
Distance 19Clinch 7Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 27Clinch 1Ground 2
Round 45:00 of action
Gillian Robertson6 sig landed
HEAD100%6 of 11BODY0%0 landedLEGS0%0 landed
Mackenzie Dern5 sig landed
HEAD80%4 of 13BODY0%0 of 1LEGS20%1 of 1
6 of 11
Sig.
strikes
5 of 15
0 of 0
Take-
downs
1 of 2
1:18
Control
3:22
0
Sub
attempts
0
Distance 0Clinch 0Ground 6
Where it
happened
Distance 3Clinch 0Ground 2
Round 55:00 of actionEnded 5:00
Gillian Robertson14 sig landed
HEAD86%12 of 20BODY14%2 of 4LEGS0%0 landed
Mackenzie Dern8 sig landed
HEAD62%5 of 10BODY38%3 of 4LEGS0%0 landed
14 of 24
Sig.
strikes
8 of 14
1 of 1
Take-
downs
0 of 0
4:28
Control
0:00
0
Sub
attempts
0
Distance 3Clinch 0Ground 11
Where it
happened
Distance 7Clinch 1Ground 0

Significant strikes, takedowns, control time, knockdowns and submission attempts exactly as UFCStats recorded them for this bout, round by round. Zone percentages are that round’s landed head, body and leg counts over their own total — raw arithmetic, nothing modelled or smoothed. A round in which a fighter landed nothing shades empty and reads zero; it is never filled in from the round before.

Judges’ scorecards

Every judge’s round, the media’s cards beside them, and how these judges usually score.

Official card

Decision - Unanimous

Referee · Keith Peterson
Official totals — Gillian Robertson first
JudgeTotal
Sal D'amato2.1 avg spread · 46% wide46–49
Chris Bolinski46–49
Rick Winter2.1 avg spread · 51% wide47–48

Full round-by-round cards are pending a source refresh. The decisions corpus we read currently ends at 2026-05-16, so this bout has the judges’ totals but not their individual rounds yet. Nothing here is estimated to fill the gap — when the scrape is re-run, the grid appears.

Official cards come from the UFCStats fight record and MMA Decisions. Media cards and the fan vote are MMA Decisions’ own collection and are not official. Judge tendency figures are that judge’s whole recorded history, not this bout — they are context for how a card was scored, never a claim that it was scored wrongly.

Still to come on this page

Named rather than hidden. It is built from data already on disk and lands in the next pass of this build-out.

The market story coming in this build-out

What the price did in the week before the cage door shut, with the moment our pick was frozen marked on it. Where we captured no price history for a bout, this panel will say so rather than draw a line that was never there.

← Back to the public record