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Events · Medic vs Rodriguez · Milos Janicic vs Noah Gugnon
Red corner MilosJanicic
VSSettled
Blue corner NoahGugnon
Lightweight3 rounds1 Aug 2026
We hold no public fighter-register entry for Milos Janicic and Noah Gugnon yet, so there is no side-by-side to lay out here — an empty ladder would say less than saying that.

The call vs the fight

What we published before the card, next to what happened in the cage.

Our call
Noah Gugnon
50.7% confidentTOSS-UP
Method calledKO/TKO 37%
Vs the market−1.1pp
Market had our pick at52%
The fight
Noah Gugnon
WIN
How it endedSUB
Round1 of 3
Clock1:21
Called it We called Noah Gugnon at 50.7% and Noah Gugnon won. The method call missed.
Graded against the official UFC result, from the same record every other page on this site is graded from. The tick beside the verdict is the method call — a correct winner with a wrong method is a partial hit and reads as one. See the full public record →

Round by round

Every round the fight went, shaded by where the significant strikes actually landed — and the takedowns, control time and knockdowns beside them.

UFCStats · per round

1 round of tape

Round 11:21 of action1 sub attemptEnded 1:21
Milos Janicic6 sig landed
HEAD83%5 of 18BODY17%1 of 1LEGS0%0 landed
Noah Gugnon5 sig landed
HEAD20%1 of 7BODY0%0 landedLEGS80%4 of 4
6 of 19
Sig.
strikes
5 of 11
0 of 0
Take-
downs
0 of 0
0:00
Control
0:40
0
Sub
attempts
1
Distance 6Clinch 0Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 5Clinch 0Ground 0

Significant strikes, takedowns, control time, knockdowns and submission attempts exactly as UFCStats recorded them for this bout, round by round. Zone percentages are that round’s landed head, body and leg counts over their own total — raw arithmetic, nothing modelled or smoothed. A round in which a fighter landed nothing shades empty and reads zero; it is never filled in from the round before.

How it ended

This bout never reached the judges. Here is the finish, as the official record has it.

Won inside the distance

Noah Gugnon

Round
1
Clock
1:21
Method
SUB

This bout did not reach the judges, so there are no official cards for it. The round-by-round tape above is the whole record of what happened. Referee: Jason Herzog.

Still to come on this page

Named rather than hidden. It is built from data already on disk and lands in the next pass of this build-out.

The market story coming in this build-out

What the price did in the week before the cage door shut, with the moment our pick was frozen marked on it. Where we captured no price history for a bout, this panel will say so rather than draw a line that was never there.

← Back to the public record