Round 11 sub attempt
27 of 40
Sig.
strikes
strikes
22 of 39
3 of 6
Take-
downs
downs
0 of 0
2:44
Control
0:00
1
Sub
attempts
attempts
0
Distance 11Clinch 2Ground 14
Where it
happened
happened
Distance 21Clinch 1Ground 0
VSSettled
The story going in
- Has dropped 2 straight in the UFC.
- Has dropped 2 straight in the UFC.
- Averages 3.6 more takedowns per 15 minutes than Buzukja.
16-4
Record
12-7
30
Age
−2 yr28
5' 8"
Height
+1″5' 9"
70″
Reach
70″
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
3
UFC bouts
+25
1/1100% of wins
Finishes
1/1100% of wins
ETTL Bros. MMA
Gym
Longo-Weidman MMA
Graz
From
New York, New York
Vitals, record, nickname and camp come from the public UFC fighter register and are current, not a snapshot of fight night. UFC bouts, finish rate and every storyline line are counted off the official UFC fight record. A tick marks the side holding the raw edge in that row — longer reach, taller, younger, more bouts, a higher finish rate. It is a fact about the tape, not a prediction, and rows with no clean comparison (record, stance, gym, hometown) carry no tick at all. Any row we cannot fill on both sides is left out rather than half-drawn. Streaks, bout counts and finish rates are as they stood going into this fight — this bout and everything after it is excluded from the count.
The call vs the fight
What we published before the card, next to what happened in the cage.
Our call
Bogdan Grad
58.3% confidentLOW
The fight
Bogdan Grad
WIN✗
Graded against the official UFC result, from
the same record every other page on this site is graded from. The tick beside the verdict
is the method call — a correct winner with a wrong method is a partial hit and reads
as one. See the full public record →
Round by round
Every round the fight went, shaded by where the significant strikes actually landed — and the takedowns, control time and knockdowns beside them.
UFCStats · per round
2 rounds of tape
Round 21 sub attemptEnded 4:33
17 of 34
Sig.
strikes
strikes
24 of 50
1 of 6
Take-
downs
downs
0 of 0
1:40
Control
0:00
1
Sub
attempts
attempts
0
Distance 13Clinch 4Ground 0
Where it
happened
happened
Distance 23Clinch 1Ground 0
Significant strikes, takedowns, control time, knockdowns and submission attempts exactly as UFCStats recorded them for this bout, round by round. Zone percentages are that round’s landed head, body and leg counts over their own total — raw arithmetic, nothing modelled or smoothed. A round in which a fighter landed nothing shades empty and reads zero; it is never filled in from the round before.
How it ended
This bout never reached the judges. Here is the finish, as the official record has it.
Won inside the distance
Bogdan Grad
Round
2
Clock
4:33
Method
SUB
This bout did not reach the judges, so there are no official cards for it. The round-by-round tape above is the whole record of what happened. Referee: Jason Herzog.
Takedowns
Takedowns
The level change — head to head
Career UFC takedown rates. Red corner left, blue corner right.
Bogdan Grad
4.22 / 15m
TAKEDOWNS
0.62 / 15m
10.55 / 15m
ATTEMPTS
2.30 / 15m
40%
ACCURACY
27%
0.00 / 15m
SUB ATT
0.20 / 15m
75%
TD DEFENCE
75%
Dennis Buzukja
Career UFC takedown rates exactly as UFCStats publishes them: takedowns landed per 15 minutes, completion rate, submission attempts per 15 minutes, and the share of takedowns tried on them that they stuffed. Attempts per 15 is the one derived figure — landed ÷ completion rate — and it is omitted wherever either input is missing. UFCStats writes 0% where no attempt was recorded at all, so a percentage of exactly zero reads “n/a” here rather than as a measured rate. “Field” is the average fighter in that weight class, or across every division where a class is too small to average. Rate bars run to the population’s 95th percentile (5.73 takedowns / 15m); a fighter above it pins the bar. Percentages are drawn on their own axis.
Ranked in Featherweight
The market story
Where the price started and where it finished — the sportsbook consensus, with the vig removed. We captured no price series for this bout, so there is no chart to draw.
Bogdan Gradclose only
no opening line on recordclose 64.6%
Dennis Buzukjaclose only
no opening line on recordclose 35.4%
0%50%100%
OpenClosing consensus (BFO, vig removed)
We hold the closing consensus for this bout but no opening line, so the strip marks the close alone: Bogdan Grad 64.6%, Dennis Buzukja 35.4%, vig removed.
Our published call had Bogdan Grad at 58.3%. At the closing consensus, the de-vigged market had him at 64.6% — our number sat 6.3pp below the market’s. Two numbers, side by side. How our calls have actually done is the public record, not one bout.
Show the numbers
| Corner | Open (US) | Close (US) | Open % | Close % | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bogdan Grad | -400 | -209 | — | 64.6% | — |
| Dennis Buzukja | — | 170 | — | 35.4% | — |
Opening and closing moneylines from BestFightOdds (data/refs/bfo_fighter_moneylines.csv), one row per fighter per bout, de-vigged pairwise so the two corners sum to 100% · scraped 2026-08-30 · BestFightOdds has no fighter page scraped for Dennis Buzukia, so that corner’s CLOSE is read from the opponent’s row, which names it explicitly. No opening line exists for that corner and none is shown.. No price series was captured for this bout, so no line is drawn between the two points.