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Events · McGregor vs Holloway 2 · Ryan Gandra vs Zach Reese
Red corner RyanGandraFlavio Baiano Team · Belo Horizonte, Minas Gerais
VSSettled
Blue corner ZachReeseBarstow, California
Middleweight3 rounds11 Jul 2026
The story going in
  • Lands 8.5 more significant strikes a minute than Reese.
  • Has finished 2 of 4 UFC wins.
  • 8 UFC bouts deep — 7 more than Gandra.
10-1
Record
10-4
−1 yr31
Age
32
6' 1"
Height
+3″6' 4"
74″
Reach
+3″77″
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
1
UFC bouts
+78
1/1100% of wins
Finishes
2/450% of wins
Belo Horizonte, Minas Gerais
From
Barstow, California
Vitals, record, nickname and camp come from the public UFC fighter register and are current, not a snapshot of fight night. UFC bouts, finish rate and every storyline line are counted off the official UFC fight record. A tick marks the side holding the raw edge in that row — longer reach, taller, younger, more bouts, a higher finish rate. It is a fact about the tape, not a prediction, and rows with no clean comparison (record, stance, gym, hometown) carry no tick at all. Any row we cannot fill on both sides is left out rather than half-drawn. Streaks, bout counts and finish rates are as they stood going into this fight — this bout and everything after it is excluded from the count.

The call vs the fight

What we published before the card, next to what happened in the cage.

Our call
Zachary Reese
50.1% confidentTOSS-UP
Method calledKO/TKO 43%
Vs the market+0.1pp
Market had our pick at50%
The fight
Ryan Gandra
LOSS
How it endedKO/TKO
Round1 of 3
Clock1:15
Missed We called Zachary Reese at 50.1%Ryan Gandra won. We had the method right and the man wrong.
Graded against the official UFC result, from the same record every other page on this site is graded from. The tick beside the verdict is the method call — a correct winner with a wrong method is a partial hit and reads as one. See the full public record →

Round by round

Every round the fight went, shaded by where the significant strikes actually landed — and the takedowns, control time and knockdowns beside them.

UFCStats · per round

1 round of tape

Round 11:15 of action⚡ 1 KD GandraEnded 1:15
Ryan Gandra10 sig landed
HEAD80%8 of 16BODY20%2 of 4LEGS0%0 landed
Zach Reese5 sig landed
HEAD60%3 of 8BODY20%1 of 1LEGS20%1 of 1
10 of 20
Sig.
strikes
5 of 10
0 of 0
Take-
downs
0 of 0
0:05
Control
0:00
1
Knock-
downs
0
Distance 5Clinch 0Ground 5
Where it
happened
Distance 5Clinch 0Ground 0

Significant strikes, takedowns, control time, knockdowns and submission attempts exactly as UFCStats recorded them for this bout, round by round. Zone percentages are that round’s landed head, body and leg counts over their own total — raw arithmetic, nothing modelled or smoothed. A round in which a fighter landed nothing shades empty and reads zero; it is never filled in from the round before.

How it ended

This bout never reached the judges. Here is the finish, as the official record has it.

Won inside the distance

Ryan Gandra

Round
1
Clock
1:15
Method
KO/TKO

This bout did not reach the judges, so there are no official cards for it. The round-by-round tape above is the whole record of what happened. Referee: Mike Beltran.

Takedowns

Takedowns

The level change — head to head

Career UFC takedown rates. Red corner left, blue corner right.

Ryan Gandra

0.00takedowns / 15 min
0.00 / 15m
TAKEDOWNS
2.80 / 15m
n/a
ATTEMPTS
4.59 / 15m
n/a
ACCURACY
61%
0.00 / 15m
SUB ATT
1.30 / 15m

Zach Reese

2.80takedowns / 15 min

Career UFC takedown rates exactly as UFCStats publishes them: takedowns landed per 15 minutes, completion rate, submission attempts per 15 minutes, and the share of takedowns tried on them that they stuffed. Attempts per 15 is the one derived figure — landed ÷ completion rate — and it is omitted wherever either input is missing. UFCStats writes 0% where no attempt was recorded at all, so a percentage of exactly zero reads “n/a” here rather than as a measured rate. “Field” is the average fighter in that weight class, or across every division where a class is too small to average. Rate bars run to the population’s 95th percentile (6.86 takedowns / 15m); a fighter above it pins the bar. Percentages are drawn on their own axis.

Ranked in Middleweight

The market story

Where the price started and where it finished — the sportsbook consensus, with the vig removed. We captured no price series for this bout, so there is no chart to draw.

Ryan Gandraclose only
no opening line on recordclose 54.9%
Zach Reeseclose only
no opening line on recordclose 45.1%
0%50%100%
OpenClosing consensus (BFO, vig removed)

We hold the closing consensus for this bout but no opening line, so the strip marks the close alone: Ryan Gandra 54.9%, Zach Reese 45.1%, vig removed.

Our published call had Zachary Reese at 50.1%. At the closing consensus, the de-vigged market had him at 45.1% — our number sat 5.0pp above the market’s. Two numbers, side by side. How our calls have actually done is the public record, not one bout.

Show the numbers
CornerOpen (US)Close (US)Open %Close %Move
Ryan Gandra-160-13554.9%
Zach Reese11245.1%
Opening and closing moneylines from BestFightOdds (data/refs/bfo_fighter_moneylines.csv), one row per fighter per bout, de-vigged pairwise so the two corners sum to 100% · scraped 2026-08-23 · BestFightOdds has no fighter page scraped for Zachary Reese, so that corner’s CLOSE is read from the opponent’s row, which names it explicitly. No opening line exists for that corner and none is shown.. No price series was captured for this bout, so no line is drawn between the two points.
← Back to the public record