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Events · Kape vs Horiguchi · Karol Rosa vs Luana Santos
Red corner KarolRosaGAEA Project · Vila Velha, Espirito Santo
VSSettled
Blue corner LuanaSantosSao Paulo, Sao Paulo
Women's Bantamweight3 rounds21 Jun 2026
The story going in
  • 12 UFC bouts deep — 6 more than Santos.
  • Comes in on a 2-fight win streak.
  • Lands 2.9 more significant strikes a minute than Santos.
  • Has finished 3 of 5 UFC wins.
19-8
Record
11-2
31
Age
−5 yr26
5' 5"
Height
+1″5' 6"
67″
Reach
67″
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
+612
UFC bouts
6
0/80% of wins
Finishes
+60%3/560% of wins
Vila Velha, Espirito Santo
From
Sao Paulo, Sao Paulo
Vitals, record, nickname and camp come from the public UFC fighter register and are current, not a snapshot of fight night. UFC bouts, finish rate and every storyline line are counted off the official UFC fight record. A tick marks the side holding the raw edge in that row — longer reach, taller, younger, more bouts, a higher finish rate. It is a fact about the tape, not a prediction, and rows with no clean comparison (record, stance, gym, hometown) carry no tick at all. Any row we cannot fill on both sides is left out rather than half-drawn. Streaks, bout counts and finish rates are as they stood going into this fight — this bout and everything after it is excluded from the count.

The call vs the fight

What we published before the card, next to what happened in the cage.

Our call
Luana Santos
58.5% confidentLOW
Method calledDEC 76%
Vs the market+10.5pp
Market had our pick at48%
The fight
Luana Santos
WIN
How it endedU-DEC
Round3 of 3
Clock5:00
Called it We called Luana Santos at 58.5% and Luana Santos won. The method call landed too.
Graded against the official UFC result, from the same record every other page on this site is graded from. The tick beside the verdict is the method call — a correct winner with a wrong method is a partial hit and reads as one. See the full public record →

Round by round

Every round the fight went, shaded by where the significant strikes actually landed — and the takedowns, control time and knockdowns beside them.

UFCStats · per round

3 rounds of tape

Round 15:00 of action
Karol Rosa4 sig landed
HEAD50%2 of 12BODY0%0 of 1LEGS50%2 of 3
Luana Santos7 sig landed
HEAD57%4 of 6BODY43%3 of 3LEGS0%0 landed
4 of 16
Sig.
strikes
7 of 9
0 of 0
Take-
downs
1 of 5
0:00
Control
3:16
Distance 4Clinch 0Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 6Clinch 1Ground 0
Round 25:00 of action
Karol Rosa2 sig landed
HEAD50%1 of 1BODY50%1 of 2LEGS0%0 landed
Luana Santos2 sig landed
HEAD100%2 of 2BODY0%0 landedLEGS0%0 landed
2 of 3
Sig.
strikes
2 of 2
0 of 0
Take-
downs
0 of 0
0:00
Control
4:37
Distance 1Clinch 0Ground 1
Where it
happened
Distance 0Clinch 0Ground 2
Round 35:00 of actionEnded 5:00
Karol Rosa1 sig landed
HEAD100%1 of 7BODY0%0 landedLEGS0%0 landed
Luana Santos0 sig landed
HEAD0%0 landedBODY0%0 landedLEGS0%0 landed

No significant strikes landed

1 of 7
Sig.
strikes
0 of 0
0 of 0
Take-
downs
1 of 5
0:00
Control
4:28
Distance 1Clinch 0Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 0Clinch 0Ground 0

Significant strikes, takedowns, control time, knockdowns and submission attempts exactly as UFCStats recorded them for this bout, round by round. Zone percentages are that round’s landed head, body and leg counts over their own total — raw arithmetic, nothing modelled or smoothed. A round in which a fighter landed nothing shades empty and reads zero; it is never filled in from the round before.

Judges’ scorecards

Every judge’s round, the media’s cards beside them, and how these judges usually score.

Official card

Decision - Unanimous

Referee · Mike Beltran
Official totals — Karol Rosa first
JudgeTotal
Mike Bell1.9 avg spread · 37% wide27–30
Eric Colon2.0 avg spread · 42% wide27–30
Sal D'amato2.1 avg spread · 46% wide27–30

Full round-by-round cards are pending a source refresh. The decisions corpus we read currently ends at 2026-05-16, so this bout has the judges’ totals but not their individual rounds yet. Nothing here is estimated to fill the gap — when the scrape is re-run, the grid appears.

Official cards come from the UFCStats fight record and MMA Decisions. Media cards and the fan vote are MMA Decisions’ own collection and are not official. Judge tendency figures are that judge’s whole recorded history, not this bout — they are context for how a card was scored, never a claim that it was scored wrongly.

Still to come on this page

Named rather than hidden. It is built from data already on disk and lands in the next pass of this build-out.

The market story coming in this build-out

What the price did in the week before the cage door shut, with the moment our pick was frozen marked on it. Where we captured no price history for a bout, this panel will say so rather than draw a line that was never there.

← Back to the public record