This Saturday Nurmagomedov vs Song · Oriental Sports Center Pudong District China See this week's picks →
Events · UFC Freedom 250 · Mauricio Ruffy vs Michael Chandler
Red corner MauricioRuffyThe Fighting Nerds · Sao Paulo, Sao Paulo
VSSettled
Blue corner MichaelChandler“Iron”Kill Cliff FC · High Ridge, Missouri
Lightweight3 rounds15 Jun 2026
The story going in
  • Has finished 3 of 4 UFC wins.
  • Has dropped 3 straight in the UFC.
  • Carries 24 points more takedown defence than Chandler.
  • Averages 2.0 more takedowns per 15 minutes than Ruffy.
14-2
Record
23-11
−11 yr29
Age
40
+3″5' 11"
Height
5' 8"
+4″75″
Reach
71″
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5
UFC bouts
+27
3/475% of wins
Finishes
2/2100% of wins
The Fighting Nerds
Gym
Kill Cliff FC
Sao Paulo, Sao Paulo
From
High Ridge, Missouri
Vitals, record, nickname and camp come from the public UFC fighter register and are current, not a snapshot of fight night. UFC bouts, finish rate and every storyline line are counted off the official UFC fight record. A tick marks the side holding the raw edge in that row — longer reach, taller, younger, more bouts, a higher finish rate. It is a fact about the tape, not a prediction, and rows with no clean comparison (record, stance, gym, hometown) carry no tick at all. Any row we cannot fill on both sides is left out rather than half-drawn. Streaks, bout counts and finish rates are as they stood going into this fight — this bout and everything after it is excluded from the count.

The call vs the fight

What we published before the card, next to what happened in the cage.

Our call
Mauricio Ruffy
77.3% confidentHIGH
Method calledKO/TKO 55%
Vs the market−4.4pp
Market had our pick at82%
The fight
Mauricio Ruffy
WIN
How it endedKO/TKO
Round1 of 3
Clock4:29
Called it We called Mauricio Ruffy at 77.3% and Mauricio Ruffy won. The method call landed too.
Graded against the official UFC result, from the same record every other page on this site is graded from. The tick beside the verdict is the method call — a correct winner with a wrong method is a partial hit and reads as one. See the full public record →

Round by round

Every round the fight went, shaded by where the significant strikes actually landed — and the takedowns, control time and knockdowns beside them.

UFCStats · per round

1 round of tape

Round 14:29 of action⚡ 2 KD RuffyEnded 4:29
Mauricio Ruffy19 sig landed
HEAD84%16 of 36BODY5%1 of 2LEGS11%2 of 2
Michael Chandler3 sig landed
HEAD67%2 of 7BODY0%0 of 3LEGS33%1 of 2
19 of 40
Sig.
strikes
3 of 12
0 of 0
Take-
downs
0 of 3
0:13
Control
0:00
2
Knock-
downs
0
Distance 17Clinch 0Ground 2
Where it
happened
Distance 3Clinch 0Ground 0

Significant strikes, takedowns, control time, knockdowns and submission attempts exactly as UFCStats recorded them for this bout, round by round. Zone percentages are that round’s landed head, body and leg counts over their own total — raw arithmetic, nothing modelled or smoothed. A round in which a fighter landed nothing shades empty and reads zero; it is never filled in from the round before.

How it ended

This bout never reached the judges. Here is the finish, as the official record has it.

Won inside the distance

Mauricio Ruffy

Round
1
Clock
4:29
Method
KO/TKO

This bout did not reach the judges, so there are no official cards for it. The round-by-round tape above is the whole record of what happened. Referee: Mike Beltran.

Still to come on this page

Named rather than hidden. It is built from data already on disk and lands in the next pass of this build-out.

The market story coming in this build-out

What the price did in the week before the cage door shut, with the moment our pick was frozen marked on it. Where we captured no price history for a bout, this panel will say so rather than draw a line that was never there.

← Back to the public record