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Events · UFC Freedom 250 · Diego Lopes vs Steve Garcia
Red corner DiegoLopesLobo Gym MMA · Manaus, Amazonas
VSSettled
Blue corner SteveGarcia“Mean Machine”Jackson-Wink MMA · Rio Rancho, New Mexico
Featherweight3 rounds15 Jun 2026
The story going in
  • Has finished 4 of 6 UFC wins.
  • Comes in on a 7-fight win streak.
  • Has finished 7 of 8 UFC wins.
28-8
Record
19-6
−3 yr31
Age
34
5' 11"
Height
+1″6' 0"
72″
Reach
+3″75″
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
9
UFC bouts
+110
4/667% of wins
Finishes
+21%7/888% of wins
Lobo Gym MMA
Gym
Jackson-Wink MMA
Manaus, Amazonas
From
Rio Rancho, New Mexico
Vitals, record, nickname and camp come from the public UFC fighter register and are current, not a snapshot of fight night. UFC bouts, finish rate and every storyline line are counted off the official UFC fight record. A tick marks the side holding the raw edge in that row — longer reach, taller, younger, more bouts, a higher finish rate. It is a fact about the tape, not a prediction, and rows with no clean comparison (record, stance, gym, hometown) carry no tick at all. Any row we cannot fill on both sides is left out rather than half-drawn. Streaks, bout counts and finish rates are as they stood going into this fight — this bout and everything after it is excluded from the count.

The call vs the fight

What we published before the card, next to what happened in the cage.

Our call
Diego Lopes
50.2% confidentTOSS-UP
Method calledDEC 44%
Vs the market−7.2pp
Market had our pick at57%
The fight
Diego Lopes
WIN
How it endedKO/TKO
Round2 of 3
Clock2:42
Called it We called Diego Lopes at 50.2% and Diego Lopes won. The method call missed.
Graded against the official UFC result, from the same record every other page on this site is graded from. The tick beside the verdict is the method call — a correct winner with a wrong method is a partial hit and reads as one. See the full public record →

Round by round

Every round the fight went, shaded by where the significant strikes actually landed — and the takedowns, control time and knockdowns beside them.

UFCStats · per round

2 rounds of tape

Round 15:00 of action
Diego Lopes6 sig landed
HEAD67%4 of 26BODY17%1 of 5LEGS17%1 of 1
Steve Garcia23 sig landed
HEAD52%12 of 45BODY13%3 of 4LEGS35%8 of 8
6 of 32
Sig.
strikes
23 of 57
0 of 1
Take-
downs
0 of 0
0:00
Control
0:00
0
Knock-
downs
0
Distance 6Clinch 0Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 23Clinch 0Ground 0
Round 22:42 of action⚡ 1 KD LopesEnded 2:42
Diego Lopes18 sig landed
HEAD94%17 of 31BODY6%1 of 3LEGS0%0 landed
Steve Garcia24 sig landed
HEAD88%21 of 44BODY0%0 landedLEGS12%3 of 3
18 of 34
Sig.
strikes
24 of 47
0 of 0
Take-
downs
0 of 0
0:05
Control
0:00
1
Knock-
downs
0
Distance 11Clinch 0Ground 7
Where it
happened
Distance 24Clinch 0Ground 0

Significant strikes, takedowns, control time, knockdowns and submission attempts exactly as UFCStats recorded them for this bout, round by round. Zone percentages are that round’s landed head, body and leg counts over their own total — raw arithmetic, nothing modelled or smoothed. A round in which a fighter landed nothing shades empty and reads zero; it is never filled in from the round before.

How it ended

This bout never reached the judges. Here is the finish, as the official record has it.

Won inside the distance

Diego Lopes

Round
2
Clock
2:42
Method
KO/TKO

This bout did not reach the judges, so there are no official cards for it. The round-by-round tape above is the whole record of what happened. Referee: Mike Beltran.

Still to come on this page

Named rather than hidden. It is built from data already on disk and lands in the next pass of this build-out.

The market story coming in this build-out

What the price did in the week before the cage door shut, with the moment our pick was frozen marked on it. Where we captured no price history for a bout, this panel will say so rather than draw a line that was never there.

← Back to the public record