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Events · Muhammad vs Bonfim · Iwo Baraniewski vs Junior Tafa
Red corner IwoBaraniewskiAligatores Fight Club · Warsaw
VSSettled
Blue corner JuniorTafa“The Juggernaut”NTG Fight & Fitness · Avondale
Light Heavyweight3 rounds7 Jun 2026
The story going in
  • Comes in on a 2-fight win streak.
  • Every one of Tafa’s 3 UFC wins came inside the distance.
  • Lands 12.1 more significant strikes a minute than Tafa.
  • 8 UFC bouts deep — 6 more than Baraniewski.
9-0
Record
7-6
−2 yr27
Age
29
6' 0"
Height
+3″6' 3"
73″
Reach
+2″75″
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
2
UFC bouts
+68
2/2100% of wins
Finishes
3/3100% of wins
Aligatores Fight Club
Gym
NTG Fight & Fitness
Warsaw
From
Avondale
Vitals, record, nickname and camp come from the public UFC fighter register and are current, not a snapshot of fight night. UFC bouts, finish rate and every storyline line are counted off the official UFC fight record. A tick marks the side holding the raw edge in that row — longer reach, taller, younger, more bouts, a higher finish rate. It is a fact about the tape, not a prediction, and rows with no clean comparison (record, stance, gym, hometown) carry no tick at all. Any row we cannot fill on both sides is left out rather than half-drawn. Streaks, bout counts and finish rates are as they stood going into this fight — this bout and everything after it is excluded from the count.

The call vs the fight

What we published before the card, next to what happened in the cage.

Our call
Iwo Baraniewski
50.0% confidentTOSS-UP
Method calledKO/TKO 66%
Vs the market−26.4pp
Market had our pick at80%
The fight
Iwo Baraniewski
WIN
How it endedKO/TKO
Round1 of 3
Clock1:25
Called it We called Iwo Baraniewski at 50.0% and Iwo Baraniewski won. The method call landed too.
Graded against the official UFC result, from the same record every other page on this site is graded from. The tick beside the verdict is the method call — a correct winner with a wrong method is a partial hit and reads as one. See the full public record →

Round by round

Every round the fight went, shaded by where the significant strikes actually landed — and the takedowns, control time and knockdowns beside them.

UFCStats · per round

1 round of tape

Round 11:25 of action⚡ 1 KD BaraniewskiEnded 1:25
Iwo Baraniewski6 sig landed
HEAD33%2 of 18BODY17%1 of 1LEGS50%3 of 3
Junior Tafa0 sig landed
HEAD0%0 of 6BODY0%0 of 2LEGS0%0 landed

No significant strikes landed — 8 thrown

6 of 22
Sig.
strikes
0 of 8
0 of 1
Take-
downs
0 of 0
0:17
Control
0:00
1
Knock-
downs
0
Distance 4Clinch 0Ground 2
Where it
happened
Distance 0Clinch 0Ground 0

Significant strikes, takedowns, control time, knockdowns and submission attempts exactly as UFCStats recorded them for this bout, round by round. Zone percentages are that round’s landed head, body and leg counts over their own total — raw arithmetic, nothing modelled or smoothed. A round in which a fighter landed nothing shades empty and reads zero; it is never filled in from the round before.

How it ended

This bout never reached the judges. Here is the finish, as the official record has it.

Won inside the distance

Iwo Baraniewski

Round
1
Clock
1:25
Method
KO/TKO

This bout did not reach the judges, so there are no official cards for it. The round-by-round tape above is the whole record of what happened. Referee: Dan Miragliotta.

Still to come on this page

Named rather than hidden. It is built from data already on disk and lands in the next pass of this build-out.

The market story coming in this build-out

What the price did in the week before the cage door shut, with the moment our pick was frozen marked on it. Where we captured no price history for a bout, this panel will say so rather than draw a line that was never there.

← Back to the public record