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Events · Muhammad vs Bonfim · Fares Ziam vs Tom Nolan
Red corner FaresZiam“Smile Killer”Kill Cliff FC · Venissieux
VSSettled
Blue corner TomNolan“Big Train”Team Compton Training Centre · Brisbane, Queensland
Lightweight3 rounds7 Jun 2026
The story going in
  • Comes in on a 6-fight win streak.
  • Comes in on a 4-fight win streak.
  • Has finished 2 of 8 UFC wins.
  • Has finished 2 of 4 UFC wins.
18-5
Record
11-1
29
Age
−3 yr26
6' 1"
Height
+2″6' 3"
+2″75″
Reach
73″
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
+510
UFC bouts
5
2/825% of wins
Finishes
+25%2/450% of wins
Kill Cliff FC
Gym
Team Compton Training Centre
Venissieux
From
Brisbane, Queensland
Vitals, record, nickname and camp come from the public UFC fighter register and are current, not a snapshot of fight night. UFC bouts, finish rate and every storyline line are counted off the official UFC fight record. A tick marks the side holding the raw edge in that row — longer reach, taller, younger, more bouts, a higher finish rate. It is a fact about the tape, not a prediction, and rows with no clean comparison (record, stance, gym, hometown) carry no tick at all. Any row we cannot fill on both sides is left out rather than half-drawn. Streaks, bout counts and finish rates are as they stood going into this fight — this bout and everything after it is excluded from the count.

The call vs the fight

What we published before the card, next to what happened in the cage.

Our call
Fares Ziam
69.9% confidentHIGH
Method calledDEC 49%
Vs the market−2.4pp
Market had our pick at72%
The fight
Tom Nolan
LOSS
How it endedU-DEC
Round3 of 3
Clock5:00
Missed We called Fares Ziam at 69.9%Tom Nolan won. We had the method right and the man wrong.
Graded against the official UFC result, from the same record every other page on this site is graded from. The tick beside the verdict is the method call — a correct winner with a wrong method is a partial hit and reads as one. See the full public record →

Round by round

Every round the fight went, shaded by where the significant strikes actually landed — and the takedowns, control time and knockdowns beside them.

UFCStats · per round

3 rounds of tape

Round 15:00 of action
Fares Ziam6 sig landed
HEAD83%5 of 12BODY0%0 landedLEGS17%1 of 1
Tom Nolan13 sig landed
HEAD46%6 of 14BODY23%3 of 5LEGS31%4 of 6
6 of 13
Sig.
strikes
13 of 25
1 of 2
Take-
downs
2 of 2
1:38
Control
2:05
0
Sub
attempts
0
Distance 5Clinch 1Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 8Clinch 0Ground 5
Round 25:00 of action1 sub attempt
Fares Ziam6 sig landed
HEAD50%3 of 10BODY33%2 of 2LEGS17%1 of 1
Tom Nolan12 sig landed
HEAD33%4 of 9BODY42%5 of 6LEGS25%3 of 4
6 of 13
Sig.
strikes
12 of 19
0 of 1
Take-
downs
0 of 2
0:49
Control
3:10
1
Sub
attempts
0
Distance 5Clinch 1Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 4Clinch 5Ground 3
Round 35:00 of actionEnded 5:00
Fares Ziam4 sig landed
HEAD75%3 of 4BODY25%1 of 2LEGS0%0 landed
Tom Nolan6 sig landed
HEAD50%3 of 15BODY50%3 of 5LEGS0%0 of 2
4 of 6
Sig.
strikes
6 of 22
2 of 2
Take-
downs
0 of 2
2:40
Control
1:32
0
Sub
attempts
0
Distance 2Clinch 1Ground 1
Where it
happened
Distance 1Clinch 2Ground 3

Significant strikes, takedowns, control time, knockdowns and submission attempts exactly as UFCStats recorded them for this bout, round by round. Zone percentages are that round’s landed head, body and leg counts over their own total — raw arithmetic, nothing modelled or smoothed. A round in which a fighter landed nothing shades empty and reads zero; it is never filled in from the round before.

Judges’ scorecards

Every judge’s round, the media’s cards beside them, and how these judges usually score.

Official card

Decision - Unanimous

Referee · Jason Herzog
Official totals — Fares Ziam first
JudgeTotal
Mike Bell1.9 avg spread · 37% wide28–29
Derek Cleary2.1 avg spread · 43% wide28–29
Clemens Werner2.2 avg spread · 52% wide28–29

Full round-by-round cards are pending a source refresh. The decisions corpus we read currently ends at 2026-05-16, so this bout has the judges’ totals but not their individual rounds yet. Nothing here is estimated to fill the gap — when the scrape is re-run, the grid appears.

Official cards come from the UFCStats fight record and MMA Decisions. Media cards and the fan vote are MMA Decisions’ own collection and are not official. Judge tendency figures are that judge’s whole recorded history, not this bout — they are context for how a card was scored, never a claim that it was scored wrongly.

Still to come on this page

Named rather than hidden. It is built from data already on disk and lands in the next pass of this build-out.

The market story coming in this build-out

What the price did in the week before the cage door shut, with the moment our pick was frozen marked on it. Where we captured no price history for a bout, this panel will say so rather than draw a line that was never there.

← Back to the public record