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Events · UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa · Modestas Bukauskas vs Christian Edwards
From the tape · 16 May 2026

Modestas Bukauskas vs Christian Edwards

UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa · Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Result

Modestas Bukauskas beat Christian Edwards

Method
Decision - Split
Round
3 of 3
Clock
5:00
Catch WeightMain cardReferee · Kerry Hatley

We published no prediction for this bout. Everything on this page is the official record and the tape it was fought on — the result, the round-by-round counts, the judges’ cards where they exist and the sportsbook line where one was published. Our graded calls start in 2026 and live on the public record.

Red corner ModestasBukauskas“The Baltic Gladiator”Klaipeda
VSOn the tape
CE
Blue corner ChristianEdwardsJackson-Wink MMA · Albuquerque, New Mexico
Catch Weight3 rounds16 May 2026
The story going in
  • Has finished 4 of 7 UFC wins.
  • Carries 82 points more takedown defence than Edwards.
20-7
Record
8-5
32
Age
−5 yr27
6' 3"
Height
+2″6' 5"
76″
Reach
+2″78″
Switch
Stance
Southpaw
Klaipeda
From
Albuquerque, New Mexico
Vitals, record, nickname and camp come from the public UFC fighter register and are current, not a snapshot of fight night. UFC bouts, finish rate and every storyline line are counted off the official UFC fight record. A tick marks the side holding the raw edge in that row — longer reach, taller, younger, more bouts, a higher finish rate. It is a fact about the tape, not a prediction, and rows with no clean comparison (record, stance, gym, hometown) carry no tick at all. Any row we cannot fill on both sides is left out rather than half-drawn. Streaks, bout counts and finish rates are as they stood going into this fight — this bout and everything after it is excluded from the count.

Round by round

Every round the fight went, shaded by where the significant strikes actually landed — the takedowns, control time and knockdowns beside them, and how the three judges scored that round.

UFCStats · per round

3 rounds of tape

Round 15:00 of action
Modestas Bukauskas10 sig landed
HEAD40%4 of 22BODY40%4 of 5LEGS20%2 of 2
Christian Edwards11 sig landed
HEAD18%2 of 16BODY55%6 of 8LEGS27%3 of 6
10 of 29
Sig.
strikes
11 of 30
0 of 0
Take-
downs
0 of 2
0:00
Control
1:47
Distance 8Clinch 2Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 9Clinch 2Ground 0
Judges · this round · Bukauskas firstJunichiro Kamijo9–10David Sutherland10–9Tony Weeks9–10
Round 25:00 of action
Modestas Bukauskas16 sig landed
HEAD88%14 of 26BODY6%1 of 1LEGS6%1 of 1
Christian Edwards11 sig landed
HEAD27%3 of 12BODY64%7 of 8LEGS9%1 of 2
16 of 28
Sig.
strikes
11 of 22
0 of 0
Take-
downs
0 of 0
2:15
Control
0:08
Distance 15Clinch 1Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 7Clinch 4Ground 0
Judges · this round · Bukauskas firstJunichiro Kamijo10–9David Sutherland10–9Tony Weeks10–9
Round 35:00 of actionEnded 5:00
Modestas Bukauskas10 sig landed
HEAD30%3 of 16BODY50%5 of 5LEGS20%2 of 2
Christian Edwards14 sig landed
HEAD57%8 of 13BODY29%4 of 4LEGS14%2 of 2
10 of 23
Sig.
strikes
14 of 19
0 of 0
Take-
downs
0 of 2
0:00
Control
2:27
Distance 7Clinch 3Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 11Clinch 3Ground 0
Judges · this round · Bukauskas firstJunichiro Kamijo9–10David Sutherland9–10Tony Weeks10–9

Significant strikes, takedowns, control time, knockdowns and submission attempts exactly as UFCStats recorded them for this bout, round by round. Zone percentages are that round’s landed head, body and leg counts over their own total — raw arithmetic, nothing modelled or smoothed. A round in which a fighter landed nothing shades empty and reads zero; it is never filled in from the round before.

The cards, totalled

The judges’ final totals, the media’s cards beside them, and how these judges usually score. Their round-by-round 10–9s are with the rounds above.

Official card

Split Decision

Referee · Kerry Hatley
Modestas BukauskasChristian Edwards
Official totals — Modestas Bukauskas first
JudgeTotal
Junichiro Kamijo2.0 avg spread · 43% wide28–29
David Sutherland29–28
Tony Weeks2.1 avg spread · 49% wide29–28

Each judge’s round-by-round scores sit with the round they belong to, in the round-by-round section above — switch a round there and the three cards for it change with the stats.

Media cards — 8 scored, Modestas Bukauskas first · unofficial

Ryan Frederick WrestlingObserver.com29–28
Keith Shillan Sherdog.com29–28
Zane Simon The MMA Vivisection29–28
Jake Noecker Home of Fight29–28
Tristen Critchfield Sherdog.com29–28
Tyler Treese Sherdog.com29–28
Ben Duffy Sherdog.com29–28
Danny Segura MMAJunkie.com28–29

Fan vote · unofficial

29-28 Bukauskas · 55%29-28 Edwards · 39%30-27 Bukauskas · 6%

49 fan cards submitted to MMA Decisions.

Official cards come from the UFCStats fight record and MMA Decisions. Media cards and the fan vote are MMA Decisions’ own collection and are not official. Judge tendency figures are that judge’s whole recorded history, not this bout — they are context for how a card was scored, never a claim that it was scored wrongly.

Takedowns

Takedowns

Modestas Bukauskas

The level change — how often it lands, how often it is stopped. Career UFC rates, straight off the tape.

0.23takedowns / 15 min
FightIQ read Rarely shoots 0.23 takedowns landed per 15 minutes — −2.04 on the field average.
Career ratesvs field average
TAKEDOWNS2
0.23 / 15m−2.04 vs field
ATTEMPTS1
0.35 / 15m−5.09 vs field
ACCURACY88
66%+23pp vs field
SUB ATT7
0.10 / 15m−1.49 vs field

Rate bars run to the population’s 95th percentile (5.96 takedowns / 15m); a fighter above it pins the bar. Percentages are drawn on their own axis.

Career UFC takedown rates exactly as UFCStats publishes them: takedowns landed per 15 minutes, completion rate, submission attempts per 15 minutes, and the share of takedowns tried on them that they stuffed. Attempts per 15 is the one derived figure — landed ÷ completion rate — and it is omitted wherever either input is missing. UFCStats writes 0% where no attempt was recorded at all, so a percentage of exactly zero reads “n/a” here rather than as a measured rate. “Field” is the average fighter in that weight class, or across every division where a class is too small to average.

Ranked in Light Heavyweight

The market story

Where the price started and where it finished — the sportsbook consensus, with the vig removed. We captured no price series for this bout, so there is no chart to draw.

Modestas Bukauskas↑ +3.3pp
open 68.9%close 72.2%
Christian Edwards↓ −3.3pp
open 31.1%close 27.8%
0%50%100%
OpenClosing consensus (BFO, vig removed)

Modestas Bukauskas opened at 68.9% and closed at 72.2% (+3.3pp), with Christian Edwards moving the other way by the same amount — the two are one de-vigged pair, so they always sum to 100%. There is no line between those two points because nobody recorded one: we hold the open and the close for this bout, not the days in between.

Show the numbers
CornerOpen (US)Close (US)Open %Close %Move
Modestas Bukauskas-250-31868.9%72.2%+3.3pp
Christian Edwards21024231.1%27.8%−3.3pp
Opening and closing moneylines from BestFightOdds (data/refs/bfo_fighter_moneylines.csv), one row per fighter per bout, de-vigged pairwise so the two corners sum to 100% · dated 2026-05-17 on the odds record (1d from the card date; the nearest day inside a two-day window is used, never a guess) · scraped 2026-06-10. No price series was captured for this bout, so no line is drawn between the two points.
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