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Events · UFC Fight Night: Allen vs Costa · Daniel Barez vs Luis Gurule
Red corner DanielBarezEntram Gym · Burjassot, Valencia
VSSettled
Blue corner LuisGurule“Grim”Factory X · Sheridan, Colorado
Flyweight3 rounds16 May 2026
The story going in
  • Carries 21 points more takedown defence than Gurule.
  • Has dropped 3 straight in the UFC.
  • Lands 1.1 more significant strikes a minute than Barez.
17-8
Record
11-4
37
Age
−5 yr32
+1″5' 6"
Height
5' 5"
+2″66″
Reach
64″
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
3
UFC bouts
3
Entram Gym
Gym
Factory X
Burjassot, Valencia
From
Sheridan, Colorado
Vitals, record, nickname and camp come from the public UFC fighter register and are current, not a snapshot of fight night. UFC bouts, finish rate and every storyline line are counted off the official UFC fight record. A tick marks the side holding the raw edge in that row — longer reach, taller, younger, more bouts, a higher finish rate. It is a fact about the tape, not a prediction, and rows with no clean comparison (record, stance, gym, hometown) carry no tick at all. Any row we cannot fill on both sides is left out rather than half-drawn. Streaks, bout counts and finish rates are as they stood going into this fight — this bout and everything after it is excluded from the count.

The call vs the fight

What we published before the card, next to what happened in the cage.

Our call
Daniel Barez
58.4% confidentLOW
Method calledDEC 57%
Vs the market−16.1pp
Market had our pick at74%
The fight
Luis Gurule
LOSS
How it endedDEC
Round3 of 3
Clock5:00
Missed We called Daniel Barez at 58.4%Luis Gurule won. We had the method right and the man wrong.
Graded against the official UFC result, from the same record every other page on this site is graded from. The tick beside the verdict is the method call — a correct winner with a wrong method is a partial hit and reads as one. See the full public record →

Round by round

Every round the fight went, shaded by where the significant strikes actually landed — and the takedowns, control time and knockdowns beside them.

UFCStats · per round

3 rounds of tape

Round 15:00 of action1 sub attempt
Daniel Barez20 sig landed
HEAD55%11 of 32BODY15%3 of 3LEGS30%6 of 6
Luis Gurule25 sig landed
HEAD84%21 of 50BODY8%2 of 2LEGS8%2 of 3
20 of 41
Sig.
strikes
25 of 55
1 of 2
Take-
downs
0 of 1
0:48
Control
1:21
0
Sub
attempts
1
Distance 16Clinch 4Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 22Clinch 3Ground 0
Round 25:00 of action
Daniel Barez42 sig landed
HEAD64%27 of 52BODY21%9 of 9LEGS14%6 of 8
Luis Gurule51 sig landed
HEAD88%45 of 99BODY2%1 of 3LEGS10%5 of 5
42 of 69
Sig.
strikes
51 of 107
0 of 1
Take-
downs
1 of 3
0:00
Control
0:44
0
Sub
attempts
0
Distance 41Clinch 1Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 49Clinch 2Ground 0
Round 35:00 of actionEnded 5:00
Daniel Barez51 sig landed
HEAD80%41 of 124BODY16%8 of 10LEGS4%2 of 2
Luis Gurule73 sig landed
HEAD86%63 of 124BODY7%5 of 8LEGS7%5 of 5
51 of 136
Sig.
strikes
73 of 137
0 of 0
Take-
downs
0 of 1
0:00
Control
0:21
0
Sub
attempts
0
Distance 51Clinch 0Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 62Clinch 11Ground 0

Significant strikes, takedowns, control time, knockdowns and submission attempts exactly as UFCStats recorded them for this bout, round by round. Zone percentages are that round’s landed head, body and leg counts over their own total — raw arithmetic, nothing modelled or smoothed. A round in which a fighter landed nothing shades empty and reads zero; it is never filled in from the round before.

Judges’ scorecards

Every judge’s round, the media’s cards beside them, and how these judges usually score.

Official card

Unanimous Decision

Referee · Jerin Valel
Daniel BarezLuis Gurule
Official card — Daniel Barez first
JudgeR1R2R3Total
Eric Colón2.0 avg spread · 42% wide9–109–109–1027–30
Junichiro Kamijo2.0 avg spread · 43% wide9–109–109–1027–30
Tony Weeks2.1 avg spread · 49% wide9–109–109–1027–30

Media cards — 8 scored, Daniel Barez first · unofficial

Ryan Frederick WrestlingObserver.com27–30
Keith Shillan Sherdog.com27–30
Combat Press.com27–30
Danny Segura MMAJunkie.com27–30
Zane Simon The MMA Vivisection27–30
Tristen Critchfield Sherdog.com27–30
Ben Duffy Sherdog.com27–30
Tyler Treese Sherdog.com27–30

Fan vote · unofficial

30-27 Gurule · 80%29-28 Gurule · 10%30-26 Gurule · 10%

20 fan cards submitted to MMA Decisions.

Official cards come from the UFCStats fight record and MMA Decisions. Media cards and the fan vote are MMA Decisions’ own collection and are not official. Judge tendency figures are that judge’s whole recorded history, not this bout — they are context for how a card was scored, never a claim that it was scored wrongly.

Still to come on this page

Named rather than hidden. It is built from data already on disk and lands in the next pass of this build-out.

The market story coming in this build-out

What the price did in the week before the cage door shut, with the moment our pick was frozen marked on it. Where we captured no price history for a bout, this panel will say so rather than draw a line that was never there.

← Back to the public record