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Events · UFC 328: Chimaev vs Strickland · Ateba Gautier vs Ozzy Diaz
Red corner AtebaGautier“The Silent Assassin”
VSSettled
Blue corner OzzyDiaz
Middleweight3 rounds9 May 2026
The story going in
  • Comes in on a 4-fight win streak.
  • Lands 1.0 more significant strikes a minute than Gautier.
  • Has finished 3 of 4 UFC wins.
11-1
Record
10-4
−11 yr24
Age
35
6' 4"
Height
6' 4"
+2″81″
Reach
79″
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
+24
UFC bouts
2
3/475% of wins
Finishes
0/10% of wins
Vitals, record, nickname and camp come from the public UFC fighter register and are current, not a snapshot of fight night. UFC bouts, finish rate and every storyline line are counted off the official UFC fight record. A tick marks the side holding the raw edge in that row — longer reach, taller, younger, more bouts, a higher finish rate. It is a fact about the tape, not a prediction, and rows with no clean comparison (record, stance, gym, hometown) carry no tick at all. Any row we cannot fill on both sides is left out rather than half-drawn. Streaks, bout counts and finish rates are as they stood going into this fight — this bout and everything after it is excluded from the count.

The call vs the fight

What we published before the card, next to what happened in the cage.

Our call
Ateba Gautier
86.7% confidentLOCK
Method calledKO/TKO 58%
Vs the market−3.4pp
Market had our pick at90%
The fight
Ateba Gautier
WIN
How it endedKO/TKO
Round2 of 3
Clock1:10
Called it We called Ateba Gautier at 86.7% and Ateba Gautier won. The method call landed too.
Graded against the official UFC result, from the same record every other page on this site is graded from. The tick beside the verdict is the method call — a correct winner with a wrong method is a partial hit and reads as one. See the full public record →

Round by round

Every round the fight went, shaded by where the significant strikes actually landed — and the takedowns, control time and knockdowns beside them.

UFCStats · per round

2 rounds of tape

Round 15:00 of action
Ateba Gautier12 sig landed
HEAD67%8 of 49BODY17%2 of 4LEGS17%2 of 2
Ozzy Diaz4 sig landed
HEAD100%4 of 11BODY0%0 of 1LEGS0%0 landed
12 of 55
Sig.
strikes
4 of 12
0 of 0
Take-
downs
0 of 3
0:00
Control
1:03
0
Knock-
downs
0
Distance 11Clinch 1Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 4Clinch 0Ground 0
Round 21:10 of action⚡ 1 KD GautierEnded 1:10
Ateba Gautier11 sig landed
HEAD64%7 of 20BODY36%4 of 7LEGS0%0 landed
Ozzy Diaz2 sig landed
HEAD50%1 of 7BODY50%1 of 1LEGS0%0 landed
11 of 27
Sig.
strikes
2 of 8
0 of 0
Take-
downs
0 of 0
0:00
Control
0:00
1
Knock-
downs
0
Distance 9Clinch 0Ground 2
Where it
happened
Distance 2Clinch 0Ground 0

Significant strikes, takedowns, control time, knockdowns and submission attempts exactly as UFCStats recorded them for this bout, round by round. Zone percentages are that round’s landed head, body and leg counts over their own total — raw arithmetic, nothing modelled or smoothed. A round in which a fighter landed nothing shades empty and reads zero; it is never filled in from the round before.

How it ended

This bout never reached the judges. Here is the finish, as the official record has it.

Won inside the distance

Ateba Gautier

Round
2
Clock
1:10
Method
KO/TKO

This bout did not reach the judges, so there are no official cards for it. The round-by-round tape above is the whole record of what happened. Referee: Gary Copeland.

Still to come on this page

Named rather than hidden. It is built from data already on disk and lands in the next pass of this build-out.

The market story coming in this build-out

What the price did in the week before the cage door shut, with the moment our pick was frozen marked on it. Where we captured no price history for a bout, this panel will say so rather than draw a line that was never there.

← Back to the public record