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Events · UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs Prates · Tim Elliott vs Steve Erceg
Red corner TimElliottNext Generation Mixed Martial Arts · Lee's Summit, Missouri
VSSettled
Blue corner SteveErcegWilkes Martial Arts · Myaree, Western Australia
Flyweight3 rounds2 May 2026
The story going in
  • Comes in on a 2-fight win streak.
  • Lands 1.1 more significant strikes a minute than Elliott.
  • Has finished 3 of 10 UFC wins.
22-14-1
Record
14-5
39
Age
−9 yr30
5' 7"
Height
+1″5' 8"
66″
Reach
+2″68″
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
+1421
UFC bouts
7
+5%3/1030% of wins
Finishes
1/425% of wins
Next Generation Mixed Martial Arts
Gym
Wilkes Martial Arts
Lee's Summit, Missouri
From
Myaree, Western Australia
Vitals, record, nickname and camp come from the public UFC fighter register and are current, not a snapshot of fight night. UFC bouts, finish rate and every storyline line are counted off the official UFC fight record. A tick marks the side holding the raw edge in that row — longer reach, taller, younger, more bouts, a higher finish rate. It is a fact about the tape, not a prediction, and rows with no clean comparison (record, stance, gym, hometown) carry no tick at all. Any row we cannot fill on both sides is left out rather than half-drawn. Streaks, bout counts and finish rates are as they stood going into this fight — this bout and everything after it is excluded from the count.

The call vs the fight

What we published before the card, next to what happened in the cage.

Our call
Steve Erceg
74.4% confidentHIGH
Method calledDEC 66%
Vs the market−1.4pp
Market had our pick at76%
The fight
Steve Erceg
WIN
How it endedDEC
Round3 of 3
Clock5:00
Called it We called Steve Erceg at 74.4% and Steve Erceg won. The method call landed too.
Graded against the official UFC result, from the same record every other page on this site is graded from. The tick beside the verdict is the method call — a correct winner with a wrong method is a partial hit and reads as one. See the full public record →

Round by round

Every round the fight went, shaded by where the significant strikes actually landed — and the takedowns, control time and knockdowns beside them.

UFCStats · per round

3 rounds of tape

Round 15:00 of action
Tim Elliott39 sig landed
HEAD51%20 of 57BODY13%5 of 15LEGS36%14 of 19
Steve Erceg24 sig landed
HEAD88%21 of 52BODY12%3 of 3LEGS0%0 landed
39 of 91
Sig.
strikes
24 of 55
2 of 3
Take-
downs
0 of 0
0:18
Control
0:00
Distance 39Clinch 0Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 21Clinch 3Ground 0
Round 25:00 of action
Tim Elliott27 sig landed
HEAD37%10 of 56BODY15%4 of 8LEGS48%13 of 14
Steve Erceg47 sig landed
HEAD94%44 of 82BODY6%3 of 3LEGS0%0 landed
27 of 78
Sig.
strikes
47 of 85
0 of 4
Take-
downs
1 of 2
0:16
Control
0:29
Distance 24Clinch 3Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 44Clinch 3Ground 0
Round 35:00 of actionEnded 5:00
Tim Elliott24 sig landed
HEAD58%14 of 78BODY8%2 of 4LEGS33%8 of 10
Steve Erceg65 sig landed
HEAD88%57 of 102BODY12%8 of 12LEGS0%0 landed
24 of 92
Sig.
strikes
65 of 114
0 of 4
Take-
downs
0 of 1
0:00
Control
0:00
Distance 24Clinch 0Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 64Clinch 1Ground 0

Significant strikes, takedowns, control time, knockdowns and submission attempts exactly as UFCStats recorded them for this bout, round by round. Zone percentages are that round’s landed head, body and leg counts over their own total — raw arithmetic, nothing modelled or smoothed. A round in which a fighter landed nothing shades empty and reads zero; it is never filled in from the round before.

Judges’ scorecards

Every judge’s round, the media’s cards beside them, and how these judges usually score.

Official card

Unanimous Decision

Referee · Lukasz Bosacki
Tim ElliottSteve Erceg
Official card — Tim Elliott first
JudgeR1R2R3Total
Mark Christie10–99–109–1028–29
Darryl Ransom2.2 avg spread · 53% wide10–99–109–1028–29
Clemens Werner2.2 avg spread · 52% wide10–99–109–1028–29

Media cards — 6 scored, Tim Elliott first · unofficial

Sherdog.com28–29
Ryan Frederick WrestlingObserver.com28–29
Combat Press.com28–29
MM A Latinoamerica28–29
Keith Shillan Sherdog.com28–29
MM AMania.com28–29

Fan vote · unofficial

29-28 Erceg · 61%30-27 Erceg · 35%29-28 Elliott · 2%30-26 Erceg · 2%

57 fan cards submitted to MMA Decisions.

Official cards come from the UFCStats fight record and MMA Decisions. Media cards and the fan vote are MMA Decisions’ own collection and are not official. Judge tendency figures are that judge’s whole recorded history, not this bout — they are context for how a card was scored, never a claim that it was scored wrongly.

Still to come on this page

Named rather than hidden. It is built from data already on disk and lands in the next pass of this build-out.

The market story coming in this build-out

What the price did in the week before the cage door shut, with the moment our pick was frozen marked on it. Where we captured no price history for a bout, this panel will say so rather than draw a line that was never there.

← Back to the public record