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Events · UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs Prates · Tai Tuivasa vs Louie Sutherland
Red corner TaiTuivasa“Bam Bam”Lions High Performance Centre · Sydney, New South Wales
VSSettled
Blue corner LouieSutherlandGreat Britain Top Team · Tottenham
Heavyweight3 rounds2 May 2026
The story going in
  • Has dropped 6 straight in the UFC.
  • Has dropped 2 straight in the UFC.
  • Has finished 7 of 8 UFC wins.
  • Averages 5.0 more takedowns per 15 minutes than Tuivasa.
15-10
Record
11-6
33
Age
−1 yr32
6' 2"
Height
+1″6' 3"
75″
Reach
+1″76″
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
+1517
UFC bouts
2
Lions High Performance Centre
Gym
Great Britain Top Team
Sydney, New South Wales
From
Tottenham
Vitals, record, nickname and camp come from the public UFC fighter register and are current, not a snapshot of fight night. UFC bouts, finish rate and every storyline line are counted off the official UFC fight record. A tick marks the side holding the raw edge in that row — longer reach, taller, younger, more bouts, a higher finish rate. It is a fact about the tape, not a prediction, and rows with no clean comparison (record, stance, gym, hometown) carry no tick at all. Any row we cannot fill on both sides is left out rather than half-drawn. Streaks, bout counts and finish rates are as they stood going into this fight — this bout and everything after it is excluded from the count.

The call vs the fight

What we published before the card, next to what happened in the cage.

Our call
Tai Tuivasa
54.3% confidentTOSS-UP
Method calledKO/TKO 48%
Vs the market−6.5pp
Market had our pick at61%
The fight
Louie Sutherland
LOSS
How it endedDEC
Round3 of 3
Clock5:00
Missed We called Tai Tuivasa at 54.3%Louie Sutherland won. The method call missed as well.
Graded against the official UFC result, from the same record every other page on this site is graded from. The tick beside the verdict is the method call — a correct winner with a wrong method is a partial hit and reads as one. See the full public record →

Round by round

Every round the fight went, shaded by where the significant strikes actually landed — and the takedowns, control time and knockdowns beside them.

UFCStats · per round

3 rounds of tape

Round 15:00 of action
Tai Tuivasa6 sig landed
HEAD83%5 of 8BODY0%0 landedLEGS17%1 of 1
Louie Sutherland9 sig landed
HEAD78%7 of 9BODY0%0 landedLEGS22%2 of 3
6 of 9
Sig.
strikes
9 of 12
0 of 0
Take-
downs
1 of 4
0:10
Control
3:40
Distance 1Clinch 2Ground 3
Where it
happened
Distance 2Clinch 4Ground 3
Round 25:00 of action
Tai Tuivasa3 sig landed
HEAD100%3 of 4BODY0%0 landedLEGS0%0 landed
Louie Sutherland7 sig landed
HEAD71%5 of 5BODY0%0 landedLEGS29%2 of 2
3 of 4
Sig.
strikes
7 of 7
0 of 0
Take-
downs
3 of 4
0:00
Control
4:36
Distance 0Clinch 3Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 2Clinch 0Ground 5
Round 35:00 of actionEnded 5:00
Tai Tuivasa4 sig landed
HEAD100%4 of 9BODY0%0 landedLEGS0%0 landed
Louie Sutherland5 sig landed
HEAD60%3 of 4BODY0%0 landedLEGS40%2 of 2
4 of 9
Sig.
strikes
5 of 6
0 of 0
Take-
downs
1 of 3
0:32
Control
3:29
Distance 1Clinch 0Ground 3
Where it
happened
Distance 3Clinch 0Ground 2

Significant strikes, takedowns, control time, knockdowns and submission attempts exactly as UFCStats recorded them for this bout, round by round. Zone percentages are that round’s landed head, body and leg counts over their own total — raw arithmetic, nothing modelled or smoothed. A round in which a fighter landed nothing shades empty and reads zero; it is never filled in from the round before.

Judges’ scorecards

Every judge’s round, the media’s cards beside them, and how these judges usually score.

Official card

Unanimous Decision

Referee · Rich Mitchell
Tai TuivasaLouie Sutherland
Official card — Tai Tuivasa first
JudgeR1R2R3Total
Evan Field2.2 avg spread · 48% wide9–109–108–1026–30
Nathan Pintabona9–109–108–1026–30
Clemens Werner2.2 avg spread · 52% wide9–109–108–1026–30

Media cards — 5 scored, Tai Tuivasa first · unofficial

Nolan King MMAJunkie.com26–30
Sherdog.com26–30
Ryan Frederick WrestlingObserver.com26–30
Combat Press.com26–30
Keith Shillan Sherdog.com26–30

Fan vote · unofficial

30-26 Sutherland · 62%30-27 Sutherland · 17%29-27 Tuivasa · 5%30-25 Sutherland · 5%29-26 Tuivasa · 2%

42 fan cards submitted to MMA Decisions.

Official cards come from the UFCStats fight record and MMA Decisions. Media cards and the fan vote are MMA Decisions’ own collection and are not official. Judge tendency figures are that judge’s whole recorded history, not this bout — they are context for how a card was scored, never a claim that it was scored wrongly.

Still to come on this page

Named rather than hidden. It is built from data already on disk and lands in the next pass of this build-out.

The market story coming in this build-out

What the price did in the week before the cage door shut, with the moment our pick was frozen marked on it. Where we captured no price history for a bout, this panel will say so rather than draw a line that was never there.

← Back to the public record