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Events · UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs Prates · Colby Thicknesse vs Vince Morales
Red corner ColbyThicknesse“Slickness”Freestyle Fighting Gym · Windang, New South Wales
VSSettled
Blue corner VinceMorales“Vandetta”Syndicate MMA · Caldwell, Idaho
Bantamweight3 rounds2 May 2026
The story going in
  • Has dropped 5 straight in the UFC.
  • 11 UFC bouts deep — 9 more than Thicknesse.
9-1
Record
16-11
−9 yr26
Age
35
5' 7"
Height
5' 7"
69″
Reach
+1″70″
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
2
UFC bouts
+911
0/10% of wins
Finishes
1/333% of wins
Freestyle Fighting Gym
Gym
Syndicate MMA
Windang, New South Wales
From
Caldwell, Idaho
Vitals, record, nickname and camp come from the public UFC fighter register and are current, not a snapshot of fight night. UFC bouts, finish rate and every storyline line are counted off the official UFC fight record. A tick marks the side holding the raw edge in that row — longer reach, taller, younger, more bouts, a higher finish rate. It is a fact about the tape, not a prediction, and rows with no clean comparison (record, stance, gym, hometown) carry no tick at all. Any row we cannot fill on both sides is left out rather than half-drawn. Streaks, bout counts and finish rates are as they stood going into this fight — this bout and everything after it is excluded from the count.

The call vs the fight

What we published before the card, next to what happened in the cage.

Our call
Colby Thicknesse
67.9% confidentMED
Method calledDEC 71%
Vs the market+13.6pp
Market had our pick at54%
The fight
Colby Thicknesse
WIN
How it endedDEC
Round3 of 3
Clock5:00
Called it We called Colby Thicknesse at 67.9% and Colby Thicknesse won. The method call landed too.
Graded against the official UFC result, from the same record every other page on this site is graded from. The tick beside the verdict is the method call — a correct winner with a wrong method is a partial hit and reads as one. See the full public record →

Round by round

Every round the fight went, shaded by where the significant strikes actually landed — and the takedowns, control time and knockdowns beside them.

UFCStats · per round

3 rounds of tape

Round 15:00 of action4 sub attempts
Colby Thicknesse6 sig landed
HEAD33%2 of 8BODY33%2 of 3LEGS33%2 of 3
Vince Morales5 sig landed
HEAD80%4 of 13BODY20%1 of 1LEGS0%0 of 1
6 of 14
Sig.
strikes
5 of 15
0 of 2
Take-
downs
1 of 1
2:20
Control
1:44
4
Sub
attempts
0
Distance 5Clinch 1Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 4Clinch 1Ground 0
Round 25:00 of action
Colby Thicknesse27 sig landed
HEAD30%8 of 30BODY56%15 of 19LEGS15%4 of 5
Vince Morales18 sig landed
HEAD78%14 of 47BODY17%3 of 7LEGS6%1 of 1
27 of 54
Sig.
strikes
18 of 55
0 of 3
Take-
downs
0 of 0
0:41
Control
0:00
0
Sub
attempts
0
Distance 27Clinch 0Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 16Clinch 2Ground 0
Round 35:00 of actionEnded 5:00
Colby Thicknesse13 sig landed
HEAD38%5 of 35BODY31%4 of 10LEGS31%4 of 4
Vince Morales25 sig landed
HEAD76%19 of 43BODY20%5 of 7LEGS4%1 of 1
13 of 49
Sig.
strikes
25 of 51
0 of 1
Take-
downs
1 of 1
0:00
Control
1:50
0
Sub
attempts
0
Distance 11Clinch 2Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 22Clinch 2Ground 1

Significant strikes, takedowns, control time, knockdowns and submission attempts exactly as UFCStats recorded them for this bout, round by round. Zone percentages are that round’s landed head, body and leg counts over their own total — raw arithmetic, nothing modelled or smoothed. A round in which a fighter landed nothing shades empty and reads zero; it is never filled in from the round before.

Judges’ scorecards

Every judge’s round, the media’s cards beside them, and how these judges usually score.

Official card

Unanimous Decision

Referee · Daniel Movahedi
Colby ThicknesseVince Morales
Official card — Colby Thicknesse first
JudgeR1R2R3Total
Sal D'Amato2.1 avg spread · 46% wide10–910–99–1029–28
Nathan Pintabona10–910–99–1029–28
Darryl Ransom2.2 avg spread · 53% wide10–910–99–1029–28

Media cards — 5 scored, Colby Thicknesse first · unofficial

Ryan Frederick WrestlingObserver.com29–28
MM A Latinoamerica29–28
MM AMania.com29–28
Nolan King MMAJunkie.com28–29
Sherdog.com28–29

Fan vote · unofficial

29-28 Morales · 64%29-28 Thicknesse · 32%29-27 Morales · 1%29-27 Thicknesse · 1%

88 fan cards submitted to MMA Decisions.

Official cards come from the UFCStats fight record and MMA Decisions. Media cards and the fan vote are MMA Decisions’ own collection and are not official. Judge tendency figures are that judge’s whole recorded history, not this bout — they are context for how a card was scored, never a claim that it was scored wrongly.

Still to come on this page

Named rather than hidden. It is built from data already on disk and lands in the next pass of this build-out.

The market story coming in this build-out

What the price did in the week before the cage door shut, with the moment our pick was frozen marked on it. Where we captured no price history for a bout, this panel will say so rather than draw a line that was never there.

← Back to the public record