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Events · UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs Zalal · Max Griffin vs Victor Valenzuela
Red corner MaxGriffin“Pain”MMA Gold Fight Team · Sacramento, California
VSSettled
Blue corner VictorValenzuela“Joe Boxer”MMA Masters · Santiago, Metropolitan Region
Welterweight3 rounds25 Apr 2026
The story going in
  • Has dropped 2 straight in the UFC.
  • Has finished 3 of 8 UFC wins.
20-13
Record
13-6-2
40
Age
−8 yr32
+2″5' 11"
Height
5' 9"
+5″76″
Reach
71″
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
MMA Gold Fight Team
Gym
MMA Masters
Sacramento, California
From
Santiago, Metropolitan Region
Vitals, record, nickname and camp come from the public UFC fighter register and are current, not a snapshot of fight night. UFC bouts, finish rate and every storyline line are counted off the official UFC fight record. A tick marks the side holding the raw edge in that row — longer reach, taller, younger, more bouts, a higher finish rate. It is a fact about the tape, not a prediction, and rows with no clean comparison (record, stance, gym, hometown) carry no tick at all. Any row we cannot fill on both sides is left out rather than half-drawn. Streaks, bout counts and finish rates are as they stood going into this fight — this bout and everything after it is excluded from the count.

The call vs the fight

What we published before the card, next to what happened in the cage.

Our call
Victor Valenzuela
54.9% confidentTOSS-UP
Method calledDEC 49%
Vs the market+4.9pp
Market had our pick at50%
The fight
Victor Valenzuela
WIN
How it endedDEC
Round3 of 3
Clock5:00
Called it We called Victor Valenzuela at 54.9% and Victor Valenzuela won. The method call landed too.
Graded against the official UFC result, from the same record every other page on this site is graded from. The tick beside the verdict is the method call — a correct winner with a wrong method is a partial hit and reads as one. See the full public record →

Round by round

Every round the fight went, shaded by where the significant strikes actually landed — and the takedowns, control time and knockdowns beside them.

UFCStats · per round

3 rounds of tape

Round 15:00 of action
Max Griffin10 sig landed
HEAD100%10 of 24BODY0%0 landedLEGS0%0 landed
Victor Valenzuela12 sig landed
HEAD42%5 of 19BODY42%5 of 6LEGS17%2 of 4
10 of 24
Sig.
strikes
12 of 29
1 of 1
Take-
downs
0 of 1
0:21
Control
0:00
Distance 10Clinch 0Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 12Clinch 0Ground 0
Round 25:00 of action
Max Griffin10 sig landed
HEAD70%7 of 22BODY0%0 of 1LEGS30%3 of 4
Victor Valenzuela12 sig landed
HEAD50%6 of 20BODY33%4 of 6LEGS17%2 of 2
10 of 27
Sig.
strikes
12 of 28
2 of 4
Take-
downs
1 of 1
0:19
Control
0:32
Distance 8Clinch 2Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 12Clinch 0Ground 0
Round 35:00 of actionEnded 5:00
Max Griffin20 sig landed
HEAD95%19 of 37BODY5%1 of 1LEGS0%0 landed
Victor Valenzuela29 sig landed
HEAD76%22 of 52BODY21%6 of 7LEGS3%1 of 1
20 of 38
Sig.
strikes
29 of 60
1 of 4
Take-
downs
0 of 0
0:23
Control
0:04
Distance 19Clinch 1Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 26Clinch 3Ground 0

Significant strikes, takedowns, control time, knockdowns and submission attempts exactly as UFCStats recorded them for this bout, round by round. Zone percentages are that round’s landed head, body and leg counts over their own total — raw arithmetic, nothing modelled or smoothed. A round in which a fighter landed nothing shades empty and reads zero; it is never filled in from the round before.

Judges’ scorecards

Every judge’s round, the media’s cards beside them, and how these judges usually score.

Official card

Unanimous Decision

Referee · Chris Tognoni
Max GriffinVictor Valenzuela
Official card — Max Griffin first
JudgeR1R2R3Total
Adalaide Byrd2.0 avg spread · 46% wide10–99–109–1028–29
Eric Colón2.0 avg spread · 42% wide10–99–109–1028–29
Ron McCarthy2.0 avg spread · 41% wide10–99–109–1028–29

Media cards — 11 scored, Max Griffin first · unofficial

Tyler Treese Sherdog.com28–29
Brian Knapp Sherdog.com28–29
Ryan Frederick WrestlingObserver.com28–29
Keith Shillan Sherdog.com28–29
Dayne Fox Sherdog.com28–29
Zane Simon The MMA Vivisection28–29
Steve Duncan mma.uno28–29
Combat Press.com28–29
Matthew Wells MMAJunkie.com28–29
Jake Noecker Home of Fight28–29
Jay Pettry Sherdog.com28–29

Fan vote · unofficial

29-28 Valenzuela · 36%29-28 Griffin · 28%30-27 Valenzuela · 26%30-27 Griffin · 5%

39 fan cards submitted to MMA Decisions.

Official cards come from the UFCStats fight record and MMA Decisions. Media cards and the fan vote are MMA Decisions’ own collection and are not official. Judge tendency figures are that judge’s whole recorded history, not this bout — they are context for how a card was scored, never a claim that it was scored wrongly.

Still to come on this page

Named rather than hidden. It is built from data already on disk and lands in the next pass of this build-out.

The market story coming in this build-out

What the price did in the week before the cage door shut, with the moment our pick was frozen marked on it. Where we captured no price history for a bout, this panel will say so rather than draw a line that was never there.

← Back to the public record